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Circulation. 1997;96:2190-2196

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(Circulation. 1997;96:2190-2196.)
© 1997 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Myocardial Phosphocreatine-to-ATP Ratio Is a Predictor of Mortality in Patients With Dilated Cardiomyopathy

Stefan Neubauer, MD; Michael Horn, PhD; Monika Cramer; Kerstin Harre; John B. Newell, AB; Werner Peters, MD; Thomas Pabst, PhD; Georg Ertl, MD; Dietbert Hahn, MD; Joanne S. Ingwall, PhD; ; Kurt Kochsiek, MD

From the Departments of Medicine and Radiology (S.N., M.H., M.C., K.H., W.P., T.P., G.E., D.H., K.K.), Würzburg University, Germany; the Cardiac Computer Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston (J.B.N.); and the NMR Laboratory for Physiological Chemistry (J.S.I.), Harvard Medical School, Boston Mass. Dr Ertl's present address is II Medizinischen Klinik, Klinikum Mannheim, Universität Heidelberg, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer, 68135 Mannheim, Germany.

Correspondence to Stefan Neubauer, MD, Medizinische Universitätsklinik, Josef-Schneider-Straße 2, 97080 Würzburg, Germany. E-mail s.neubauer{at}rzbox.uni-wuerzburg.de


*    Abstract
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*Abstract
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Background In patients with heart failure due to dilated cardiomyopathy, cardiac energy metabolism is impaired, as indicated by a reduction of the myocardial phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio, measured noninvasively by 31P-MR spectroscopy. The purpose of this study was to test whether the phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio also offers prognostic information in terms of mortality prediction as well as how this index compares with well-known mortality predictors such as left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) or New York Heart Association (NYHA) class.

Methods and Results Thirty-nine patients with dilated cardiomyopathy were followed up for 928±85 days (2.5 years). At study entry, LVEF and NYHA class were determined, and the cardiac phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio was measured by localized 31P-MR spectroscopy of the anterior myocardium. During the study period, total mortality was 26%. Patients were divided into two groups, one with a normal phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio (>1.60; mean±SE, 1.98±0.07; n=19; healthy volunteers: 1.94±0.11, n=30) and one with a reduced phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio (<1.60; 1.30±0.05; n=20). At reevaluation (mean, 2.5 years), 8 of 20 patients with reduced phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratios had died, all of cardiovascular causes (total and cardiovascular mortality, 40%). Of the 19 patients with normal phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratios, 2 had died (total mortality, 11%), one of cardiovascular causes (cardiovascular mortality, 5%). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly reduced total (P=.036) and cardiovascular (P=.016) mortality for patients with normal versus patients with low phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratios. A Cox model for multivariate analysis showed that the phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio and NYHA class offered significant independent prognostic information on cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusions The myocardial phosphocreatine-to-ATP ratio, measured noninvasively with 31P-MR spectroscopy, is a predictor of both total and cardiovascular mortality in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy.


Key Words: spectroscopy, magnetic resonance • mortality • heart failure • metabolism


*    Introduction
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The tissue contents of the high-energy phosphate compounds ATP and phosphocreatine in normal and diseased human myocardium can be determined noninvasively by 31P-MR spectroscopy.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 In heart failure due to dilated cardiomyopathy, we11 12 and others13 have described an impairment of energy metabolism as attested to by reduced myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, which correlated with the degree of failure.11 12

On the basis of these observations of altered high-energy phosphate metabolism in human dilated cardiomyopathy as well as experimental findings in animal models of cardiac failure,14 15 16 17 18 19 it has been suggested that an impaired energetic state of the myocardium contributes to the development and progression of heart failure.20 Because ATP and its energy-reserve phosphocreatine are essential for normal cardiac function, alterations in these high-energy phosphate compounds such as occur in heart failure may be predictors of mortality. In patients with heart failure, a number of clinical, hemodynamic, biochemical, and electrophysiological predictors of mortality have been described (for a review, see Reference 2121 ) that include, among others, NYHA class,21 exercise capacity,22 LVEF,23 plasma norepinephrine,24 and atrial natriuretic peptide25 levels or hypokalemia.26 The purpose of the present study was to test whether the myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratio, measured by 31P-MR spectroscopy, is a significant long-term predictor of mortality in patients with heart failure due to dilated cardiomyopathy and, if so, how phosphocreatine/ATP ranks in its predictive power among traditional indices such as LVEF and NYHA class. In this way, we can assess whether the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio provides independent information on mortality.


*    Methods
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Patient Characteristics
All studies were approved by the Ethics Committee of the University of Würzburg. Thirty-nine patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (Table 1Down) had a reduced LVEF of <50%. Of these patients, 34 were male and 5 were female; mean age was 50±2 years (range, 26 to 66 years). The presumed origin of dilated cardiomyopathy was alcoholic in 12, myocarditis in 3, and idiopathic in 24 patients. In all patients, LVEF was determined by radiocontrast left ventriculography (34) or radionuclide scan (5) averaging 30±2%. In all patients, coronary artery disease was ruled out by coronary angiography. On the day of spectroscopy, the NYHA status of each patient was evaluated by an independent cardiologist. At study entry, 37 patients received a diuretic, 37 received digitalis, 37 received an ACE inhibitor, 10 received ß-blockers, and 1 received amiodarone.


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Table 1. Phosphocreatine/ATP Ratios, LVEF, NYHA Class, and Time of Survival/Time of Follow-up for All 39 Patients Included in the Study

For an analysis of mortality prediction, patients were divided into two groups based on the myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratio: 19 patients had a phosphocreatine/ATP ratio >1.60, considered "normal," and 20 had a ratio of <1.60, considered "low." The cutoff point of 1.60 was chosen because it divided the 39 patients into two groups of nearly equal (19 versus 20 patients) size, and it created one patient group with a "normal" (1.98±0.7) mean phosphocreatine/ATP ratio not different from healthy volunteers (1.94±0.11) and another patient group with a phosphocreatine/ATP ratio that was significantly lower (1.30±0.05; P<.03) than for healthy volunteers. Similar to the strategy for phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, patients were split into two groups for analysis of mortality prediction by LVEF (cutoff point, LVEF=30%; n=21 versus 18 patients; normal=39±2%; low=22±1%) and by NYHA class (NYHA I+II [n=23] versus NYHA III [n=16]). Because short-term changes of phosphocreatine/ATP ratio can occur during clinical recompensation,11 we included only patients who had been recompensated to at least NYHA class III by a minimum of 6 weeks of standard medical therapy for heart failure. Patients were reevaluated after 928±85 days (2.5 years), when a survey was conducted with the general practitioners of the patients. Physicians were asked the following questions: (1) Is the patient alive, and if not, what was his or her date of death? (2) If the patient died, what was the cause of death, ie, cardiovascular (progressive heart failure or sudden death) or noncardiovascular? and (3) What medication is the patient taking? On the basis of the initial measurements of phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, LVEF, NYHA class and the mortality data of the survey, we performed a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis for phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, LVEF, and NYHA class and a multivariate analysis of survival including phosphocreatine/ATP, LVEF, and NYHA class as variables.

MR Data Acquisition and Processing
Measurements were performed with the patient in a prone position on a 1.5-T whole-body Philips Gyroscan MR system, as described previously.11 12 A 15-cm-diameter surface coil served as both transmitter and receiver. Localization was achieved with the ISIS technique27 as previously described.11 12 On the basis of spin-echo 1H scout images, the ISIS volume was positioned over the anteroseptal region of the heart. Volume size for spectroscopy (mean, 84±2 cm3) ranged from 73 to 114 cm3; the spectroscopic volume was 85±2 cm3 in patients with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios and 83±3 cm3 in patients with low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios (P=NS). We used adiabatic pulses (flip angles of 180°), ECG-triggered acquisition, a TR of 15 seconds, 128 averages per spectrum, a scan time/spectrum of {approx}32 minutes, and a total patient examination time of 50 to 60 minutes. Phosphocreatine/ATP ratios were corrected for partial saturation as described previously.11 12 With a TR of 15 seconds, the applied saturation correction was minimal (1.05). 31P-spectra were processed with zero shift, direct-current correction (30%), exponential multiplication (7 Hz), and individual phase correction. Peak areas for 2,3-DPG, phosphodiesters, phosphocreatine, and [{gamma}-P]-, [{alpha}-P]-, and [ß-P]-ATP (Fig 1Down) were obtained by lorentzian line fits in the time domain as previously described11 using 400 iterations. Phosphocreatine/[{gamma}-P]-ATP and phosphodiester/[{gamma}-P]-ATP ratios were calculated. Because of bandwidth limitations of the transmitter, we chose to use the [{gamma}-P] instead of the [ß-P] resonance of ATP to avoid off-resonance effects.3 11 The phosphocreatine/ATP ratio is an index of the energetic state of the heart (see Reference 2020 for review), and changes in the phosphodiester/ATP ratio have been suggested to possibly indicate cardiomyocyte membrane damage in heart failure.6



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Figure 1. Cardiac 31P-MR spectra. From bottom to top: spectra from volunteer, patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratio, reduced phosphocreatine/ATP ratio, and severely reduced phosphocreatine/ATP ratio; the latter patient died 7 days after the MR examination. PDE indicates phosphodiesters; PCr, phosphocreatine; and {gamma}-, {alpha}-, and ß-P atom of ATP.

All 31P-spectra exhibit resonances for 2,3-DPG. We therefore corrected spectra for blood contamination, as described previously in detail,11 28 on the basis of [{gamma}-P]-ATP/2,3-DPG (0.11±0.02) and phosphodiester/2,3-DPG area ratios (0.19±0.03) in human blood 31P-spectra. For patients with normal and low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, the degree of blood contamination, spectroscopic volumes, and saturation correction were all similar.

Statistical Analysis
Phosphocreatine/ATP and phosphodiester/ATP ratios calculated for each metabolite were averaged to yield mean±SE values. Variables from patients with normal and patients with low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios were compared by use of an unpaired t test. Mortality analysis was performed with the Statistical Package of the Social Sciences.29 Continuous variables (phosphocreatine/ATP and LVEF) were converted into dichotomous variables according to their median (phosphocreatine/ATP, 1.60; LVEF, 30%). For the clinical parameter of NYHA status, patients in classes I and II were compared with those in class III. Cumulative probabilities of total and cardiovascular mortality were constructed by use of the Kaplan-Meier life-table method and were compared in a univariate fashion by use of the log-rank test. The Cox regression model with forward stepwise variable selection was used to test the relationship between total or cardiovascular mortality and the set of three predictor variables (phosphocreatine/ATP, LVEF, or NYHA class) in a multivariate fashion. Variables were entered into a stepwise model if their level of significance was P<.05 (overall {chi}2 statistic) and removed if P>.10 as determined by the likelihood-ratio statistic.29


*    Results
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*Results
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Characteristics of Patients With Normal and Reduced Phosphocreatine/ATP Ratios
Characteristics of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy grouped for normal and low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios are shown in Table 2Down. Mean age, duration of follow-up, and sex distribution (most patients were male) were similar between the two patient groups. The presumed origin of the dilated cardiomyopathy suggested a certain preponderance of idiopathic cases in the group with low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios and of alcoholic cases in the group with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios.


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Table 2. Characteristics of Patients With Dilated Cardiomyopathy and Low vs Normal Phosphocreatine/ATP Ratios

Mean LVEF was significantly lower (27±2%) in the low phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group than in the normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group (33±2%; P<.03). The mean NYHA functional class was not significantly different between groups. Per group definition, the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio was different between groups (1.30±0.05 versus 1.98±0.07). In addition, the normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group was not significantly different from healthy volunteers (phosphocreatine/ATP ratio of 1.94±0.11, n=30, P=.96) whereas the low phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group was (P=.0002). The myocardial phosphodiester/ATP ratio was similar for patients with low versus normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios as well as for healthy volunteers (1.34±0.07). Mortality analysis of phosphodiester/ATP ratio was therefore not performed in more detail.

Medications of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy and normal versus low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios are shown in Table 3Down. In general, medications taken by both groups were similar. There was a slight excess of treatment with ACE inhibitors and diuretics in the low phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group, which persisted to the end of the study, and a slight excess of treatment with digitalis in the normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratio group, a trend that was reversed at the end of the study. At study entry, approximately one fourth of patients from both groups received ß-blockers, whereas at the end of the study, more patients with low than with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios were still treated with ß-blockers.


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Table 3. Medication of Patients With Dilated Cardiomyopathy and Low vs Normal Phosphocreatine/ATP Ratios

Total Mortality
Total mortality of all 39 patients during 928±85 days of follow-up is shown in Fig 2Down. Ten of 39 patients had died at the end of follow-up, ie, the total mortality rate was 26%.



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Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier life-table analysis for mortality (in percent) of all patients with dilated cardiomyopathy during follow-up. At the end of the study, the total mortality rate was 26%.

Mortality Prediction by Phosphocreatine/ATP Ratio, Ejection Fraction, and NYHA Status
Fig 1Up shows representative myocardial 31P-MR spectra of a healthy volunteer, patients with phosphocreatine/ATP ratios >1.6 or <1.6, and a patient who died 7 days after MR spectroscopy was performed; the severe reduction of the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio in this latter patient is apparent. Fig 3Down shows Kaplan-Meier life-table analyses of total and cardiovascular mortality rates for patient groups split by phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, NYHA class, or LVEF. There were eight deaths, all of cardiovascular causes, in the group with reduced phosphocreatine/ATP ratios (total and cardiovascular mortality rate, 40%) and two deaths in the group with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios (total mortality rate, 11%); in this latter group, one patient died of bronchial carcinoma (cardiovascular mortality rate, 5%). For patients with normal phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significantly reduced total (P=.036) and cardiovascular (P=.016) mortality rates compared with patients with low phosphocreatine/ATP ratios. Thus, the myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratio was a significant predictor of both total and cardiovascular mortality.



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Figure 3. Kaplan-Meier life-table analysis for total mortality (in percent; left) and mortality from cardiovascular causes (in percent; right) of dilated cardiomyopathy patients divided into two groups split by phosphocreatine/ATP (PCr/ATP) ratio (<1.60 vs >1.60; top), NYHA class (III vs I and II; middle), and LVEF (<30% vs >30%; bottom). EF indicates ejection fraction.

Fig 3Up also shows mortality analysis for patients with lower (I and II) versus higher (III) NYHA classes and for patients with higher (39±2%) versus lower (22±1%) LVEFs. NYHA class III predicted both total (P=.041) and cardiovascular (P=.022) mortality compared with NYHA classes I and II. For mortality prediction by LVEF, significance was not reached but a clear trend was apparent (total mortality P=.328; cardiovascular mortality P=.243).

For multivariate analysis of cardiovascular mortality, phosphocreatine/ATP ratio, NYHA class, and LVEF were entered into a Cox regression analysis model. Both phosphocreatine/ATP ratio (P=.016) and NYHA class (P=.022) were found to provide significant independent prognostic information on cardiovascular mortality, whereas ejection fraction did not offer additional independent information. Because age is known as a predictor of mortality and mean age was slightly yet not significantly different between groups (53 versus 48 years), the same analysis was repeated after forcing age into the model. Age adjustment did not alter these findings (phosphocreatine/ATP ratio: P=.017; NYHA class: P=.022).


*    Discussion
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*Discussion
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In the present report, the myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratio was a significant multivariate predictor of cardiovascular mortality in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. Moreover, in the present group of 39 patients, phosphocreatine/ATP ratio was the predictor with the highest statistical significance, and LVEF showed only a trend to predict cardiovascular mortality. This suggests that the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio is a very sensitive predictor of mortality and may also suggest that a reduction in the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio is by itself a risk factor for death.

How could the derangement of energy metabolism be a sensitive predictor of mortality? ATP is the sole substrate for the myofibrillar ATPase and thus is absolutely required for muscle contraction. According to the creatine kinase–phosphocreatine energy-shuttle hypothesis,30 phosphocreatine serves to transfer the high-energy phosphate bond from the site of ATP production (mitochondria) to the site of ATP utilization (myofibrils). During metabolic stress, this energy shuttle becomes essential for maintaining high-performance states. Inhibition of creatine kinase31 or depletion of creatine with poorly hydrolyzable creatine analogues32 limits the ability of the heart to increase its workload in response to inotropic stimulation. The essential role of high-energy phosphate metabolism for maintenance of high-performance states is underscored by recent findings in transgenic mice with a knockout of the creatine kinase M gene and thus the M-line protein in the sarcomere. Skeletal muscle from these animals lacks the ability to perform burst activity.33

There is ample evidence, both experimentally and clinically, that myocardial high-energy phosphate metabolism is substantially deranged in chronic heart failure (see Reference 2020 for review). Depletion of phosphocreatine and free creatine levels has been described as a uniform phenomenon occurring in animal models of heart failure of various origins, such as aortic banding34 and heredity,15 17 18 as well as in the DC-shock dog model19 and in intact left ventricle of rats with chronic myocardial infarction.14 35 Total creatine content is also reduced in human dilated cardiomyopathy,36 as is total creatine kinase activity16 ; the decrease of both creatine content and creatine kinase activity has been shown to correlate with the degree of left ventricular dysfunction.16 36 Using 31P-MR spectroscopy, we11 12 and others10 13 have found reduced myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratios in heart failure due to dilated cardio-myopathy, aortic valve disease,10 or coronary artery disease,13 attesting to the depletion of phosphocreatine under these conditions. Although the question of whether altered high-energy phosphate metabolism contributes directly to pump failure is still not completely resolved,20 it is likely that in heart failure, reduced energy reserve via creatine kinase, as indicated by reduced phosphocreatine/ATP ratios, limits cardiac performance during metabolic stress conditions.37 38 This may be one explanation for the reduced exercise capacity that occurs with heart failure.22 On the basis of these experimental and clinical findings, we speculate that impairment of high-energy phosphate metabolism in heart failure may be a sensitive index that reflects the degree of physiological and biochemical derangement of the heart and the ability to increase work in response to stress better than the purely hemodynamic parameter of ejection fraction or the clinical estimation by NYHA, both of which are only measured at rest.

If reduced phosphocreatine/ATP ratio is a significant predictor of cardiovascular mortality and possibly by itself a risk factor for death, attempts to improve phosphocreatine/ATP ratios in heart failure are to be encouraged. In chronically infarcted rat hearts, ACE inhibitor treatment with quinapril was shown to improve phosphocreatine/ATP ratios in concert with the preservation of mechanical function.39 Furthermore, in rats after myocardial infarction, the decrease of total creatine content was prevented by long-term treatment with the ß-blocker bisoprolol.40 Thus, we may speculate that the beneficial effects of ACE inhibitors and ß-blockers on mortality seen in clinical trials41 42 43 are, at least in part, related to changes in cardiac high-energy phosphate metabolism.

In the present study, the total mortality rate was 26% during a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years. Thus, mortality of dilated cardiomyopathy patients selected for LVEF <50% was in the expected range.41 42 43 44 The inclusion criteria of LVEF <50% and NYHA classes I through III were chosen because we aimed to include the entire spectrum of disease severity that occurs in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. Patients with NYHA class IV were not directly included in the study, however. In our previous work, we showed that significant improvements of myocardial energy metabolism may be achieved during weeks of medical treatment for heart failure leading to clinical recompensation. Thus, short-term, reversible reductions of the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio can occur during short-term decompensation, most likely due to exacerbation of left ventricular dilatation, increased wall stress, and neurohumoral stimulation, that would probably not be predictive of long-term survival. For this reason, it was important to include only patients who were recompensated to at least NYHA class III by a minimum of 6 weeks of standard medical therapy for heart failure.

It is unlikely that our results are affected by accumulation of fibroblast or other nonmuscle cells in dilated cardiomyopathy. Quantitatively, such tissue contains negligible amounts of ATP and phosphocreatine. We previously reported that scar tissue in the chronically infarcted rat heart has <1% of ATP and phosphocreatine concentrations of normal myocardium.14 Thus, nonmuscle tissue will contribute to the 31P-MR signal to a negligible extent. Because we evaluated high-energy phosphate concentrations in relative terms only (phosphocreatine/ATP), nonmuscle tissue should not affect our results significantly.

A limitation of our study is the relatively small number of patients (n=39). However, at our hospital, the accumulation of this number of patients required a period of close to 7 years. With the current complexity of MR spectroscopy methodology and suitability requirements for the patients, it is impossible to amass a substantially larger number of patients during a reasonable study duration in a single-center approach. Furthermore, the number of patients in the study does not allow us to determine whether reductions in the phosphocreatine/ATP ratio are stronger indicators of one of the two main causes of cardiovascular death in dilated cardiomyopathy: progressively worsening heart failure or sudden death. It is conceivable, however, that reduced energy metabolism is not only predictive of progressive pump failure but also of sudden death: in isolated perfused hearts made hypoxic, the extent of myocardial phosphocreatine depletion was predictive of the occurrence of ventricular fibrillation.45 Thus, in a large-scale, multicenter study of dilated cardiomyopathy patients, it will be critical to examine whether phosphocreatine/ATP ratio reductions are predictors of both of the main causes of cardiovascular death. In such a study, it will also be interesting to evaluate whether phosphocreatine/ATP is a stronger predictor of early or late cardiovascular death. A statistical limitation of our study is that the cutoff levels for phosphocreatine/ATP ratios (>1.60 and <1.60), which were established retrospectively, need to be evaluated prospectively.

In conclusion, the myocardial phosphocreatine/ATP ratio, measured noninvasively at a compensated stage of heart failure, may be a guide to prognosis in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. Long-term, multicenter studies during various forms of medical therapy with follow-up measurements of energy metabolism, cardiac function, clinical indices, and other traditionally recognized mortality predictors such as plasma catecholamine levels are required to further analyze how phosphocreatine/ATP changes can be used to predict the efficacy of drug therapy as well as prognosis.


*    Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms
 
2,3-DPG = 2,3-diphosphoglycerate
ISIS = Image-Selected In vivo Spectroscopy
LVEF = left ventricular ejection fraction
TR = pulse repetition time


*    Acknowledgments
 
This study was supported by grant SFB 355/A3 from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft.

Received April 2, 1997; revision received May 5, 1997; accepted May 15, 1997.


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up arrowAbstract
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up arrowDiscussion
*References
 
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