Circulation. 1995;92:206-209
(Circulation. 1995;92:206-209.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Pretransplant Risk Factors and Causes of Death or Graft Loss After Heart Transplantation During Early Infancy
Presented during the 67th Scientific Sessions of the American Heart
Association, Dallas, Tex, November 14-17, 1994, published in abstract form
(Circulation. 1994;90[suppl I]:I-97).
Richard E. Chinnock, MD;
Ranae L. Larsen, MD;
Janet R. Emery, MD;
Leonard L. Bailey, MD;
the Pediatric Heart Transplant Team Loma Linda
From the Departments of Pediatrics (R.E.C., R.L.L., J.R.E.) and Surgery
(L.L.B.), Loma Linda University Children's Hospital and Medical Center
and Loma Linda University School of Medicine, Loma Linda, Calif.
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Abstract
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Background This study was performed to report causes
of death
or graft loss and to identify possible pretransplant risk
factors
for death or graft loss in infants after heart
transplantation.
Methods and Results Pretransplant risk factors were compared for
153 infants registered for heart transplantation within 90 days of life
and transplanted from November 1985 to June 1994. Factors assessed were
diagnosis, age at transplantation, race, weight, blood type, sex,
donor/recipient blood type match, sex match, weight ratio, fetal
registration, locale of pretransplant waiting period, mechanical
ventilation, ischemic time, and the need for atrial septostomy
or septectomy pretransplantation. No factor was associated with death
or graft loss at 1 month or 1 year. Causes of death or graft loss were
determined using clinical course and pathology data when available.
Death or grafts lost at 1 month, 1 year, and >1 year were 14, 13, and
15, respectively. Causes of death or graft loss expressed as a percent
(at 1 month, 1 year, and >1 year, respectively) were acute rejection
(14, 23, 27), chronic rejection and posttransplant coronary
disease (0, 8, 47), infectious causes (21, 15, 13), early graft failure
(21, 0, 0), technical issues (21, 23, 0), chronic graft dysfunction (0,
15, 0), and miscellaneous (21, 15, 13). The graft loss rate at 1 year
was significantly correlated (linear regression,
r2=.66; P<.05) with the year
of transplantation. Actuarial survival in this population was 91% at 1
month, 81% at 1 year, and 73% at 3 years.
Conclusions Heart transplantation in the young infant can be
performed with acceptable short-term and midterm results. Causes of
death or graft loss and survival are similar to adult data. No
pretransplant risk factors were identified. The experience level of the
transplant team members affects survival. The diagnosis and management
of rejection remain a major challenge.
Key Words: transplantation rejection pediatrics mortality
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Introduction
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An understanding of the causes of and
pretransplant risk factors
leading to death or graft loss after heart
transplantation in
infants should lead to improved survival. This study
was performed
to report causes of death or graft loss and to identify
possible
pretransplant risk factors in infants after heart
transplantation.
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Methods
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Patient Population
All recipients (n=153) registered
for a donor organ within 90
days
of birth and who underwent transplantation between November
1985
and June 1994 were included. Pretransplant diagnoses included
hypoplastic
left heart syndrome (HLHS) (n=82), other potentially lethal
structural
heart defects (n=69), and congenital
cardiomyopathy (n=2). Diagnoses
were made using
echocardiographic criteria and were verified
by
examination of the explanted heart. Pretransplant pulmonary
artery
pressures were not measured in this population. No child
required
mechanical circulatory support before transplantation. Median
age
at transplantation was 33 days (range, 0 to 183 days). Actuarial
survival
in this population was 91% at 1 month, 81% at 1 year, and
73%
at 3 years.
Management of Immunosuppression
Patient management after
transplantation has been described
elsewhere.1 Briefly, immunosuppression was accomplished
with cyclosporine and azathioprine based double therapy.
Antithymocyte induction therapy has evolved from no induction from 1985
to 1990, random assignment to induction from 1990 to 1992, and now
induction therapy in all patients >30 days of life. Antithymocyte
induction therapy consisted of a 5-day course of rabbit antithymocyte
serum (N/R ATS, Applied Medical Research). Chronic oral steroid therapy
was used only for resistant rejection.
In this infant population, acute
rejection episodes were diagnosed
primarily using noninvasive parameters.
Echocardiographic findings consistent with
rejection have been previously reported in detail2 and
include functional as well as morphological changes. Findings
consistent with rejection on ECG include a 25% or greater
reduction in QRS voltage, a significant change in QRS axis, change in
conduction pattern, or arrhythmias.3 Clinical
findings with rejection include irritability, lethargy, poor feeding,
tachycardia, tachypnea, and a gallop rhythm.4
Endomyocardial biopsy was used for clinically
confusing cases and in cases of poor response to therapy for acute
rejection. Chronic rejection and posttransplant coronary artery
disease are considered synonymous for this report.
Therapy for acute
rejection consisted of high-dose
intravenous methylprednisolone. Recurrent rejection and
rejection accompanied by hemodynamic compromise were
treated with antithymocyte preparations (N/R ATS or antithymocyte
gammaglobulin, ie, ATGAM, Upjohn) and methotrexate. Total lymphoid
irradiation was used in two patients for particularly recalcitrant
rejection.
Determination of Cause of Graft Loss
The causes of graft loss
(n=42) were determined using clinical
course and pathological correlations. Complete autopsies were available
for 33 patients. Autopsy limited to the heart was available in 3
patients, with another 3 explanted hearts available from
retransplantation procedures. Autopsy was declined by 3 families. Early
graft failure is defined as functional deterioration of the graft
occurring within 5 days of transplant that had no response to
antirejection therapy and with no rejection found on autopsy. Chronic
graft dysfunction refers to persistent poor function of the graft with
no response to antirejection therapy and with no rejection or
significant coronary artery disease at autopsy.
Pretransplant Factors
Data from patients undergoing
transplantation before 1993 were
retrospectively gathered by chart review and entered into a
computerized database. Since 1993, data have been prospectively entered
into the database on all patients. The pretransplant factors evaluated
are the following: pretransplant diagnosis (HLHS versus other
diagnoses), age at transplantation both as a continuous variable
and newborn (age
30 days) versus non-newborn, Caucasian race
versus non-Caucasian, recipient weight, recipient blood
type="O"
versus not "O," blood type match, recipient sex, donor/recipient
sex match, weight ratio both as a continuous variable and a ratio
2 versus <2, whether the recipient was registered as a fetus,
whether the patient waited before transplantation at the referral
center versus at the transplant center, requirement for mechanical
ventilation at the time of transplantation, ischemic time both
as a continuous variable and
240 minutes versus <240 minutes,
and the need for atrial septostomy or septectomy before
transplantation.
Statistical Analysis
The relation between risk factors and
death or graft loss at 1
month and at 1 year was evaluated using multiple logistic regression.
Correlation between year of transplant and percent graft loss was
evaluated using linear regression. Survival curves were generated using
the Kaplan-Meier technique. All values were considered statistically
significant at P<.05. All statistical analyses were
performed using SPSS for WINDOWS, Release 6.0
(SPSS, Inc).
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Results
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Causes of Graft Loss
Causes of death or graft loss, grouped
by time of graft
loss,
are summarized in Table 1

. Two patients underwent
retransplantation
for posttransplant coronary artery disease,
and 1 patient was
retransplanted for severe acute rejection. Early
graft failure
included 2 patients with primary graft failure in the
absence
of rejection and 1 patient with graft failure secondary to
pulmonary
hypertension. This was the only patient with death
related to
pulmonary hypertension, occurring at 3 months of
life. Death
due to "technical issues" included an oversized donor
organ
in 2 patients. One patient each died due to an anesthetic mishap,
recurrent
pulmonary venous obstruction, inability to anastomose
the pulmonary
veins, and a significant aortic thrombus
unrecognized before
transplant. Miscellaneous causes of death included
2 patients
who died due to perforated ulcers and 1 patient each who
succumbed
to chronic enteropathy, hemorrhage after
circumcision, smoke
inhalation, reperfusion injury to the lung, and
pulmonary hemorrhage.
Infectious causes of death
included pneumonia in 4 patients,
sepsis in 2 patients, and meningitis
in 1 patient.
Pretransplant Risk Factors
There were no significant
differences for any of these risk
factors in the groups with death or graft loss at 1 month or at 1 year
after transplantation.
Transplant Team Experience
Historical experience was
evaluated by comparing the percent death
or graft loss by 1 year after transplantation for each year of
transplant center experience (Fig 1
) and cumulative
death or graft loss at 1 month and 1 year after transplantation versus
total number of transplantation procedures performed (Fig 2
).
Linear regression analysis (Fig 1
) revealed
a trend of more death or graft loss at 1 year in the earliest years of
our experience, 20% to 40%, versus the more recent years at 10% to
15% (r2=.66; P<.05).

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Figure 1. Graph shows graft loss at 1 year posttransplant by
year of transplant. The dashed line (---) represents the linear
regression of the data points. The small numbers by the solid line
represent the number of transplantation procedures performed
for each year represented.
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Figure 2. Graph shows cumulative percent of grafts lost
at 1 month and 1 year after transplantation plotted against the
sequential number of transplantation procedures performed.
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An increase
in 1-year death or graft loss was noted for 1989.
Additional evaluation revealed that 60% of patients with 1-year graft
loss due to acute rejection were transplanted in 1989
(P=.054 by
2). Examinations of graft
loss at any time due to acute rejection revealed that 4 of 9 patients
(44%) were transplanted in 1989 (P=.03 by
2).
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Discussion
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This is the largest single center experience reported to date
of
heart transplantation in this age group. The actuarial survival
in
these young patients is nearly identical to that reported
by UNOS
(United Network for Organ Sharing) and the International
Society for
Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) data for
all patients
transplanted from 1988 to 1993
5 (Fig 3

).

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Figure 3. Actuarial (Kaplan-Meier) survival curve of the study
population compared with the actuarial survival of all transplants
recorded by the registry of the International Society for Heart and
Lung Transplantation for the years 1988 through 1993 (see Reference
5).
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Causes of graft loss in this young infant population are similar to
recent results reported by Bourge et al6 from a large
multiinstitutional study (Transplant Cardiologists Research Database;
TCRD) involving mainly adult patients (Table 2
). Risk
factors for 1-year heart transplantation mortality as reported by
Hosenpud et al5 included ventilator requirement, young
age, female recipient, and prolonged ischemic time. The TCRD
report6 found that younger age, longer ischemic
time, and donor and recipient who were not both blood type "O"
were risk factors for death after transplantation. Unlike these
reports, however, we were unable to detect a significant difference in
any risk factor analyzed between the groups experiencing death
or graft loss at 1 month or 1 year after transplantation when compared
with those who had still-functioning grafts. Increased
pulmonary vascular resistance has been associated with early
graft failure in pediatric patients.7 But, this is an
unlikely event in the present study because of the patients' young
age.
Even though this is a large series of patients, it is possible that a
small effect may not be detected without larger numbers of patients.
However, at this point we are unable to identify from the current study
any pretransplant risk factors that are associated with early (1 month
or 1 year) death or graft loss. Although this does not help us to
select a recipient with a better chance for long-term graft
survival, it is reassuring that scarce donor resources can be allocated
without the need for concern of matching some potentially difficult
factors (eg, sex and race). It is also important to note that some
factors considered potentially risky in this population did not in fact
affect graft survival.
The transplant team at Loma Linda has been headed by the same senior
surgeon since its inception. The primary follow-up physicians have
been members of the team for 6 and 8 years. The senior transplant
coordinator has 9 years' experience. Therefore, the data in this study
are believed to represent cumulative experience rather than
changes in transplant personnel. This study showed that there was a
decline in percent graft loss at our center with increasing transplant
team experience over time. This is consistent with UNOS data
analyzing center volume and survival.8
There was an increase in percent graft loss noted for 1989. The most
significant difference in clinical practice during this time period is
believed to be unavailability of antithymocyte preparations for
induction or rescue therapy. During this period, recalcitrant rejection
was managed with repeated steroid bursts and long-term oral
prednisone. Monoclonal anti-CD3 antibody was used as well but was less
effective and associated with greater late mortality.9
The implications of center experience with regard to regionalization of
heart transplant services and third-party payer issues have
recently been addressed by a task force of the American College of
Cardiology.10 The task force acknowledged
an "overabundance of heart transplantation centers in the U.S.,"
and they recommended that "the development of new programs and
continuation of existing programs should be dependent on
regional/societal medical needs." An understanding of the
"learning curve" phenomenon is helpful in this continuing
debate.
Finally, since approximately 45% of graft failures in the present
series resulted from either acute or chronic rejection (ie,
posttransplant coronary artery disease), the appropriate
diagnosis and management of acute rejection and the prevention of
posttransplant coronary artery disease remain the most fruitful
areas for research efforts to improve survival in this population.
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Acknowledgments
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Supported in part by a grant from the McDonnell-Douglas
Employees
Community Fund. The authors wish to express sincere
appreciation
to Sharon Robie, RN, Joyce Johnston, RN, Kay Ogata, RN,
Sharon
Fritzsche, RN, Laura Vander Dussen, RN, and Laurel Wood, RN,
for
data collection and expert assistance in the care of these
patients.
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Footnotes
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Reprint requests to Richard E. Chinnock, MD, Pediatric Heart
Transplant
Program, Loma Linda University Children's Hospital, 11234
Anderson
St, Schuman Pavilion Room 1638, Loma Linda, CA 92350. E-mail
Richard
Chinnock at LLUMC@ccmail.llu.edu.
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