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Circulation
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Published Online
on December 8, 2008

Circulation. 2008
Published online before print December 8, 2008, doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.108.772541
A more recent version of this article appeared on December 16, 2008
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Submitted on February 11, 2008
Accepted on October 10, 2008

Prevalence, Prognosis, and Implications of Isolated Minor Nonspecific ST-Segment and T-Wave Abnormalities in Older Adults. Cardiovascular Health Study

Anita Kumar MD, Ronald J. Prineas MD, PhD, Alice M. Arnold PhD, Bruce M. Psaty MD, PhD, Curt D. Furberg MD, PhD, John Robbins MD, and Donald M. Lloyd-Jones MD, ScM*

From the Department of Preventive Medicine and Bluhm Cardiovascular Institute, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill (A.K., D.M.L.-J.); Department of Epidemiology, Division of Public Health Sciences, Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC (R.J.P., C.D.F.); Department of Biostatistics (A.M.A.) and Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Services (B.M.P.), University of Washington, Seattle; Center for Health Studies, Group Health, Seattle, Wash (B.M.P.); and Department of Internal Medicine, University of California Davis, Sacramento (J.R.).

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: dlj{at}northwestern.edu.

Background—The prevalence and prognostic significance of isolated minor nonspecific ST-segment and T-wave abnormalities (NSSTTAs) in older adults are poorly understood.

Methods and Results—Cardiovascular Health Study participants free of both clinical cardiovascular disease and major ECG abnormalities were included. We examined the prospective association of isolated minor NSSTTAs (defined by Minnesota Codes 4–3, 4–4, 5–3, and 5–4) with total, cardiovascular, and coronary mortality and incident nonfatal myocardial infarction. Among 3224 participants (61.9% women; mean age, 72 years), 233 (7.2%) had isolated NSSTTAs at baseline. Covariates associated with isolated NSSTTAs included older age, nonwhite race (20.5% of blacks versus 4.8% of whites; P<0.001), diabetes, and higher blood pressure and body mass index but not the presence of subclinical cardiovascular disease. After 39 518 person-years of follow-up, the presence of isolated NSSTTAs was associated with significantly increased risk for coronary heart disease mortality (multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.18 to 2.61) but not with incident nonfatal myocardial infarction (multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.43 to 1.17). The association of isolated NSSTTAs with coronary death was independent of subclinical atherosclerosis and left ventricular mass measures. In secondary analyses, among those with cardiac death, there was a significantly higher rate of primary arrhythmic death (32.3% versus 15.4%; P=0.02) in participants with isolated NSSTTAs versus those without NSSTTAs.

Conclusions—Isolated NSSTTAs are common in older Americans and are associated with significantly increased risk for coronary death. However, isolated NSSTTAs are not associated with incident nonfatal myocardial infarction, suggesting that they are associated particularly with increased risk for primary arrhythmic death.


Key words: death, sudden • electrocardiography • epidemiology • myocardial infarction • prognosis • risk


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Clinical Summaries
Circulation 2008 118: 2667-2668. [Extract] [Full Text]