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Circulation. 2004
Published online before print August 23, 2004, doi: 10.1161/01.CIR.0000140677.20606.0E
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Submitted on February 8, 2004
Revised on May 24, 2004
Accepted on May 27, 2004

Impact of the Metabolic Syndrome on Mortality From Coronary Heart Disease, Cardiovascular Disease, and All Causes in United States Adults

Shaista Malik MD, MPH, Nathan D. Wong PhD, MPH*, Stanley S. Franklin MD, Tripthi V. Kamath PhD, Gilbert J. L’Italien PhD, Jose R. Pio BS, and G. Rhys Williams ScD

From the Heart Disease Prevention Program, University of California, Irvine (S.M., N.D.W., S.S.F., J.R.P.), and Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharmaceutical Research Institute, Princeton, NJ (T.V.K., G.J.L., G.R.W.).

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: ndwong{at}uci.edu.

Background--Mortality resulting from coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all causes in persons with diabetes and pre-existing CVD is high; however, these risks compared with those with metabolic syndrome (MetS) are unclear. We examined the impact of MetS on CHD, CVD, and overall mortality among US adults.

Methods and Results--In a prospective cohort study, 6255 subjects 30 to 75 years of age (54% female) (representative of 64 million adults in the United States) from the Second National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were followed for a mean±SD of 13.3±3.8 years. MetS was defined by modified National Cholesterol Education Program criteria. From sample-weighted multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression, compared with those with neither MetS nor prior CVD, age-, gender-, and risk factor-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for CHD mortality were 2.02 (95% CI, 1.42 to 2.89) for those with MetS and 4.19 (95% CI, 3.04 to 5.79) for those with pre-existing CVD. For CVD mortality, HRs were 1.82 (95% CI, 1.40 to 2.37) and 3.14 (95% CI, 2.49 to 3.96), respectively; for overall mortality, HRs were 1.40 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.66) and 1.87 (95% CI, 1.60 to 2.17), respectively. In persons with MetS but without diabetes, risks of CHD and CVD mortality remained elevated. Diabetes predicted all mortality end points. Those with even 1 to 2 MetS risk factors were at increased risk for mortality from CHD and CVD. Moreover, MetS more strongly predicts CHD, CVD, and total mortality than its individual components.

Conclusions--CHD, CVD, and total mortality are significantly higher in US adults with than in those without MetS.


Key words: diabetes mellitus • risk factors • metabolic syndrome X • mortality


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Diabetes Care, November 1, 2006; 29(11): 2420 - 2426.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
M. Monami, L. Lambertucci, A. Ungar, M. Pieri, G. Masotti, N. Marchionni, and E. Mannucci
Is the third component of metabolic syndrome really predictive of outcomes in type 2 diabetic patients?
Diabetes Care, November 1, 2006; 29(11): 2515 - 2517.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Arterioscler. Thromb. Vasc. Bio.Home page
M.-C. Alessi and I. Juhan-Vague
PAI-1 and the Metabolic Syndrome: Links, Causes, and Consequences
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, October 1, 2006; 26(10): 2200 - 2207.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HeartHome page
E Ingelsson, J Arnlov, L Lind, and J Sundstrom
Metabolic syndrome and risk for heart failure in middle-aged men
Heart, October 1, 2006; 92(10): 1409 - 1413.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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SEMIN CARDIOTHORAC VASC ANESTHHome page
P. A. van Zwieten and G. Mancia
Background and treatment of metabolic syndrome: a therapeutic challenge.
Seminars in Cardiothoracic and Vascular Anesthesia, September 1, 2006; 10(3): 206 - 214.
[Abstract] [PDF]


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The Annals of PharmacotherapyHome page
B. H. Sanders, L. M Lubsch, and D. S West
Prevalence and Treatment of Metabolic Syndrome in Adolescents with Type 2 Diabetes
Ann. Pharmacother., September 1, 2006; 40(9): 1517 - 1521.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
Authors/Task Force Members, K. Fox, M. A. A. Garcia, D. Ardissino, P. Buszman, P. G. Camici, F. Crea, C. Daly, G. De Backer, P. Hjemdahl, et al.
Guidelines on the management of stable angina pectoris: executive summary: The Task Force on the Management of Stable Angina Pectoris of the European Society of Cardiology
Eur. Heart J., June 1, 2006; 27(11): 1341 - 1381.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Journals of Gerontology Series A: Biological Sciences and Medical SciencesHome page
S. Maggi, M. Noale, P. Gallina, D. Bianchi, C. Marzari, F. Limongi, G. Crepaldi, and for the ILSA Working Group
Metabolic syndrome, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease in an elderly caucasian cohort: the italian longitudinal study on aging.
J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci., May 1, 2006; 61(5): 505 - 510.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arterioscler. Thromb. Vasc. Bio.Home page
P. Poirier, T. D. Giles, G. A. Bray, Y. Hong, J. S. Stern, F. X. Pi-Sunyer, and R. H. Eckel
Obesity and cardiovascular disease: pathophysiology, evaluation, and effect of weight loss.
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, May 1, 2006; 26(5): 968 - 976.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
J. S. Rana, A. C. Jansen, A. H. Zwinderman, M. Nieuwdorp, E. S. van Aalst-Cohen, J. W. Jukema, M. D. Trip, and J. J.P. Kastelein
Metabolic Syndrome and Risk of Coronary, Cerebral, and Peripheral Vascular Disease in a Large Dutch Population With Familial Hypercholesterolemia
Diabetes Care, May 1, 2006; 29(5): 1125 - 1127.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Postgrad. Med. J.Home page
L A Adams and P Angulo
Treatment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.
Postgrad. Med. J., May 1, 2006; 82(967): 315 - 322.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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HypertensionHome page
G. Schillaci, M. Pirro, G. Pucci, M. R. Mannarino, F. Gemelli, D. Siepi, G. Vaudo, and E. Mannarino
Different Impact of the Metabolic Syndrome on Left Ventricular Structure and Function in Hypertensive Men and Women
Hypertension, May 1, 2006; 47(5): 881 - 886.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
J. Butler, N. Rodondi, Y. Zhu, K. Figaro, S. Fazio, D. E. Vaughan, S. Satterfield, A. B. Newman, B. Goodpaster, D. C. Bauer, et al.
Metabolic Syndrome and the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Older Adults
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., April 18, 2006; 47(8): 1595 - 1602.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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BMJHome page
J. Sundstrom, U. Riserus, L. Byberg, B. Zethelius, H. Lithell, and L. Lind
Clinical value of the metabolic syndrome for long term prediction of total and cardiovascular mortality: prospective, population based cohort study
BMJ, April 15, 2006; 332(7546): 878 - 882.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arterioscler. Thromb. Vasc. Bio.Home page
K. Matsushita, H. Yatsuya, K. Tamakoshi, K. Wada, R. Otsuka, S. Takefuji, K. Sugiura, T. Kondo, T. Murohara, and H. Toyoshima
Comparison of Circulating Adiponectin and Proinflammatory Markers Regarding Their Association With Metabolic Syndrome in Japanese Men
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, April 1, 2006; 26(4): 871 - 876.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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StrokeHome page
H.-J. Chen, C.-H. Bai, W.-T. Yeh, H.-C. Chiu, and W.-H. Pan
Influence of Metabolic Syndrome and General Obesity on the Risk of Ischemic Stroke
Stroke, April 1, 2006; 37(4): 1060 - 1064.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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J Am Coll CardiolHome page
S. M. Grundy
Metabolic Syndrome: Connecting and Reconciling Cardiovascular and Diabetes Worlds
J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., March 21, 2006; 47(6): 1093 - 1100.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur Heart JHome page
J. Dallongeville, M.-C. Grupposo, D. Cottel, J. Ferrieres, D. Arveiler, A. Bingham, J.-B. Ruidavets, B. Haas, P. Ducimetiere, and P. Amouyel
Association between the metabolic syndrome and parental history of premature cardiovascular disease
Eur. Heart J., March 2, 2006; 27(6): 722 - 728.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Eur J EndocrinolHome page
S. G. Kim, O. H. Ryu, H. Y. Kim, K. W. Lee, J. A Seo, N. H. Kim, K. M. Choi, J. Lee, S. H. Baik, and D. S. Choi
Effect of rosiglitazone on plasma adiponectin levels and arterial stiffness in subjects with prediabetes or non-diabetic metabolic syndrome.
Eur. J. Endocrinol., March 1, 2006; 154(3): 433 - 440.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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JAMAHome page
P. Kohli and P. Greenland
Role of the Metabolic Syndrome in Risk Assessment for Coronary Heart Disease
JAMA, February 15, 2006; 295(7): 819 - 821.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
P. Poirier, T. D. Giles, G. A. Bray, Y. Hong, J. S. Stern, F. X. Pi-Sunyer, and R. H. Eckel
Obesity and Cardiovascular Disease: Pathophysiology, Evaluation, and Effect of Weight Loss: An Update of the 1997 American Heart Association Scientific Statement on Obesity and Heart Disease From the Obesity Committee of the Council on Nutrition, Physical Activity, and Metabolism
Circulation, February 14, 2006; 113(6): 898 - 918.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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CirculationHome page
T. Thom, N. Haase, W. Rosamond, V. J. Howard, J. Rumsfeld, T. Manolio, Z.-J. Zheng, K. Flegal, C. O'Donnell, S. Kittner, et al.
Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics--2006 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee
Circulation, February 14, 2006; 113(6): e85 - e151.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
P. T. Katzmarzyk, I. Janssen, R. Ross, T. S. Church, and S. N. Blair
The Importance of Waist Circumference in the Definition of Metabolic Syndrome: Prospective analyses of mortality in men
Diabetes Care, February 1, 2006; 29(2): 404 - 409.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Arterioscler. Thromb. Vasc. Bio.Home page
L. Lind, B. Vessby, and J. Sundstrom
The Apolipoprotein B/AI Ratio and the Metabolic Syndrome Independently Predict Risk for Myocardial Infarction in Middle-Aged Men
Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol, February 1, 2006; 26(2): 406 - 410.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
M. Pladevall, B. Singal, L. K. Williams, C. Brotons, H. Guyer, J. Sadurni, C. Falces, M. Serrano-Rios, R. Gabriel, J. E. Shaw, et al.
A Single Factor Underlies the Metabolic Syndrome: A confirmatory factor analysis
Diabetes Care, January 1, 2006; 29(1): 113 - 122.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
L. E. Eberly, R. Prineas, J. D. Cohen, G. Vazquez, X. Zhi, J. D. Neaton, L. H. Kuller, and for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial Re
Metabolic Syndrome: Risk factor distribution and 18-year mortality in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial
Diabetes Care, January 1, 2006; 29(1): 123 - 130.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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Diabetes CareHome page
C. Lahoz, I. Vicente, F. Laguna, M. F. Garcia-Iglesias, M. Taboada, and J. M. Mostaza
Metabolic Syndrome and Asymptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease in Subjects Over 60 Years of Age
Diabetes Care, January 1, 2006; 29(1): 148 - 150.
[Full Text] [PDF]


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Arch Intern MedHome page
S. G. Wannamethee, A. G. Shaper, L. Lennon, and R. W. Morris
Metabolic Syndrome vs Framingham Risk Score for Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease, Stroke, and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Arch Intern Med, December 12, 2005; 165(22): 2644 - 2650.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


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DiabetesHome page
G. Targher, L. Bertolini, F. Poli, S. Rodella, L. Scala, R. Tessari, L. Zenari, and G. Falezza
Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Future Cardiovascular Events Among Type 2 Diabetic Patients
Diabetes, December 1, 2005; 54(12): 3541 - 3546.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]