(Circulation. 1997;96:44-49.)
© 1997 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Framingham Heart Study (J.M.M., R.B.D., H.S., P.W.F.W.) Framingham, Mass; Section of Preventive Medicine and Epidemiology (J.M.M.) and Section of General Internal Medicine (J.M.M.) of Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Mass; Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (P.W.F.W.), Bethesda, Md; and the Department of Mathematics of Boston University (R.B.D., H.S.), Boston, Mass.
Correspondence to Dr Joanne Murabito, Framingham Heart Study, 5 Thurber St, Framingham, MA 01701. E-mail joanne{at}fram.nhlbi.nih.gov
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results Using 38-year follow-up data for the original cohort in the Framingham Heart Study, we developed an intermittent claudication risk profile. Intermittent claudication occurred in a total of 381 men and women. Age, sex, serum cholesterol, hypertension, cigarette smoking, diabetes, and coronary heart disease were associated with an increased risk for claudication and were included in the profile. A pooled logistic regression model was used to compute the probability of intermittent claudication for specified levels of risk factors.
Conclusions The intermittent claudication risk profile allows physicians to identify high-risk individuals during a routine office visit and can be used to educate patients about modifiable risk factors, particularly smoking and blood pressure. Improved compliance with risk factor modification strategies may result in a beneficial impact on survival.
Key Words: claudication hypertension risk factors smoking
| Introduction |
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The major cardiovascular risk factors predict the occurrence of IC better than they predict coronary heart disease.1 Modification of potent risk factors may reduce the probability of IC and in turn improve cardiovascular morbidity and overall mortality. For example, smoking is not only a particularly powerful predictor of IC but is also associated with progression to rest pain4 and increased risk of amputation and death among claudicants.5 6 In one investigation, smoking cessation was associated with improved survival.6
In the present study, we developed an IC risk profile using 38-year follow-up data for original participants in the Framingham Heart Study. An individual's probability of developing IC can easily be assessed by the presence of risk factors identified on routine physical examination and laboratory analysis performed at a physician's office.
| Methods |
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Risk factors were measured at each clinic examination and included age,
resting blood pressure, smoking status, presence of diabetes, and
measurement of serum cholesterol. The classification of
blood pressure was based on the average of two readings taken by the
examining physician using the recommendations of the Fifth Joint
National Committee on High Blood Pressure.7 Blood pressure
was considered normal when the systolic blood pressure was
<130 mm Hg and the diastolic blood pressure was
<85 mm Hg. High-normal blood pressure was defined as a
systolic blood pressure of 130 to 139 mm Hg or a
diastolic blood pressure of 85 to 89 mm Hg. Stage 1
hypertension occurred when the systolic blood pressure was 140
to 159 mm Hg or the diastolic blood pressure was 90
to 99 mm Hg. Stage 2 or greater hypertension occurred when the
systolic blood pressure was
160 mm Hg or the
diastolic blood pressure was
100 mm Hg. If the
systolic and diastolic pressures fell into
different blood pressure stages, the higher stage was used to classify
the blood pressure status. Diabetes was considered present if the
subject was receiving therapy (insulin or oral hypoglycemic agents), if
the subject had an abnormal glucose tolerance test, or if the blood
glucose concentration was
150 mg/100 mL on at least two clinic
visits. The presence of overt coronary heart disease was
updated at each examination and included the diagnoses of myocardial
infarction (recognized or unrecognized), coronary
insufficiency, and angina pectoris.
Repeated observations of subjects attending biennial examinations 1 to 19 and free of IC at the present and all past examinations were pooled; each person-examination and its 4-year follow-up were considered as one observation in the data analysis.8 Pooled logistic regression was used to model the relationship of the risk factor (age, sex, cholesterol, blood pressure, cigarettes smoked per day, diabetes, and the presence of existing coronary heart disease) to the development of IC within the 4-year follow-up period. Because sex-specific models yielded similar risk factor coefficients and odds ratios for IC, a combined model for men and women was used. Sex-byrisk factor interactions were not significant. The logistic regression model allows computation of the probability of IC within 4 years for specified levels of risk factors (see Table 6 and Appendix).
| Results |
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1.5-fold increased risk for IC;
diabetes and stage 2 or greater hypertension conferred a >2-fold
increased risk; and coronary heart disease nearly tripled the
risk for IC (Table 4
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The probability of IC is determined by the presence and level of each
risk factor. A 70-year-old man who smokes 1.5 packs of cigarettes per
day is contrasted to one who is a nonsmoker (Figure
).
The 4-year probability of IC increases in the presence of other risk
factors, and cigarette smoking dramatically escalates the probability
of IC at any given risk factor level. Although the absolute
probabilities are slightly lower in women than in men, the same steep
rise at any given risk factor level is accentuated in smokers.
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A physician can easily determine the probability of IC for an
individual patient using a point score based on risk factor data
collected as part of a routine evaluation (Table 5
). For
example, a 70-year-old man with a cholesterol level of 240
mg/dL, stage 1 hypertension, and diabetes and who smokes 1.5 packs of
cigarettes per day receives a score of 21: 5 points for age, 3 points
for sex, 2 points for cholesterol level of 240 mg/dL, 2
points for stage 1 hypertension, 5 points for diabetes, and 4 points
for smoking 30 cigarettes per day. A point score of 21 yields a 4-year
probability of IC of 7%. Thus, this hypothetical man has an IC risk
that is nearly three times greater than the average risk (the average
risk for a 70-year-old man is 2.5%; see Table 2
). It should be noted
that for someone this age who is without risk factors, the 4-year
probability of IC is virtually zero. If this man were to quit smoking,
his 4-year probability of IC would fall over time to nearly the average
risk (then his point score would be 17, corresponding to a 4-year
probability of 3%). Although Table 5
has a point score maximum of 30,
such scores were rare. Data were pooled for persons with a score >28
points to provide a more stable estimate for individuals at the highest
risk for IC.
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| Discussion |
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The Rose questionnaire14 has been used extensively to assess the presence of IC. The questionnaire is known to be specific but highly insensitive for the diagnosis of lower-extremity arterial disease.15 16 People who do not exercise or walk vigorously may never experience symptoms, whereas those with advanced symptoms may stop walking or limit walking distance to ameliorate symptoms. Advanced disease may also present with atypical symptoms. Diagnosis of IC is especially troublesome in the elderly because they often experience trouble walking or require an aid as a result of underlying medical conditions. Even in a group of healthy elderly women, those older than 80 years were less likely to walk for exercise.16 In an effort to identify persons unable to walk or persons with limited ambulation, the physician examiners in Framingham now routinely query the elderly original cohort about their ability to walk 50 feet without help (no cane, walker, or wheelchair). This added question is likely to reduce the number of false-negative results from a standard claudication questionnaire.
The prevalence of subclinical cardiovascular disease
(defined by ankle-arm index, carotid ultrasound, ECG abnormalities,
echocardiography, and response to Rose
questionnaires) in older men and women is substantial (61% and 49%,
respectively) and predictive of an increased risk for coronary
heart disease and overall mortality, even after adjustment for age and
cardiovascular risk factors.17 The
ankle-arm blood pressure index is a simple, noninvasive measure of
lower-extremity arterial disease that identifies largely
asymptomatic individuals. In older adults (
65 years old),
reductions in the ankle-arm index were associated with both clinical
and subclinical cardiovascular disease in a graded,
inverse dose-response relationship.18 Community-based
studies have repeatedly demonstrated that an abnormal ankle-arm index
identifies those at high risk for death and
cardiovascular morbidity.19 20 21 22 Among
claudicants, a severe reduction in the ankle-arm index identified a
subgroup at an exceedingly high risk for coronary and
cerebrovascular mortality.23 Incorporating this procedure
into a routine office visit should provide a useful means of further
stratifying cardiovascular risk.
Smoking is a key risk factor for the development and progression of claudication and peripheral arterial disease, and data support a dose-dependent effect.1 6 10 11 12 16 24 The impact of cigarette smoking persists even into advanced age.25 The population attributable risk for smoking and IC calculated for cross-sectional studies ranges from 14% to 53%.26 For lower-extremity arterial disease determined noninvasively by use of the ankle-arm index, the population attributable risk for current smoking in women is 26%.16 Smoking adversely affects postoperative graft patency and increases the risk of limb loss after surgical reconstruction.27 28 29 The effectiveness of antiplatelet medications is diminished in smokers.30
A few studies have reported that smoking cessation is associated with a rapid decline in the incidence of IC,11 and the IC risk for ex-smokers 1 year after quitting approximates that for nonsmokers.11 12 In a referral population of claudicants without diabetes, smoking cessation was associated with a lack of progression to rest pain, a decreased surgical intervention rate, a decreased risk of cardiac events, and improved survival.6 In addition to retarding the incidence and progression of lower-extremity arterial disease and its associated risk of death, smoking cessation has been shown to decrease mortality risk after myocardial infarction31 32 and to improve clinical outcome after coronary artery bypass surgery, including recurrence of angina and myocardial infarction and the need for reoperation.33
In accordance with our study, most previous investigators have demonstrated that blood pressure is a strong predictor of peripheral arterial disease.1 10 16 18 34 The population attributable risk for stage 2 or greater hypertension and IC in the present study is 30%. Among elderly women with lower-extremity arterial disease, the population attributable risk for a systolic blood pressure >140 mm Hg is 28%.16 Blood pressure is a major risk factor for both symptomatic1 10 16 34 and noninvasively determined18 peripheral arterial disease. Effective blood pressure treatment will not only provide a reduction in peripheral arterial disease but will also have an important impact on stroke.35
The present study relied on a clinical diagnosis of IC based on subjective symptoms of leg discomfort obtained by two physicians using a standardized questionnaire. During the study period, noninvasive testing to confirm hemodynamically significant compromise of the lower-extremity arterial circulation in symptomatic participants was not available as part of the routine biennial examination. In addition, no uniform methods were used to grade the severity of the claudication symptoms. To minimize misclassification, two physicians independently interviewed symptomatic participants, and an end-point committee of three physicians reviewed all available data to make the final diagnostic determination.
The IC risk profile developed in the present study can provide quantitative guidelines for physicians and can be used to educate and motivate patients to modify risk factors, particularly to stop smoking and lower their blood pressure. The health benefits of risk factor reduction extend beyond peripheral arterial disease to coronary and cerebrovascular disease, and for smoking cessation, the benefits include a reduction in mortality from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and a decreased risk for cancer of multiple organ sites.
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Appendix 1 |
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1% chance of developing intermittent claudication during a
4-year period. Using the point-score chart, 55-year-old (2 points)+male
(3 points)+cholesterol level of 250 mg/dL (3
points)+high-normal blood pressure (1 point)+smokes six cigarettes per
day (2 points)=11 points, corresponding to an
1% chance of
developing intermittent claudication during a 4-year period. An average
55-year-old man has a 2.1% risk. As demonstrated, the point-score
chart and the probability function of the coefficients give rather
similar results. Received November 18, 1996; revision received January 15, 1997; accepted January 22, 1997.
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A. T. Hirsch, Z. J. Haskal, N. R. Hertzer, C. W. Bakal, M. A. Creager, J. L. Halperin, L. F. Hiratzka, W. R.C. Murphy, J. W. Olin, J. B. Puschett, et al. ACC/AHA 2005 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Peripheral Arterial Disease (Lower Extremity, Renal, Mesenteric, and Abdominal Aortic): Executive Summary A Collaborative Report From the American Association for Vascular Surgery/Society for Vascular Surgery, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society for Vascular Medicine and Biology, Society of Interventional Radiology, and the ACC/AHA Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to Develop Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Peripheral Arterial Disease): Endorsed by the American Association of Cardiovascular and Pulmonary Rehabilitation; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Society for Vascular Nursing; TransAtlantic Inter-Society Consensus; and Vascular Disease Foundation J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., March 21, 2006; 47(6): 1239 - 1312. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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N. A. Khan, S. A. Rahim, S. S. Anand, D. L. Simel, and A. Panju Does the Clinical Examination Predict Lower Extremity Peripheral Arterial Disease? JAMA, February 1, 2006; 295(5): 536 - 546. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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B. Fletcher, K. Berra, P. Ades, L. T. Braun, L. E. Burke, J. L. Durstine, J. M. Fair, G. F. Fletcher, D. Goff, L. L. Hayman, et al. Managing Abnormal Blood Lipids: A Collaborative Approach Circulation, November 15, 2005; 112(20): 3184 - 3209. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. M. Murabito, J. C. Evans, R. B. D'Agostino Sr., P. W. F. Wilson, and W. B. Kannel Temporal Trends in the Incidence of Intermittent Claudication from 1950 to 1999 Am. J. Epidemiol., September 1, 2005; 162(5): 430 - 437. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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F. Youssef, P. Gupta, D. P. Mikhailidis, and G. Hamilton Risk Modification in Patients with Peripheral Arterial Disease: A Retrospective Survey Angiology, May 1, 2005; 56(3): 279 - 287. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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American Diabetes Association Peripheral Arterial Disease in People with Diabetes J Am Podiatr Med Assoc, May 1, 2005; 95(3): 309 - 319. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Campeau, J. Lesperance, L. Bilodeau, A. Fortier, M.-C. Guertin, and G. L. Knatterud Effect of Cholesterol Lowering and Cardiovascular Risk Factors on the Progression of Aortoiliac Arteriosclerosis: A Quantitative Cineangiography Study Angiology, March 1, 2005; 56(2): 191 - 199. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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I. J. Kullo and C. M. Ballantyne Conditional Risk Factors for Atherosclerosis Mayo Clin. Proc., February 1, 2005; 80(2): 219 - 230. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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C. L. Leibson, J. E. Ransom, W. Olson, B. R. Zimmerman, W. M. O'Fallon, and P. J. Palumbo Peripheral Arterial Disease, Diabetes, and Mortality Diabetes Care, December 1, 2004; 27(12): 2843 - 2849. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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American Diabetes Association Peripheral Arterial Disease in People With Diabetes Clin. Diabetes, October 1, 2004; 22(4): 181 - 189. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. C. Pasternak, M. H. Criqui, E. J. Benjamin, F. G. R. Fowkes, E. M. Isselbacher, P. A. McCullough, P. A. Wolf, and Z.-J. Zheng Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease Conference: Writing Group I: Epidemiology Circulation, June 1, 2004; 109(21): 2605 - 2612. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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S. C. Smith Jr, R. V. Milani, D. K. Arnett, J. R. Crouse III, M. M. McDermott, P. M Ridker, R. S. Rosenson, K. A. Taubert, and P. W.F. Wilson Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease Conference: Writing Group II: Risk Factors Circulation, June 1, 2004; 109(21): 2613 - 2616. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. P. Faxon, V. Fuster, P. Libby, J. A. Beckman, W. R. Hiatt, R. W. Thompson, J. N. Topper, B. H. Annex, J. H. Rundback, R. P. Fabunmi, et al. Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease Conference: Writing Group III: Pathophysiology Circulation, June 1, 2004; 109(21): 2617 - 2625. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. M. O'Hare, E. Vittinghoff, J. Hsia, and M. G. Shlipak Renal Insufficiency and the Risk of Lower Extremity Peripheral Arterial Disease: Results from the Heart and Estrogen/Progestin Replacement Study (HERS) J. Am. Soc. Nephrol., April 1, 2004; 15(4): 1046 - 1051. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. Benchimol, V. Bernard, X. Pillois, N. T. Hong, D. Benchimol, and J. Bonnet Validation of a New Method of Detecting Peripheral Artery Disease by Determination of Ankle-Brachial Index Using an Automatic Blood Pressure Device Angiology, March 1, 2004; 55(2): 127 - 134. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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Peripheral Arterial Disease in People With Diabetes Diabetes Care, December 1, 2003; 26(12): 3333 - 3341. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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R. S Dieter, J. Tomasson, T. Gudjonsson, R. L Brown, M. Vitcenda, J. Einerson, and P. E McBride Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease in hospitalized patients with coronary artery disease Vascular Medicine, November 1, 2003; 8(4): 233 - 236. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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I. J Kullo, K. R Bailey, S. L. Kardia, T. H Mosley Jr, E. Boerwinkle, and S. T Turner Ethnic differences in peripheral arterial disease in the NHLBI Genetic Epidemiology Network of Arteriopathy (GENOA) study Vascular Medicine, November 1, 2003; 8(4): 237 - 242. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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J. J. F. Belch, E. J. Topol, G. Agnelli, M. Bertrand, R. M. Califf, D. L. Clement, M. A. Creager, J. D. Easton, J. R. Gavin III, P. Greenland, et al. Critical Issues in Peripheral Arterial Disease Detection and Management: A Call to Action Arch Intern Med, April 28, 2003; 163(8): 884 - 892. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. T Hirsch and A. M Gotto Jr Undertreatment of dyslipidemia in peripheral arterial disease and other high-risk populations: an opportunity for cardiovascular disease reduction Vascular Medicine, November 1, 2002; 7(4): 323 - 331. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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A. I. Adler, R. J. Stevens, A. Neil, I. M. Stratton, A. J. M. Boulton, and R. R. Holman UKPDS 59: Hyperglycemia and Other Potentially Modifiable Risk Factors for Peripheral Vascular Disease in Type 2 Diabetes Diabetes Care, May 1, 2002; 25(5): 894 - 899. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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B. G. Vickrey, T. S. Rector, S. L. Wickstrom, P. M. Guzy, E. M. Sloss, P. B. Gorelick, S. Garber, D. F. McCaffrey, M. D. Dake, and R. A. Levin Occurrence of Secondary Ischemic Events Among Persons With Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease Stroke, April 1, 2002; 33(4): 901 - 906. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. Hiatt Risk factor modification in intermittent claudication: effect on life expectancy and walking capacity Eur. Heart J. Suppl., March 1, 2002; 4(suppl_B): B50 - B54. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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N. C. Dolan, K. Liu, M. H. Criqui, P. Greenland, J. M. Guralnik, C. Chan, J. R. Schneider, A. L. Mandapat, G. Martin, and M. M. McDermott Peripheral Artery Disease, Diabetes, and Reduced Lower Extremity Functioning Diabetes Care, January 1, 2002; 25(1): 113 - 120. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. I Katzel, J. D Sorkin, C. C Powell, and A. W Gardner Comorbidities and exercise capacity in older patients with intermittent claudication Vascular Medicine, August 1, 2001; 6(3): 157 - 162. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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L. P. Asgeirsdottir, U. Agnarsson, and G. S. Jonsson Lower Extremity Blood Flow in Healthy Men: Effect of Smoking, Cholesterol, and Physical Activity -- A Doppler Study Angiology, July 1, 2001; 52(7): 437 - 445. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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E. Cosson, F. Paycha, P. Tellier, R. N. Sachs, A. Ramadan, J. Paries, J.-R. Attali, and P. Valensi Lower-Limb Vascularization in Diabetic Patients: Assessment by thallium-201 scanning coupled with exercise myocardial scintigraphy Diabetes Care, May 1, 2001; 24(5): 870 - 874. [Abstract] [Full Text] |
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A. T Hirsch, W. R Hiatt, and PARTNERS Steering Committee PAD awareness, risk, and treatment: new resources for survival - the USA PARTNERS program Vascular Medicine, February 1, 2001; 6(1_suppl): 9 - 12. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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L. Djousse, D. Levy, J. M. Murabito, L. A. Cupples, and R. C. Ellison Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Intermittent Claudication in the Framingham Heart Study Circulation, December 19, 2000; 102(25): 3092 - 3097. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. F. Lazarous, E. F. Unger, S. E. Epstein, A. Stine, J. L. Arevalo, E. Y. Chew, and A. A. Quyyumi Basic fibroblast growth factor in patients with intermittent claudication: results of a phase I trial J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., October 1, 2000; 36(4): 1239 - 1244. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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P. M. Ridker, M. Cushman, M. J. Stampfer, R. P. Tracy, and C. H. Hennekens Plasma Concentration of C-Reactive Protein and Risk of Developing Peripheral Vascular Disease Circulation, February 10, 1998; 97(5): 425 - 428. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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