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Circulation. 1998;98:1510-1516

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*Arrhythmia
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(Circulation. 1998;98:1510-1516.)
© 1998 American Heart Association, Inc.


Clinical Investigation and Reports

Prospective Study of Heart Rate Variability and Mortality in Chronic Heart Failure

Results of the United Kingdom Heart Failure Evaluation and Assessment of Risk Trial (UK-Heart)

James Nolan, MD; Phillip D. Batin, MD; Richard Andrews, MRCP; Steven J. Lindsay, MRCP; Paul Brooksby, MD; Michael Mullen, MRCP; Wazir Baig, MD; Andrew D. Flapan, MD; Alan Cowley, FRCP; Robin J. Prescott, PhD; James M.M. Neilson, PhD; ; Keith A.A. Fox, FRCP

From The General Infirmary and St James's University Hospital, Leeds (J.N., P.D.B., S.J.L.); Queens Medical Centre, Nottingham (R.A., P.B., A.C.); The Royal Infirmary, Doncaster (M.M., W.B.); and the University of Edinburgh (A.D.F., R.J.P., J.M.M.N., K.A.A.F.).

Correspondence to Dr J. Nolan, Cardiothoracic Centre, North Staffordshire Hospital, Staffordshire ST4 6QG, UK.

Background—Patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) have a continuing high mortality. Autonomic dysfunction may play an important role in the pathophysiology of cardiac death in CHF. UK-HEART examined the value of heart rate variability (HRV) measures as independent predictors of death in CHF.

Methods and Results—In a prospective study powered for mortality, we recruited 433 outpatients 62±9.6 years old with CHF (NYHA functional class I to III; mean ejection fraction, 0.41±0.17). Time-domain HRV indices and conventional prognostic indicators were related to death by multivariate analysis. During 482±161 days of follow-up, cardiothoracic ratio, SDNN, left ventricular end-systolic diameter, and serum sodium were significant predictors of all-cause mortality. The risk ratio for a 41.2-ms decrease in SDNN was 1.62 (95% CI, 1.16 to 2.44). The annual mortality rate for the study population in SDNN subgroups was 5.5% for >100 ms, 12.7% for 50 to 100 ms, and 51.4% for <50 ms. SDNN, creatinine, and serum sodium were related to progressive heart failure death. Cardiothoracic ratio, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, the presence of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, and serum potassium were related to sudden cardiac death. A reduction in SDNN was the most powerful predictor of the risk of death due to progressive heart failure.

Conclusions—CHF is associated with autonomic dysfunction, which can be quantified by measuring HRV. A reduction in SDNN identifies patients at high risk of death and is a better predictor of death due to progressive heart failure than other conventional clinical measurements. High-risk subgroups identified by this measurement are candidates for additional therapy after prescription of an ACE inhibitor.


Key Words: heart rate • heart failure • mortality




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Eur J Heart FailHome page
M. T. Kearney, J. Nolan, A. J. Lee, P. W. Brooksby, R. Prescott, A. M. Shah, A. G. Zaman, D. L. Eckberg, H.S. Lindsay, P. D. Batin, et al.
A prognostic index to predict long-term mortality in patients with mild to moderate chronic heart failure stabilised on angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors
Eur J Heart Fail, August 1, 2003; 5(4): 489 - 497.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
P. A MacCarthy, M. T Kearney, J. Nolan, A. J Lee, R. J Prescott, A. M Shah, W P. Brooksby, and K. A A Fox
Prognosis in heart failure with preserved left ventricular systolic function: prospective cohort study
BMJ, July 10, 2003; 327(7406): 78 - 79.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
D. R. Murray
What Is "Heart Rate Variability" and Is It Blunted by Tumor Necrosis Factor?
Chest, March 1, 2003; 123(3): 664 - 667.
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ChestHome page
H. A. Malave, A. A. Taylor, J. Nattama, A. Deswal, and D. L. Mann
Circulating Levels of Tumor Necrosis Factor Correlate With Indexes of Depressed Heart Rate Variability: A Study in Patients With Mild-to-Moderate Heart Failure
Chest, March 1, 2003; 123(3): 716 - 724.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur J Heart FailHome page
E. G. Livanis, P. Flevari, G. N. Theodorakis, F. Kolokathis, D. Leftheriotis, and D. Th. Kremastinos
Effect of biventricular pacing on heart rate variability in patients with chronic heart failure
Eur J Heart Fail, March 1, 2003; 5(2): 175 - 178.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
W. G. Stevenson and L. M. Epstein
Predicting Sudden Death Risk for Heart Failure Patients in the Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Age
Circulation, February 4, 2003; 107(4): 514 - 516.
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CirculationHome page
M. T. La Rovere, G. D. Pinna, R. Maestri, A. Mortara, S. Capomolla, O. Febo, R. Ferrari, M. Franchini, M. Gnemmi, C. Opasich, et al.
Short-Term Heart Rate Variability Strongly Predicts Sudden Cardiac Death in Chronic Heart Failure Patients
Circulation, February 4, 2003; 107(4): 565 - 570.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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PediatricsHome page
E.-H. Ha, J.-T. Lee, H. Kim, Y.-C. Hong, B.-E. Lee, H.-S. Park, and D. C. Christiani
Infant Susceptibility of Mortality to Air Pollution in Seoul, South Korea
Pediatrics, February 1, 2003; 111(2): 284 - 290.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
T. Yamada, T. Shimonagata, M. Fukunami, K. Kumagai, H. Ogita, A. Hirata, M. Asai, N. Makino, H. Kioka, H. Kusuoka, et al.
Comparison of the prognostic value of cardiac iodine-123 metaiodobenzylguanidine imaging and heart rate variability in patients with chronic heart failure: A prospective study
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., January 15, 2003; 41(2): 231 - 238.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
J. Muntwyler, G. Abetel, C. Gruner, and F. Follath
One-year mortality among unselected outpatients with heart failure
Eur. Heart J., December 1, 2002; 23(23): 1861 - 1866.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HeartHome page
C A J Farquharson and A D Struthers
Increasing plasma potassium with amiloride shortens the QT interval and reduces ventricular extrasystoles but does not change endothelial function or heart rate variability in chronic heart failure
Heart, December 1, 2002; 88(5): 475 - 480.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
M. T. Kearney, K. A. A. Fox, A. J. Lee, R. J. Prescott, A. M. Shah, P. D. Batin, W. Baig, S. Lindsay, T. S. Callahan, W. E. Shell, et al.
Predicting death due to progressive heart failure in patients with mild-to-moderate chronic heart failure
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., November 20, 2002; 40(10): 1801 - 1808.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J PsychopharmacolHome page
B. Silke, C. Campbell, and D. King
The potential cardiotoxicity of antipsychotic drugs as assessed by heart rate variability
J Psychopharmacol, July 1, 2002; 16(4): 355 - 360.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Eur J Heart FailHome page
G. Malfatto, G. Branzi, B. Riva, L. Sala, G. Leonetti, and M. Facchini
Recovery of cardiac autonomic responsiveness with low-intensity physical training in patients with chronic heart failure
Eur J Heart Fail, March 1, 2002; 4(2): 159 - 166.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Am. J. Physiol. Heart Circ. Physiol.Home page
S. C. Malpas
Neural influences on cardiovascular variability: possibilities and pitfalls
Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol, January 1, 2002; 282(1): H6 - H20.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HypertensionHome page
S. Chowdhary, S. L. Nuttall, J. H. Coote, and J. N. Townend
L-Arginine Augments Cardiac Vagal Control in Healthy Human Subjects
Hypertension, January 1, 2002; 39(1): 51 - 56.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
L. Bernardi, P. Sleight, G. Bandinelli, S. Cencetti, L. Fattorini, J. Wdowczyc-Szulc, and A. Lagi
Effect of rosary prayer and yoga mantras on autonomic cardiovascular rhythms: comparative study
BMJ, December 22, 2001; 323(7327): 1446 - 1449.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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NEJMHome page
H. V. Huikuri, A. Castellanos, and R. J. Myerburg
Sudden Death Due to Cardiac Arrhythmias
N. Engl. J. Med., November 15, 2001; 345(20): 1473 - 1482.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
A. T. Yan, T. D. Bradley, and P. P. Liu
The Role of Continuous Positive Airway Pressure in the Treatment of Congestive Heart Failure
Chest, November 1, 2001; 120(5): 1675 - 1685.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
S. R. Magari, R. Hauser, J. Schwartz, P. L. Williams, T. J. Smith, and D. C. Christiani
Association of Heart Rate Variability With Occupational and Environmental Exposure to Particulate Air Pollution
Circulation, August 28, 2001; 104(9): 986 - 991.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HeartHome page
N P GALL, M T KEARNEY, A ZAMAN, S O'NUNAIN, K A A FOX, A FLAPAN, and J NOLAN
Implementation of the NICE guidelines for the primary prevention of mortality from ventricular tachyarrhythmias: implications for UK electrophysiology centres; activity modelling from the UK-HEART study
Heart, August 1, 2001; 86(2): 219a - 220.
[Full Text]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
K.-M. Yee, S. D. Pringle, and A. D. Struthers
Circadian variation in the effects of aldosterone blockade on heart rate variability and QT dispersion in congestive heart failure
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., June 1, 2001; 37(7): 1800 - 1807.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Respir JHome page
B. Eryonucu, K. Uzun, N. Guler, and M. Bilge
Comparison of the acute effects of salbutamol and terbutaline on heart rate variability in adult asthmatic patients
Eur. Respir. J., May 1, 2001; 17(5): 863 - 867.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Cardiovasc ResHome page
F. Lombardi, T. H Makikallio, R. J Myerburg, and H. V Huikuri
Sudden cardiac death: role of heart rate variability to identify patients at risk
Cardiovasc Res, May 1, 2001; 50(2): 210 - 217.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Cardiovasc ResHome page
X. Jouven, M. Zureik, M. Desnos, C. Guerot, and P. Ducimetiere
Resting heart rate as a predictive risk factor for sudden death in middle-aged men
Cardiovasc Res, May 1, 2001; 50(2): 373 - 378.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur J Heart FailHome page
G. Malfatto, G. Branzi, S. Gritti, L. Sala, R. Bragato, G. B. Perego, G. Leonetti, and M. Facchini
Different baseline sympathovagal balance and cardiac autonomic responsiveness in ischemic and non-ischemic congestive heart failure
Eur J Heart Fail, March 1, 2001; 3(2): 197 - 202.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
M. Kornitzer
Predictive value of electrocardiographic markers for autonomic nervous system dysfunction in healthy populations: more studies needed
Eur. Heart J., January 2, 2001; 22(2): 109 - 112.
[PDF]


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EuropaceHome page
C. F. Notarius and J. S. Floras
Limitations of the use of spectral analysis of heart rate variability for the estimation of cardiac sympathetic activity in heart failure
Europace, January 1, 2001; 3(1): 29 - 38.
[Abstract] [PDF]