(Circulation. 1999;99:216-223.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Section of Cardiology, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, NH (J.F.P.); School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston (B.R.D., L.A.M., L.B.P., L.M.S.); Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass (F.M.S., M.A.P., E.B.); Montreal Heart Institute, Montreal, Quebec, Canada (J.L.R.); Division of Cardiology, Vancouver General Hospital, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada (V.B.); Section of Cardiology, University of Manitoba Health Sciences Center, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada (T.E.C.); and Cardiology Division, University of TexasSouthwestern Medical Center at Dallas (J.R.).
Correspondence to Jonathan F. Plehn, MD, Section of Cardiology, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, 1 Medical Center Dr, Lebanon, NH 03756. E-mail jonathan.f.plehn{at}hitchcock.org
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsTo test the hypothesis that cholesterol reduction with pravastatin may reduce stroke incidence after myocardial infarction, we followed 4159 subjects with average total and LDL serum cholesterol levels (mean, 209 and 139 mg/dL, respectively) who had sustained an infarction an average of 10 months before study entry and who were randomized to pravastatin 40 mg/d or placebo in the Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial. Using prospectively defined criteria, we assessed the incidence of stroke, a prespecified secondary end point, and transient ischemic attack (TIA) over a median 5-year follow-up period. Patients were well matched for stroke risk factors and the use of antiplatelet agents (85% of subjects in each group). Compared with placebo, pravastatin lowered total serum cholesterol by 20%, LDL cholesterol by 32%, and triglycerides by 14% and raised HDL cholesterol by 5% over the course of the trial. A total of 128 strokes (52 on pravastatin, 76 on placebo) and 216 strokes or TIAs (92 on pravastatin, 124 on placebo) were observed, representing a 32% reduction (95% CI, 4% to 52%, P=0.03) in all-cause stroke and 27% reduction in stroke or TIA (95% CI, 4% to 44%, P=0.02). All categories of strokes were reduced, and treatment effect was similar when adjusted for age, sex, history of hypertension, cigarette smoking, diabetes, left ventricular ejection fraction, and baseline total, HDL, and LDL cholesterol and triglyceride levels. There was no increase in hemorrhagic stroke in patients on pravastatin compared with placebo (2 versus 6, respectively).
ConclusionsPravastatin significantly reduced stroke and stroke or TIA incidence after myocardial infarction in patients with average serum cholesterol levels despite the high concurrent use of antiplatelet therapy.
Key Words: stroke cholesterol myocardial infarction arteriosclerosis lipids
| Introduction |
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Despite the tenuous epidemiological relationship between serum cholesterol and stroke, it is possible that populations with prevalent atherosclerotic disease, who are at high risk for cerebrovascular events, may benefit from cholesterol modification. The availability of more potent cholesterol-lowering agents, in the form of ß-hydroxy-ß-methyl glutaryl coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors, or "statins," has led investigators to examine this possibility in multicenter cholesterol treatment trials aimed primarily at modification of coronary artery disease outcomes.9 10 11 Although a reduction in stroke incidence with statins has been suggested,9 11 12 these results have been observed in post hoc analyses and are therefore subject to statistical concern.
The Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) trial was the first large-scale secondary prevention trial of cholesterol reduction with an HMG-CoA reductase inhibitor after myocardial infarction in which stroke was a prespecified end point.13 14 In 4159 patients with average cholesterol levels (mean total cholesterol of 209 mg/dL and LDL cholesterol of 139 mg/dL), the primary end point of the study, coronary artery diseaserelated death or nonfatal myocardial infarction, was reduced by 24% in pravastatin-treated patients compared with those on placebo. In addition, investigator-reported stroke incidence declined by 31% (3% to 52%, P=0.03) in patients assigned to pravastatin. To further elucidate the relationship between pravastatin treatment and cerebrovascular outcome in this population, the CARE Endpoints Committee developed categorical stroke definitions at the outset of the study and subsequently performed a detailed review of all reported cerebrovascular events. We report the results of this investigation.
| Methods |
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220 mg/dL, left ventricular ejection
fraction of
25%, and absence of symptomatic congestive
heart failure. The qualifying myocardial infarction was centrally
confirmed at an ECG core laboratory. Plasma lipid levels were obtained
on at least 2 occasions a minimum of 8 weeks after myocardial
infarction and averaged to determine patient eligibility. Lipids were
measured at a reference core laboratory standardized by the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention. Recruitment for CARE took place at 80
centers (67 in the United States and 13 in Canada) between December 4,
1989, and December 31, 1991. Neurological events were included in the standard adverse event reporting protocol and were collected and stored at a central data coordinating center. Attempts were made to obtain office and hospital notes, consultation reports, discharge summaries, autopsy results, and reports of duplex ultrasound, angiographic, CT, and MRI studies. Data on all reported cases of possible cerebrovascular events were provided to the CARE Endpoints Committee, which was blinded to lipid data and treatment group. Cases were randomly distributed to the 8 committee members for event categorization, and each event was independently reviewed by 2 committee members. Disagreements were resolved by investigator consensus or, failing this, by the committee as a whole.
Definitions
On the basis of the following classifications defined at the
outset of the study, events were categorized as either stroke or
transient ischemic attack (TIA), and strokes were further
subcategorized as to pathogenesis. The diagnosis of stroke
included patients with an acute disturbance of focal
neurological or monocular function resulting in either death or signs
and/or symptoms of presumed vascular origin that persisted for
24
hours, whereas TIA was diagnosed when such a neurological
disturbance lasted <24 hours. Only a single event was counted
per subject, with stroke taking precedence over TIA.
Strokes were categorized as follows.
Ischemic: Infarction due to large-artery
atherosclerosis with angiographic or duplex scan
evidence of stenosis (
90%) or total occlusion of the
internal carotid artery or siphon, basilar artery, or major cerebral
artery stem in a distribution consistent with the patient's
signs and symptoms and without strong evidence of a separate
cardioembolic source. In the absence of confirmatory laboratory
results, an ipsilateral bruit or prior TIA also resulted in this
diagnosis. A high-convexity infarction on CT or MRI also served as
evidence of large-artery infarction if there had been no TIA within the
preceding 30 days.
Lacunar: Stroke with consciousness and higher cerebral
function maintained in the setting of one of the typical lacunar
syndromes: pure motor, pure sensory, pure sensorimotor, pure
hemiballism, or pure hemichorea. The patient had to have had a CT
and/or MRI scan within 1 week after the stroke that was normal or that
demonstrated a small, deep infarct in the basal ganglia, internal
capsule, or brain stem. If angiography was performed, the major
ipsilateral cerebral artery must not have demonstrated severe disease,
defined as
90% stenosis.
Embolic: Stroke with a recognized cardiac source without definite evidence of large-artery occlusive disease. This included atrial fibrillation or flutter, endocarditis, myocardial infarction within the previous 6 weeks, presence of a prosthetic heart valve, atrial myxoma, right-to-left intracardiac shunt with right-sided source of embolus, and pulmonary venous thrombosis.
Tandem arterial pathology: When an extracranial
lesion was insufficient in itself to account for stroke on a
hemodynamic basis but might have served as a source of
embolism, this diagnosis was made. Supportive findings included a
hemispheric surface infarct, a stenosis of
70%, a single
ulcer of >2 mm in depth or multiple craters in the internal
carotid artery, and a >50% stenosis of any major cerebral
stem or the basilar artery.
Endarterectomy-related: An embolic stroke occurring at the time of carotid endarterectomy.
Procedure-related: A stroke occurring in close temporal relationship to an invasive catheter or surgical procedure other than endarterectomy.
Indeterminate cause or stroke with a normal angiogram: Definite cerebral infarction not meeting one of the above-described criteria or when there was >1 possible explanation for stroke. A bruit or a history of a TIA ipsilateral to the stroke-affected hemisphere could not have been present. There also could not have been an obvious cardiac source of embolism, a normal CT or MRI scan, or one that demonstrated definite diagnostic findings. Scans in which the interpretation would not allow for reliable classification of a traditional stroke category also fit into this classification.
Other unusual causes: Cerebral infarction due to a rare cause, such as arteritis, aortic dissection, fibromuscular hyperplasia, migraine, mycotic aneurysm, or other diagnosed, but rare or unusual, causes of stroke.
Hemorrhagic: Intra-axial (cerebral or cerebellar) hemorrhage as diagnosed by CT or MRI scans. The diagnosis of subarachnoid hemorrhage required a typical clinical presentation, including the sudden onset of headache, with or without focal signs, and positive scan or lumbar puncture evidence of bleeding primarily in the subarachnoid space.
Patients
The main results of the CARE study have been reported
previously.14 There were 4159 subjects (86% male, 14%
female) with a mean age of 59±9 years recruited between December 4,
1989, and December 31, 1991, and randomized to the active (n=2081) or
placebo (n=2078) arms of the trial. Randomization into CARE occurred at
a mean of 10 months (range, 3 to 20 months) after index myocardial
infarction in both groups. Baseline lipids were identical in the
placebo and treatment arms, with total serum cholesterol of
209±17 mg/dL, VLDL cholesterol of 27±16 mg/dL, LDL
cholesterol of 139±15 mg/dL, HDL cholesterol
of 39±9 mg/dL, and triglycerides of 155±61 mg/dL. Risk
factors for stroke15 16 were also similar at baseline. The
prevalences of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, current smoking,
congestive heart failure, and left ventricular ejection
fractions were no different between placebo and treatment groups. In
addition, at randomization, 83% of patients in both groups were
currently taking aspirin on a regular basis, with an additional 2%
taking another form of platelet inhibitor. Warfarin was
used by 3.5% and 3.7% of placebo-treated and actively treated
patients, respectively (P=NS). There was a history of prior
stroke in 2.9% of placebo- and 3.0% of
pravastatin-treated patients, with 4.8% and 5.3%,
respectively, of subjects having experienced either stroke or TIA in
the past (P=NS for both).
Statistical Analysis
All analyses were performed on an intention-to-treat
basis, and P values were 2-sided. The effect of therapy on
stroke and stroke/TIA and reductions in risk were assessed with a Cox
proportional hazards model.17 Treatment effects were also
analyzed as in the prespecified subgroups of the primary end
point of this trial.14 A Cox proportional hazards model
was used to assess the relation of lipid measurements to treatment
effects.
| Results |
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Cerebrovascular Events
Based on the Endpoint Committee's chart review, 14 of the
original 132 investigator-reported strokes were reclassified as
noncerebrovascular events, and 10 new cases were added, for a total of
128 adjudicated strokes. Of the initial 118 investigator-diagnosed
TIAs, the committee rejected 16 cases and added 4, for a total of 106.
Of these 106 TIAs, 18 occurred in patients who went on to manifest
stroke. Thus, 88 cases of isolated TIAs were confirmed by committee
review, for a total of 216 strokes or TIAs (see Appendix).
Over a median 5-year follow-up period (Figure 1
), first incident stroke of any type
occurred in 52 patients assigned to pravastatin and 76
placebo patients, representing a 32% reduction in relative
risk (4% to 52%, P=0.03). Similarly, strokes or TIAs were
experienced by 92 patients receiving pravastatin compared
with 124 on placebo, for a relative risk reduction of 27% (4% to
44%, P=0.02), as portrayed in Figure 2
. There was a treatment-associated
reduction in all stroke categories (Table 1
), although there was inadequate
power to test for significance because of the limited number of outcome
events in each class. A 21% (-20% to 48%,
P=0.268) risk reduction for ischemic
(atherosclerotic or tandem arterial pathology) strokes was
observed. There was no increase in intracerebral
hemorrhages on pravastatin, with 6 events occurring
in placebo-treated patients compared with 2 on active therapy. Only 6
fatal strokes were documented, which included 5 patients on
pravastatin versus 1 on placebo.
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Effect of Baseline Characteristics
In univariate analysis, the variables of
age
60 years; absence of a history of hypertension, diabetes, prior
stroke, or TIA; and a left ventricular ejection fraction
>40% were all associated with enhanced reduction of stroke or TIA
with pravastatin (Table 2
).
However, when evaluated by stepwise regression, both stroke and stroke
or TIA incidence were reduced independently of potential covariates,
including age, sex, history of hypertension, current use of cigarettes,
diabetes, left ventricular ejection fraction, history of
stroke or TIA, and baseline lipid values.
|
To detect potential trends in the effect of baseline lipid values on
treatment efficacy, subjects were dichotomized by median cutpoints
(Tables 3
and 4
). Pravastatin reduced both
stroke and stroke or TIA incidence in patients with higher lipid
levels, including total, LDL, and HDL cholesterol and
triglycerides. There was no significant event reduction in
patients with lower baseline levels. Further division of baseline LDL
cholesterol into quintiles, as portrayed in Figure 3
(lowest quintile at <125 mg/dL, middle
3 quintiles at 125 to 150 mg/dL inclusive, upper quintile at >150
mg/dL), revealed a trend toward a greater reduction in stroke and
stroke or TIA with increasing LDL cholesterol, which became
more evident at levels >150 mg/dL. Above this cutpoint, patients on
pravastatin exhibited a 44% reduction in stroke (-14 to
73, P=NS) and a 54% reduction in stroke or TIA (17
to 74, P=0.009). However, a test for interaction
between the treatment effect in the 3 LDL cholesterol
groups was of only borderline significance (P=0.07).
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| Discussion |
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The availability of better-tolerated and more powerful lipid-lowering agents in the form of statins has rekindled interest in the possible modification of atherothrombotic cerebrovascular disease outcome. This enthusiasm has been supported by ultrasonic evidence of plaque regression or prevention of plaque propagation associated with lovastatin or pravastatin treatment.25 26 27 28 Thus, application of statins to selected populations at increased risk for cerebrovascular events might result in enhanced therapeutic success compared with earlier modalities, and this possibility led to the inclusion of stroke as a prespecified end point in CARE.13
Treatment Effect and Relation to Underlying Stroke Risk
Patients who have experienced myocardial infarction are one of the
populations at elevated risk for subsequent stroke. Although a
cardioembolic mechanism prevails in the early phase of recovery (<3
months), an increased risk of ischemic stroke has been
documented in the postinfarction period,29 which is
probably related to the association between coronary and
cerebrovascular atherosclerosis.30 31 32
CARE patients, who were randomized at 3 to 20 months (mean, 10 months)
after index myocardial infarction, therefore provided a population in
whom a relatively high frequency of ischemic stroke would be
expected and in whom pravastatin therapy might be
efficacious. This presumption was, in fact, confirmed by the observed
ischemic and nonhemorrhagic stroke rates of 1.9% and 3.4%,
respectively, in placebo patients over the 5-year follow-up period
despite concurrent use of platelet inhibitors by 85%
of CARE participants.
Although a treatment effect was observed in the CARE population, application of these results to broader populations at lower risk of stroke may be unwarranted, and recent meta-analyses enthusiastically endorsing the general application of statins for stroke reduction should be met with tempered enthusiasm at the present time.33 34 35 36 These reviews were largely powered by the results of CARE and the Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S), trials involving patients with overt cardiovascular disease, and the role of statins in primary stroke prevention has not as yet been established. In fact, when primary and secondary prevention statin trials have been analytically segregated, a nonsignificant, 15% to 20% reduction in stroke events has been observed in the former studies, compared with a 31% to 32% reduction in the latter.33 34 The nonsignificant 11% stroke reduction observed in the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study (WOSCOPS), an investigation of the effects of pravastatin on cardiovascular outcome in patients with moderate hypercholesterolemia without prior myocardial infarction, would also seem to underscore this uncertainty.37
The ability of pravastatin to lower stroke incidence, a prespecified study end point in CARE, although substantial, was not strongly statistically significant, with values of P=0.03 and P=0.02 for stroke and stroke or TIA reduction, respectively. However, the CARE findings are consistent with and supported by those previously reported in 4S. In a post hoc analysis of the latter, 30% and 31% reductions in stroke and TIA, respectively, were initially reported in patients treated with simvastatin after myocardial infarction or angina pectoris,11 38 although subsequent reanalysis of the data indicated a slightly more modest 28% reduction in fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events.12 In any event, both CARE and 4S suggest a significant benefit of pravastatin and simvastatin in stroke reduction when selected coronary artery disease populations are targeted. The improvement in cerebrovascular outcome with pravastatin in CARE was particularly notable, because this was observed despite the high background use of platelet inhibitors, which have known cerebrovascular protective effects.
Mechanisms of Stroke Reduction
Pravastatin therapy in CARE resulted in a 21%
decrease in ischemic stroke events, an effect that did not
reach statistical significance, probably because of the inadequate
number of outcome events in this category. However, the considerably
greater 32% reduction in all-cause stroke suggests that other
mechanisms affecting both atherosclerotic and nonatherosclerotic
processes could have been operative. Statins have previously
demonstrated a variety of properties that might potentially alter the
course of cerebrovascular disease.39 40 Their beneficial
effects on vascular physiology have been documented in laboratory
studies and include plaque stabilization, suppression of inflammation,
improvement in endothelial function, and platelet
antiaggregant activity. It has even been suggested that statins may
reduce lacunar infarction, a condition generally believed to be of
hypertensive pathogenesis.39 In addition, statins, by
limiting recurrent myocardial infarction, may also prevent
deterioration of ventricular systolic function, an
important mechanism of cardioembolic stroke.15 Although
pravastatin therapy was associated with a reduction in all
categories of incident stroke in CARE, the study was inadequately
powered to confirm the possibility of a multimodal pharmacological
effect. Future secondary prevention trials involving larger cohorts of
well-categorized stroke patients may be more definitive in this
regard.
Comparison of Cerebrovascular and Coronary Outcomes
The effects of pravastatin on stroke and
coronary event reduction in CARE appear to be
consistent in a number of ways. First, the 32% reduction in
stroke incidence is comparable to the 24% improvement in the primary
end point of the study: coronary disease mortality or nonfatal
myocardial infarction.14 Also, the divergence of the
treatment arms, as assessed qualitatively, was delayed for both
coronary and stroke events, although to different degrees. The
effect of pravastatin on stroke and stroke or TIA reduction
(Figures 1
and 2
) became appreciable at
3.5 years into
the study, in contrast to an earlier separation (at
1 to 2
years) of the coronary event curves.14
Interestingly, a similar delay in stroke treatment effect was observed
in 4S.12
Another parallel between cerebrovascular and coronary outcomes
in CARE involved the possible predictive value of baseline LDL
cholesterol on treatment effect. LDL
cholesterol levels in the lowest quintile (<125 mg/dL) of
patients assigned to pravastatin were associated with a
nonsignificant 3% increase in combined fatal coronary events,
nonfatal myocardial infarction, and
revascularization procedures
(P=0.85).14 Likewise, a nonsignificant 14%
reduction in stroke or TIA incidence (P=0.631) was noted at
these lipid levels. In contrast, baseline LDL cholesterol
levels in the upper quintile (>150 mg/dL) were associated with risk
reductions of 35% (P=0.008) for the same clustered
coronary outcomes and 54% for stroke or TIA
(P=0.0009), as depicted in Figure 3
. Thus, baseline
LDL cholesterol may be an important predictor of the
efficacy of pravastatin in reducing vascular events,
including myocardial infarction and stroke. However, because the test
for interaction of baseline cholesterol groups did not
quite reach statistical significance (P=0.07), these results
are at best only hypothesis-generating and will require confirmation in
larger, prospective trials.
The univariate analyses of the relationship of
baseline lipoproteins to treatment effect displayed in Tables 3
and 4
are also of interest. When cutpoints at the mean baseline
lipid levels were examined, it appeared that patients with elevated
total, LDL, as well as HDL cholesterols derived greater
cerebrovascular benefit with pravastatin therapy. Although
the enhanced treatment effect found in patients with elevated total and
LDL cholesterol seems logical, it is difficult to
hypothesize an explanation for the similar effect noted with elevated
HDL cholesterol, and this finding will also need to be
reevaluated in future studies.
Safety
The therapeutic benefits of pravastatin in CARE were
accompanied by an excellent safety profile. The CARE study was
specifically targeted at a population with only average serum
cholesterol levels at baseline. Because of previous
concerns that hemorrhagic stroke might be increased in patients with
low cholesterol levels (the J-shaped
curve),1 4 41 lipid modification in populations, like
those in CARE, with average lipid values was considered potentially
hazardous. Nevertheless, despite reductions of 20% and 32% in total
and LDL serum cholesterol, respectively, the hemorrhagic
stroke rate was no greater in pravastatin-treated patients
(n=2) than in those assigned to placebo (n=6). These results are
particularly reassuring, considering that the mean serum
cholesterol level of 167 mg/dL achieved by CARE patients on
active therapy was close to the 160-mg/dL level, below which an
increase in hemorrhagic stroke was observed in MRFIT.1 42
Conversely, the potential increase in fatal strokes previously
associated with clofibrate therapy8 could not be
adequately tested in CARE because of the rarity of this outcome (1 on
placebo and 5 on active treatment). Although a small trend in this
direction has also been observed in WOSCOPS,37 the numbers
were similarly small and nonsignificant. Furthermore, previous
meta-analysis has also failed to detect an increase in fatal
stroke rate related to statin therapy.36
The results of CARE establish the value of lipid modification with pravastatin in reducing stroke or TIA in patients with average LDL cholesterol and a history of myocardial infarction. These data are provocative and suggest that investigation of statin efficacy in other populations at increased risk for cerebrovascular events (eg, patients with stroke or peripheral vascular disease) may also be fruitful.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Appendix 1 |
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Received May 26, 1998; revision received September 4, 1998; accepted September 25, 1998.
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P. A. Wolf, G. P. Clagett, J. D. Easton, L. B. Goldstein, P. B. Gorelick, M. Kelly-Hayes, R. L. Sacco, and J. P. Whisnant Preventing Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Prior Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack : A Statement for Healthcare Professionals From the Stroke Council of the American Heart Association Stroke, September 1, 1999; 30(9): 1991 - 1994. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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F. B. Hu, M. J. Stampfer, E. B. Rimm, J. E. Manson, A. Ascherio, G. A. Colditz, B. A. Rosner, D. Spiegelman, F. E. Speizer, F. M. Sacks, et al. A Prospective Study of Egg Consumption and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Men and Women JAMA, April 21, 1999; 281(15): 1387 - 1394. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Pravastatin Reduces Stroke Too Journal Watch Cardiology, March 12, 1999; 1999(312): 1 - 1. [Full Text] |
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Reduction of Stroke Incidence with Pravastatin Journal Watch (General), February 2, 1999; 1999(202): 3 - 3. [Full Text] |
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