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(Circulation. 1996;94:390-397.)
© 1996 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Surgery

Current Trends and Impact on Hospital Resources

Sary F. Aranki, MD; David P. Shaw, MD; David H. Adams, MD; Robert J. Rizzo, MD; Gregory S. Couper, MD; Martha VanderVliet, RN; John J. Collins, Jr, MD; Lawrence H. Cohn, MD; Helen R. Burstin, MD, MPH

the Division of Cardiac Surgery (S.F.A., D.P.S., D.H.A., R.J.R., G.S.C., J.J.C., L.H.C.), Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital; and the Division of General Medicine (H.R.B., M.V.V.), Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.

Correspondence to Sary F. Aranki, MD, Division of Cardiac Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis St, Boston, MA 02115.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) after coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) is the most common sustained arrhythmia. Its pathophysiology is unclear, and its prevention and management remain suboptimal. The aim of this prospective study was to determine the current incidence of AF, identify its clinical predictors, and examine its impact on resource utilization.

Methods and Results Over a 12-month period ending July 31, 1994, a CABG procedure was performed on 570 consecutive patients (age range, 32 to 87 years; median age, 67 years; 232 [41%] were >=70 years; 175 [31%] were women; 173 [30%] were diabetics; 364 [65%] required nonelective surgery; 86 [15%] had had a prior CABG; and 86 [15%] had had prior percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty). AF occurred in 189 patients (33%). The median age for patients with AF was 71 years compared with 66 for patients without (P=.0001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis (odds ratio, ±95% CI, P value) was used to identify the following independent predictors of postoperative AF: increasing age (age 70 to 80 years [OR=2; CI, 1.3 to 3; P=.002], age >80 years [OR=3; CI, 1.6 to 5.8; P=.0007]), male gender (OR=1.7; CI, 1.1 to 2.7; P=.01), hypertension (OR=1.6; CI, 1.0 to 2.3; P=.03), need for an intraoperative intra-aortic balloon pump (OR=3.5; CI, 1.2 to 10.9; P=.03), postoperative pneumonia (OR=3.9; CI, 1.3 to 11.5; P=.01), ventilation for >24 hours (OR=2; CI, 1.3 to 3.2; P=.003), and return to the intensive care unit (OR=3.2; CI, 1.1 to 8.8; P=.03). The mean length of hospital stay after surgery was 15.3±28.6 days for patients with AF compared with 9.3±19.6 days for patients without AF (P=.001). The adjusted length of hospital stay attributable to AF was 4.9 days, corresponding to >=$10 055 in hospital charges.

Conclusions AF remains the most common complication after CABG and consequently is a drain on hospital resources. Concerted efforts to reduce the incidence of AF and the associated increased length of stay would result in substantial cost savings and decrease patient morbidity.


Key Words: atrial flutter • atrial fibrillation • coronary disease • bypass surgery




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J. Cosgrave, J. B. Foley, E. McGovern, K. Bennett, V. Young, M. Tolan, P. Crean, and M. Walsh
Brain natriuretic peptide elevation and the development of atrial fibrillation following coronary artery bypass surgery
Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery, April 1, 2006; 5(2): 111 - 114.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Crit Care NurseHome page
L. Brantman and J. Howie
Use of Amiodarone to Prevent Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Crit. Care Nurse, February 1, 2006; 26(1): 48 - 58.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
R. A. Archbold
The Signal-Averaged P-Wave to Predict Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Ann. Thorac. Surg., January 1, 2006; 81(1): 406 - 407.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
L. B. Mitchell, D. V. Exner, D. G. Wyse, C. J. Connolly, G. D. Prystai, A. J. Bayes, W. T. Kidd, T. Kieser, J. J. Burgess, A. Ferland, et al.
Prophylactic Oral Amiodarone for the Prevention of Arrhythmias That Begin Early After Revascularization, Valve Replacement, or Repair: PAPABEAR: A Randomized Controlled Trial
JAMA, December 28, 2005; 294(24): 3093 - 3100.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
M. V. Podgoreanu and J. P. Mathew
Prophylaxis Against Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation: Current Progress and Future Directions
JAMA, December 28, 2005; 294(24): 3140 - 3142.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
A. Zacharias, T. A. Schwann, C. J. Riordan, S. J. Durham, A. S. Shah, and R. H. Habib
Obesity and Risk of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Circulation, November 22, 2005; 112(21): 3247 - 3255.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
C. W. Hogue Jr., L. L. Creswell, D. D. Gutterman, and L. A. Fleisher
Epidemiology, Mechanisms, and Risks: American College of Chest Physicians Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Chest, August 1, 2005; 128(2_suppl): 9S - 16S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
L. L. Creswell, J. C. Alexander Jr., T. B. Ferguson Jr., A. Lisbon, and L. A. Fleisher
Intraoperative Interventions: American College of Chest Physicians Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Chest, August 1, 2005; 128(2_suppl): 28S - 35S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
D. Bradley, L. L. Creswell, C. W. Hogue Jr., A. E. Epstein, E. N. Prystowsky, and E. G. Daoud
Pharmacologic Prophylaxis: American College of Chest Physicians Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Chest, August 1, 2005; 128(2_suppl): 39S - 47S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
E. A. Martinez, E. B. Bass, and P. Zimetbaum
Pharmacologic Control of Rhythm: American College of Chest Physicians Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Chest, August 1, 2005; 128(2_suppl): 48S - 55S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
E. A. Martinez, A. E. Epstein, and E. B. Bass
Pharmacologic Control of Ventricular Rate: American College of Chest Physicians Guidelines for the Prevention and Management of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery
Chest, August 1, 2005; 128(2_suppl): 56S - 60S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.Home page
K. Prasongsukarn, J. G. Abel, W.R. E. Jamieson, A. Cheung, J. A. Russell, K. R. Walley, and S. V. Lichtenstein
The effects of steroids on the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting surgery: A prospective randomized trial
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., July 1, 2005; 130(1): 93 - 98.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
Y. Ishii, R. B. Schuessler, S. L. Gaynor, K. Yamada, A. S. Fu, J. P. Boineau, and R. J. Damiano Jr
Inflammation of Atrium After Cardiac Surgery Is Associated With Inhomogeneity of Atrial Conduction and Atrial Fibrillation
Circulation, June 7, 2005; 111(22): 2881 - 2888.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
K. Ak, S. Akgun, T. Tecimer, C. S. Isbir, A. Civelek, A. Tekeli, S. Arsan, and A. Cobanoglu
Determination of Histopathologic Risk Factors for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Cardiac Surgery
Ann. Thorac. Surg., June 1, 2005; 79(6): 1970 - 1975.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
J. Auer, G. Lamm, T. Weber, K. Mandal, M. Jahangiri, M. Mukhin, J. Poloniecki, A. J. Camm, and Q. Xu
Letter Regarding Article by Mandal et al, "Association of Anti-Heat Shock Protein 65 Antibodies With Development of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation" * Response
Circulation, May 24, 2005; 111(20): e306 - e306.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.Home page
A. Sedrakyan, T. Treasure, J. Browne, H. Krumholz, C. Sharpin, and J. van der Meulen
Pharmacologic prophylaxis for postoperative atrial tachyarrhythmia in general thoracic surgery: Evidence from randomized clinical trials
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., May 1, 2005; 129(5): 997 - 1005.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
B. Lo, R. Fijnheer, A. P. Nierich, P. Bruins, and C. J. Kalkman
C-Reactive Protein is a Risk Indicator for Atrial Fibrillation After Myocardial Revascularization
Ann. Thorac. Surg., May 1, 2005; 79(5): 1530 - 1535.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HeartHome page
S Miller, E Crystal, M Garfinkle, C Lau, I Lashevsky, and S J Connolly
Effects of magnesium on atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: a meta-analysis
Heart, May 1, 2005; 91(5): 618 - 623.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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SEMIN CARDIOTHORAC VASC ANESTHHome page
R. Kailasam, C. A. Palin, and C. W. Hogue Jr
Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery: An Evidence-Based Approach to Prevention
Seminars in Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia, March 1, 2005; 9(1): 77 - 85.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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Am J Health Syst PharmHome page
M. L. Brackbill and L. Moberg
Magnesium sulfate for prevention of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting
Am. J. Health Syst. Pharm., February 15, 2005; 62(4): 397 - 399.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
J. Alex and L. Guvendik
Evaluation of Ventral Cardiac Denervation As a Prophylaxis Against Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
Ann. Thorac. Surg., February 1, 2005; 79(2): 517 - 520.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.Home page
N. Ad, A. Schneider, I. Khaliulin, J. B. Borman, and H. Schwalb
Impaired mitochondrial response to simulated ischemic injury as a predictor of the development of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: In vitro study in human myocardium
J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg., January 1, 2005; 129(1): 41 - 45.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Ann. Thorac. Surg.Home page
H. Kohno, T. Koyanagi, H. Kasegawa, and M. Miyazaki
Three-Day Magnesium Administration Prevents Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting
Ann. Thorac. Surg., January 1, 2005; 79(1): 117 - 126.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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EuropaceHome page
T. Hakala, A. J.M. Valtola, A. K. Turpeinen, A. E. Hedman, R. E.U. Vuorenniemi, J. M. Karjalainen, I. S. Vajanto, J. Kouri, P. A. Jaakkola, and J. E.K. Hartikainen
Right atrial overdrive pacing does not prevent atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass surgery
Europace, January 1, 2005; 7(2): 170 - 174.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Asian Cardiovasc. Thorac. Ann.Home page
E. A Black, S. Ghosh, K. Sin, T. Spyt, and R. Pillai
Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery
Asian Cardiovasc Thorac Ann, December 1, 2004; 12(4): 379 - 386.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg.Home page
Y. Enc, B. Ketenci, D. Ozsoy, G. Camur, I. Kayacioglu, S. Terzi, and S. Cicek
Atrial fibrillation after surgical revascularization: is there any difference between on-pump and off-pump?
Eur. J. Cardiothorac. Surg., December 1, 2004; 26(6): 1129 - 1133.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
T. Ege, E. Tatli, S. Canbaz, M. Cikirikcioglu, H. Sunar, B. Ozalp, and E. Duran
The Importance of Intrapericardial Drain Selection in Cardiac Surgery
Chest, November 1, 2004; 126(5): 1559 - 1562.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
S. J. Kernis, V. T. Nkomo, D. Messika-Zeitoun, B. J. Gersh, T. M. Sundt III, K. V. Ballman, C. G. Scott, H. V. Schaff, and M. Enriquez-Sarano
Atrial Fibrillation After Surgical Correction of Mitral Regurgitation in Sinus Rhythm: Incidence, Outcome, and Determinants
Circulation, October 19, 2004; 110(16): 2320 - 2325.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
J. M. Leung, W. H. Bellows, and N. B. Schiller
Impairment of left atrial function predicts post-operative atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass graft surgery
Eur. Heart J., October 2, 2004; 25(20): 1836 - 1844.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
D. Amar, W. Shi, C. W. Hogue Jr, H. Zhang, R. S. Passman, B. Thomas, P. B. Bach, R. Damiano, and H. T. Thaler
Clinical prediction rule for atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass grafting
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., September 15, 2004; 44(6): 1248 - 1253.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
Y. Ishii, M. J. Gleva, M. C. Gamache, R. B. Schuessler, J. P. Boineau, M. S. Bailey, and R. J. Damiano Jr
Atrial Tachyarrhythmias After the Maze Procedure: Incidence and Prognosis
Circulation, September 14, 2004; 110(11_suppl_1): II-164 - II-168.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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SEMIN CARDIOTHORAC VASC ANESTHHome page
C. A. Palin, R. Kailasam, and C. W. Hogue Jr
Atrial Fibrillation After Cardiac Surgery: Pathophysiology and Treatment
Seminars in Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia, September 1, 2004; 8(3): 175 - 183.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
J. Kerstein, A. Soodan, M. Qamar, M. Majid, E. Lichstein, G. Hollander, and J. Shani
Giving IV and Oral Amiodarone Perioperatively for the Prevention of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery: The GAP Study
Chest, September 1, 2004; 126(3): 716 - 724.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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ChestHome page
D. E. Singer, G. W. Albers, J. E. Dalen, A. S. Go, J. L. Halperin, and W. J. Manning
Antithrombotic Therapy in Atrial Fibrillation: The Seventh ACCP Conference on Antithrombotic and Thrombolytic Therapy
Chest, September 1, 2004; 126(3_suppl): 429S - 456S.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
J. Auer, T. Weber, R. Berent, G. Lamm, and B. Eber
Serum potassium level and risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing cardiac surgery
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., August 18, 2004; 44(4): 938 - 939.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
J. E. MacDonald and A. D. Struthers
Serum potassium level and risk of postoperative atrial fibrillation in patients undergoing cardiac surgery": Reply
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., August 18, 2004; 44(4): 939 - 939.
[Full Text] [PDF]