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(Circulation. 1997;96:3300-3307.)
© 1997 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Department of Neurology, Innsbruck (Austria) University Clinic (S.K., J.W., W.P.), and the Department of Internal Medicine, Bruneck (Italy) Hospital (G.E., F.O.).
Correspondence to Dr S. Kiechl, Department of Neurology, Innsbruck University Hospital, Anichstr 35, A-6020 Innsbruck, Austria.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results The present prospective survey addresses the potential association between serum ferritin concentrations and the 5-year progression of carotid atherosclerosis as assessed by ultrasonographic follow-up evaluations. The study population comprises a random sample of 826 men and women 40 to 79 years old. Serum ferritin was one of the strongest risk predictors of overall progression of atherosclerosis. The main part of this association appeared to act through modification of the atherogenic potential of LDL cholesterol (OR [95% CI] for a 1SD unit increase in ferritin at LDL levels of 2.5, 3.6, and 4.9 mmol/L: 1.55 [1.30 to 1.85], 1.77 [1.40 to 2.24], and 2.05 [1.50 to 2.80]; P=.0012 for effect modification). Changes in iron stores during the follow-up period modified atherosclerosis risk, in that a lowering was beneficial and further iron accumulation exerted unfavorable effects. All these findings applied equally to incident atherosclerosis and the extension of preexisting atherosclerotic lesions. The significance of prominent iron stores in the development of carotid stenosis was clearly less pronounced. Finally, ferritin and LDL cholesterol showed a synergistic association with incident cardiovascular disease and death (n=59).
Conclusions The present study provided strong epidemiological evidence for a role of iron stores in early atherogenesis and suggests promotion of lipid peroxidation as the main underlying pathomechanism. This hypothesis could in part explain the sex difference in atherosclerotic vascular disease.
Key Words: atherosclerosis myocardial infarction follow-up studies lipoproteins population
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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Scanning Protocol and Definition of Ultrasound End Points
The ultrasound protocol involves the scanning of the internal
(bulbous and distal segments) and common (proximal and distal segments)
carotid arteries on either side with a 10-MHz imaging probe and a 5-MHz
Doppler probe.8 Atherosclerotic lesions were defined
by two ultrasound criteria: (1) wall surface (protrusion into the lumen
or roughness of the arterial boundary) and (2) wall texture
(echogenicity). The maximum axial diameter of plaques, the vessel
diameter in diastole, and Doppler frequency spectra
were assessed in each of eight vessel segments (see above). An
atherosclerosis summing score was calculated by
addition of the maximum plaque diameters.8 Scanning was
performed twice, namely in 1990 and 1995, by the same experienced
sonographer, who was unaware of the subjects' clinical and laboratory
characteristics. Based on the follow-up evaluation, we assessed 5-year
changes in the vascular status (overall progression) and differentiated
three epidemiologically and etiologically different steps: (1)
Incidence of atherosclerosis was defined by the
occurrence of new plaques in previously normal segments. (2) Extension
of atherosclerosis was coded present when the
relative increase in the maximum plaque diameter between 1990 and 1995
exceeded the double measurement error of the method (distal internal
carotid artery, 35%; bulbous, 30%; common carotid artery, 20%). (3)
Development of stenosis between 1990 and 1995 was assumed
whenever the extension criterion was met and a narrowing of the lumen
>40% was achieved in the follow-up examination. The cutoff of 40%
appeared to be a biological threshold in our population, at which
marked changes in the growth kinetics of plaques (acceleration), in the
risk profiles, and in the vascular remodeling process occurred,
indicating a shift in the underlying pathomechanisms from continuous
step-by-step mechanisms toward occasional disease progression by plaque
thrombosis. In 4 subjects who underwent carotid
endarterectomy, sonographic evaluations performed
10 days after surgery served as new baseline records.
B-mode and Doppler ultrasound are validated methods for quantifying
vessel stenosis and the size of atherosclerotic
plaques.9 10 To assess the reproducibility of these
techniques in our survey, rescannings were performed in subsamples by
the same sonographer (n=100) and by an independent (blinded)
sonographer (n=50). When the assessment of plaque diameter was focused
on, relative measurement errors that describe the intraobserver error
as a percentage of the pooled mean were generally low, at 10% (common
carotid artery), 15% (bulbous), and 17.5% (distal internal carotid
artery), as was interobserver variability: 12%, 14%, and 19%,
respectively. The measurement error of estimates for diameter
stenosis was assessed by the quadratic addition of the relative
errors for the plaque and lumen diameter and amounted to 17.5%
(bulbous). Finally, reproducibility of the ultrasound outcome
categories used in the present analysis was excellent, as
indicated by (weighted)
coefficients of >0.8.
Clinical Evaluation and End Points
All participants underwent a complete clinical examination with
cardiological and neurological priority.8 Systolic
and diastolic blood pressures were taken in a sitting
position after
10 minutes of rest (mean of three independent
measurements). The average number of cigarettes smoked per day was
noted for each smoker and ex-smoker. A standardized oral glucose
tolerance test (75 g glucose in 10% solution) was performed in all
subjects except those on insulin therapy. Diabetes mellitus was coded
present for subjects with fasting glucose levels >7.8
mmol/L (140 mg/dL) and/or a 2-hour value >11.1
mmol/L (200 mg/dL). Regular alcohol consumption was
quantified in terms of grams per day.11 Fatal and nonfatal
myocardial infarction were deemed confirmed when World Health
Organization criteria for definite disease status were
met.12 Bypass surgery and percutaneous
transluminal coronary angioplasty were each performed in one
subject. Both had experienced definite myocardial infarction between
1990 and 1995. Ischemic stroke and transient ischemic
attack were classified according to the criteria of the National Survey
of Stroke.13 The diagnosis of incident
peripheral artery disease required a positive response to
the Rose questionnaire, with the vascular nature of complaints
documented by standard diagnostic procedures. Finally,
angina pectoris was suspected on the basis of a positive Rose
questionnaire or ECG and confirmed by exercise ECG or coronary
angiography, if applicable. Self-reported data were verified from
hospital records, death certificates, and information from general
practitioners and supplemented by a thorough screening of
the hospital database for diseases of interest to minimize recall bias
and selective nonresponding.
Laboratory Methods
Blood samples were taken from the antecubital vein after
subjects had fasted and abstained from smoking for at least 12 hours.
In subjects with acute infectious disease, samples were drawn at an
interval of at least 6 weeks. Serum ferritin was assessed with a
fluorometric enzyme immunoassay ("sandwich assay") with a Stratus
II Fluorometric Analyzer (Baxter Diagnostic Inc).
The between-batch coefficients of variation were 5.0%, 5.1%, and
5.9% for ferritin levels of 66, 151, and 260 µg/L,
respectively (n=30). Serum iron was measured with a centrifugal
analyzer with ferrozine as chromogen. TS was calculated as the
ratio of iron to transferrin. Apolipoproteins were measured with a
nephelometric fixed-time method (apolipoprotein A-I, CV=5.7%;
apolipoprotein B, CV=2.4%). HDL cholesterol was determined
enzymatically (CHOD-PAP method, Merck, CV=2.2% to 2.4%). LDL
cholesterol was calculated with the Friedewald formula
except for subjects with triglyceride concentrations
>4.52 mmol/L.14 Antithrombin III, fibrinogen,
and other parameters were measured with standard
procedures.7 8 11 15
Statistics
Incidence rates of atherosclerosis were
expressed as events per 100 person-years (incidence
density).16 Strength and type of association between
ferritin, LDL, and overall progression of
atherosclerosis were assessed by logistic regression
analysis. To assess effects of iron stores on various phases of
atherogenesis, separate equations were fitted for subjects without
carotid atherosclerosis at the 1990 baseline (no
atherosclerosis versus incident
atherosclerosis during follow-up) and in those with
preexisting lesions (no change versus extension of
atherosclerosis versus occurrence of stenosis).
In an attempt to obtain the most suitable parametric scale in
the logit, quintiles of given variables were modeled with indicator
variables in separate analyses. Trends were estimated by
visual inspection of plots of the logit (log odds) against the
midpoints of quintiles and by application of orthogonal
polynomials.17 Because these procedures indicated
linearity in the logit for ferritin, LDL cholesterol, and
ferritin (1990 to 1995), continuously scaled variables were
used. The dose-response type of association between ferritin and
incident atherosclerosis was further visualized in a
graph presenting crude and regression-standardized risks by
ferritin quintiles (Fig 1
). The marginal
method of the regression adjustment technique was used, because it does
not rely on the rare-disease assumption.18 19 The logistic
regression models were supplemented and confirmed by linear regression
analyses that used the difference in the
atherosclerosis summing score as a continuous outcome
variable. Finally, crude and adjusted hazard ratios of incident
cardiovascular disease and mortality were calculated by
Cox models.20 The proportional-hazard assumptions
were satisfied.
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| Results |
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ferritin of +5
µg/L. A full description of the iron status was given
elsewhere.7 Demographic features and levels of selected
risk items are given in Table 1
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Serum ferritin emerged as one of the strongest risk indicators of
overall progression of carotid atherosclerosis when the
analysis was adjusted for baseline vascular status
(atherosclerosis score), age, sex, risk attributes, and
alcohol consumption (OR, 1.50/SD unit; P=.0002). Exclusion
of subjects with spurious estimates of iron stores further increased
the predictive significance of ferritin measurements (OR, 1.78/SD unit;
P<.0001). Fig 1
documents the dose-response type of
association.
The present study permits a differentiation of etiologically and
epidemiologically distinct steps in atherogenesis: the predictive
significance of ferritin measurements applied equally to the incidence
of atherosclerotic lesions in subjects with previously normal vessels
and to the extension of plaque size in individuals with preexisting
lesions (Table 2
). Both processes may be
subsumed as early carotid artery disease and were a domain of
lipid-induced atherogenesis. The main part of the relation between
ferritin and these early steps in atherogenesis appeared to act through
modification of the atherogenic potential of LDL (P<.001
and P<.05 for effect modification; Table 2
). In contrast,
occurrence of stenosis (advanced atherogenesis) did not rely to
the same extent on iron stores or on hyperlipidemia.
Instead, it emerged as a domain of procoagulant and
hemodynamic factors. Results did not differ between
sexes: Adjusted ORs of incident atherosclerosis in
women were 1.82, 2.25, and 2.84 per SD unit increase in ferritin at LDL
levels of 2.5, 3.6, and 4.9 mmol/L and in men, 1.80, 2.21,
and 2.79, respectively (P>.8 for sex difference at given
LDL levels). Corresponding ORs for the extension of preexisting
atherosclerotic lesions in women and men amounted to 1.46, 1.65, and
1.89 and 1.66, 1.88, and 2.16, respectively (P>.3 for sex
difference). Finally, analyses that excluded subjects with
prevalent CVD and/or substituted apolipoprotein B for LDL
cholesterol yielded nearly identical results.
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For confirmation purposes, logistic regression models (individual-based approach) were supplemented with linear regression equations that used the difference in the atherosclerosis summing score as a continuous outcome variable (mean difference 1990 to 1995, 1.51 mm). This procedure did not rely on any categorization and offers a higher statistical power but ignores differential effects of risk factors in various stages of atherogenesis. It accords perfectly with the logistic regression models in that ferritin emerges as a strong and independent predictor of 5-year changes in atherosclerosis (P<.0001) when the analysis was adjusted for the same set of covariates and restricted to subjects free of neoplastic, inflammatory, and liver diseases. The slope of the regression lines did not differ between sexes (regression coefficients for men and women, 0.0025 [95% CI, 0.0012 to 0.0038] and 0.0027 [95% CI, 0.0002 to 0.0052], respectively). The association was more pronounced in subjects with high LDL cholesterol levels (>3.6 mmol/L) (regression coefficient, 0.0030 [95% CI, 0.0012 to 0.0048]) than in those with low or normal concentrations (<3.6 mmol/L) (regression coefficient, 0.0016 [95% CI, 0.00 to 0.0032]). A conventional level of significance for effect modification, however, was obtained only after exclusion of subjects with advanced atherogenesis (regression coefficients, 0.0033 versus 0.0015; P=.05 for effect modification). The latter group did not show a significant relation with LDL cholesterol and ferritin but had a considerable weight in the linear regression model for the usually prominent increase in the atherosclerosis summing score.
Serum iron was definitely unrelated to all ultrasound end points. TS was a weak risk predictor for the extension of preexisting plaques, regardless of whether it was treated as a continuous variable (OR, 1.18/SD unit; P=.11) or categorized (TS>60% versus TS<60%; OR, 3.02; P=.09).
A total of 28 subjects received statin therapy for primary preventive purposes. The risk benefit in this subgroup clearly exceeded that expected for the pure lipid-lowering effect (expected rate, -24%; observed rate -57%), as reported previously.21 Effects of iron stores on atherogenesis were more pronounced in smokers than in nonsmokers or former smokers (P=.09 for effect modification). Other types of medication, vitamin supplements, and risk conditions did not modify the ferritin-atherosclerosis relation, or the number of given subjects was too low for meaningful analysis.
Next, we attempted to estimate the potential effects of 5-year changes
in iron stores on the progression of atherosclerosis.
For this purpose, subjects with infectious, neoplastic, and liver
disease in either evaluation were excluded (n=95), because they
clustered at the extreme margins of the ferritin scatter (1990 versus
1995) (Fig 2
). In the remaining
population, changes in ferritin modified the risk of overall
progression of carotid atherosclerosis, in that a
lowering of serum concentrations was beneficial (OR [95% CI] for a
1SD unit decrease in
ferritin at LDL levels of 2.5, 3.6, and
4.9 mmol/L: 0.85 [0.63 to 1.14], 0.75 [0.56 to 0.99],
and 0.67 [0.48 to 0.94], respectively; P=.021 for effect
modification). The merits of iron depletion applied equally to blood
donors (n=42), subjects who experienced chronic or acute bleeding
events (n=58), and the remainder (P=.65 for effect
modification). Conversely, ongoing iron accumulation further enhanced
risk estimates. This risk burden and the benefit afforded by iron
depletion were of similar magnitude provided that (opposite) changes in
ferritin levels are comparable.
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During 4241 person-years of follow-up, we documented 59 clinical end
points. Ferritin emerged as a risk predictor of
cardiovascular death and nonfatal CVD, especially in
subjects with hyperlipidemia (Table 2
). The study had
insufficient power to settle the issue for various types of
CVD.22 Further inclusion of subjects with incident angina
pectoris in the clinical outcome group did not affect strength or type
of association between ferritin and
atherosclerosis.
Finally, we assessed age-adjusted incidence rates of carotid
atherosclerosis by sex and menopausal status. We
focused on the age range of 40 to 59 years and excluded subjects with
no adequate indirect estimate of iron stores available, ie, those with
neoplastic, inflammatory, and liver disease. The incidence of carotid
atherosclerosis in men (4.4/100 person-years) was more
than three times that of premenopausal women (1.3), with postmenopausal
women in between (natural menopause, 3.4; surgical menopause, 4.0).
Notably, an elevated atherosclerosis risk after
surgical menopause was observed in women with hysterectomy and
oophorectomy (2.9) and slightly more pronounced in those with pure
hysterectomy (5.5). The above sex and menopause differences almost
disappeared when study subjects were further stratified according to
their ferritin concentrations. Individuals with levels <50
µg/L (1990 and 1995) faced a generally low and those with
levels
50 µg/L a high risk of incident
atherosclerosis (Fig 3
):
men (0.3 versus 4.8/100 person-years), premenopausal women (0.2 versus
4.5), postmenopausal women with natural menopause (1.6 versus 4.4), and
those with surgical menopause (1.2 versus 5.1).
|
| Discussion |
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Biological plausibility is a necessary but not sufficient precondition for establishing the role of such a process in human atherosclerosis. Epidemiological research is required to assist in verifying the clinical relevance of experimental findings.
Epidemiological Evidence of Iron-Catalyzed Lipid Peroxidation in
Human Atherogenesis
In 1993, we were the first to demonstrate a synergistic
association of hyperlipidemia and serum ferritin with
prevalent atherosclerosis in the carotid
arteries.7 The present evaluation confirmed and
extended this observation in a prospective setting. Serum ferritin
emerged as one of the strongest risk predictors of 5-year progression
of carotid atherosclerosis. The main part of this
association appeared to act through modification of the atherogenic
potential of LDL (Table 2
). Cigarette smoking has been reported to
amplify lipid peroxidation by ferritin iron release28 40
and tended to enhance synergistic effects of iron and LDL
cholesterol on atherogenesis in our survey
(P=.09 for effect modification). All these findings applied
preferentially to early steps in carotid artery disease (initiation and
extension of plaques), which is a domain of lipid-induced
atherogenesis, and were of only minor relevance in the final chain of
events leading to stenotic or occlusive vessel disease (plaque
thrombosis41 ). Serum ferritin emerged as a significant
risk predictor for early atherogenesis even at low LDL
cholesterol levels. Thus, further atherogenic properties
may be proposed that act independently of a lipid pathway. As a
potential clue, high tissue iron levels may promote smooth muscle cell
proliferation (mitogenic properties).42 43
Advantages of our study include the differentiation of
epidemiologically distinct phases of atherogenesis, the accurate
identification of subjects with spurious estimates of iron stores
(namely, those with neoplastic, inflammatory, and liver
disease44 45 46 47 ), and the use of serum ferritin as a superior
indicator of tissue iron. Comparatively, TS has a high analytic
variability due to hemolysis, high measurement error, and extensive
day-to-day variations (30% to 50%)46 48 and was clearly
inferior to ferritin for the purpose of analyzing effects
of iron stores on atherogenesis in our survey. Theoretically, ferritin
could be a noncausal indicator of nutritional risk factors or an
epiphenomenon of chronic immune stimulation evident in
atherosclerosis, rather than a surrogate of body iron
stores. Several lines of evidence, however, argue against this
interpretation: (1) When the analysis was adjusted for meat and
alcohol intake as the main source of dietary iron in our population and
restricted to subjects not receiving iron supplements (98.5% of the
population sample), results did not change appreciably. Changes in iron
stores that did not originate from dietary measures (postmenopausal
iron accumulation, blood donation, etc) prominently affected
atherosclerosis risk. (2) A variety of acute-phase
reactants (C-reactive protein, fibrinogen,
1-antitrypsin, ceruloplasmin, etc) and markers of T-cell
and macrophage activation were strongly correlated with carotid
atherosclerosis, as was antibody titer to heat-shock
protein 65.49 50 Neither of these attributes, however,
showed a consistent relation with ferritin in subjects free of
neoplastic, inflammatory, and liver disease.
Two recent cross-sectional surveys investigated the relation between ferritin and intima-media thickening (precursor of atherosclerosis) and reported negative findings.51 52 These studies do not necessarily contradict our results, because body iron stores may promote atherosclerosis at a stage beyond intima-media thickening.53
Iron Stores and Cardiovascular Disease
A growing number of studies in this field have accumulated, but as
yet no consensus has emerged.54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 Most surveys were not
designed primarily to analyze the key issues. Application of
less appropriate indicators of iron stores and/or a failure to exclude
subjects with disease status, however, tend to bias evident relations
toward unity. Negative or inconsistent findings from these
studies do not refute the hypotheses that prominent iron stores
facilitate CVD or that iron depletion protects against CVD.
Most surveys that measured serum ferritin or attempted to quantify dietary heme-iron provided support for a risk factor status of prominent iron stores, including the present evaluation and surveys from Kuopio and Boston.58 60 61 A few exceptions exist.57 59 69 The predictive significance of ferritin did not fully extend to elderly populations, possibly because of high rates of interfering diseases, "survival bias," and shifts in the relative significance of early toward advanced atherogenesis.62 63
Iron Stores and Sex Difference in Atherosclerosis
In premenopausal women, the incidence of
atherosclerosis and CVD is less than half that of
age-matched men.70 The female advantage is evident in
severe hypercholesterolemia, which does not
affect cardiovascular risk until after
menopause.71 Depletion of iron stores by regular menstrual
blood loss may be one source of protection in premenopausal
subjects.2 Indeed, from a purely mathematical point of
view, variation of iron stores between sexes could account for the sex
difference in incident atherosclerosis observed in our
survey: Iron-deficient men and women constitute a low-risk group,
whereas subjects with prominent iron stores face a high-risk burden
independent of sex and menopausal status (Fig 3
). Likewise, the gradual
increase in the incidence of atherosclerosis after
menopause was best described as a function of iron accumulation.
Notably, iron-deficient postmenopausal women partly retained a
protective status against atherosclerosis (Fig 3
),
whereas women with pure hysterectomy (n=28), which causes accelerated
iron accumulation but preserves hormone production, did not.
Our survey does not rule out some kind of additional hormonal
protection.72
Modification of Atherosclerosis Risk After Changes
in Iron Stores
Fluctuations in iron stores during follow-up, in terms of both
iron depletion and accumulation, significantly affected
atherosclerosis risk. The benefit afforded by a
lowering of body iron was especially apparent in subjects with
hyperlipidemia. Even though this kind of
analysis cannot substitute for a controlled intervention study,
it may be useful in optimizing the design of such a trial. Middle-aged
healthy subjects without severe stenotic
atherosclerosis at baseline may constitute an
appropriate target group. Ultrasound end points are preferable for
their high accuracy to monitor early atherogenesis. We recommend a
careful control for disease status, statin medication, and smoking,
because these variables interfered with the association between
ferritin and atherosclerosis in our survey.
Study Limitations
Several limitations of the present study afford further
consideration: (1) Our survey enrolled an entirely white population and
covered the age range between 40 and 84 years. Inference of results to
other race or age groups demands caution. (2) As anticipated, ferritin
could theoretically be a noncausal marker of the yet unknown actual
risk condition. (3) Population surveys are subject to selective
nonresponding and measurement error. Owing to the high participation
and follow-up rates and the low amount of missing data in our study,
relevancy of selection bias may be low, although not negligible. The
ultrasound outcome categories in our study emerged as highly
reproducible (
coefficients for remeasurements, >0.8). Unavoidable
measurement errors of independent variables in turn may be expected
to bias evident relations toward unity rather than to create spurious
findings.
Conclusions
The present results are compatible with the hypothesis
that iron-induced lipid peroxidation is crucially involved in the early
steps of human atherogenesis. Both ferritin and LDL
cholesterol levels are necessary to accurately estimate the
risk of progressive atherosclerosis in given subjects.
The iron status of premenopausal women characterized by iron depletion
without anemia may possibly be regarded as
physiologically normal for humans. General
recommendations on lowering of iron stores for prevention of CVD and
identification of target groups for such therapy await further results
from intervention trials.
| Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms |
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| Footnotes |
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| Appendix 1 |
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Received March 10, 1997; revision received July 17, 1997; accepted July 20, 1997.
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