(Circulation. 1995;92:2841-2847.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, and
the Section of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Department of Epidemiology and
Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Conn (H.M.K.); the
Connecticut Peer Review Organization, Middletown (H.M.K., M.J.R., J.H.,
T.P.M., M.P., Y.W.); the Cardiology Division, Department of Medicine,
University of Connecticut Medical School, Farmington (M.J.R.); the Department
of Surgery, University of Iowa College of Medicine, Iowa City, and Iowa Peer
Review Organization, West Des Moines (T.F.K.); and the Health Care Financing
Administration,
1 Baltimore, Md (E.F.E., S.F.J.).
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results As part of the Cooperative
Cardiovascular Project Pilot, a Health Care
Financing Administration initiative to improve quality of care for
Medicare beneficiaries, we abstracted hospital medical records of
Medicare beneficiaries who were hospitalized in Alabama, Connecticut,
Iowa, or Wisconsin from June 1992 through February 1993. Among the
10 018 patients
65 years old who had no absolute contraindications
to aspirin, 6140 patients (61%) received aspirin within the first 2
days of hospitalization. Patients who were older, had more comorbidity,
presented without chest pain, and had high-risk
characteristics such as heart failure and shock were less likely to
receive aspirin. The use of aspirin was significantly associated with a
lower mortality (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.89) after adjustment for
potential confounders.
Conclusions About one third of elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction who had no contraindications to aspirin therapy did not receive it within the first 2 days of hospitalization. The elderly patients with the highest risk of death were the least likely to receive aspirin. After adjustment for differences between the treatment groups, the use of aspirin was associated with 22% lower odds of 30-day mortality. The increased use of aspirin for patients with acute myocardial infarction is an excellent opportunity to improve the delivery of care to elderly patients.
Key Words: aspirin myocardial infarction aging
| Introduction |
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Despite the importance of aspirin therapy, there is evidence that not all patients with AMI receive aspirin.4 5 6 The Survival and Ventricular Enlargement (SAVE) study investigators reported that the use of aspirin significantly increased among the patients entered in their trial after the publication of the ISIS-2 trial.6 They also noted that in 1989, the last year of the SAVE trial, more than a quarter of their patients did not receive aspirin for AMI. Other more recently published surveys have also suggested an underutilization of aspirin.5 7 Elderly patients may be the group that needs aspirin the most and is least likely to receive it. AMI is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the growing elderly population, with 30-day mortality rates >20%.8 Since a high proportion of elderly patients with an AMI do not have ECG criteria for thrombolytic therapy,9 aspirin therapy may provide the best opportunity to improve outcomes in these patients. Investigators have consistently reported that elderly patients are less likely than younger patients to receive a variety of cardiac medications, tests, and procedures.10 11 12 13 At least one report suggested that older patients with AMI may be less likely to be treated with aspirin than younger patients.14 There is a need to evaluate the use of aspirin in a large group of elderly patients to determine current medical practice and to characterize patients who are least likely to receive aspirin.
There is also a need to augment current available information about the effectiveness of aspirin for the treatment of AMI in actual clinical practice in the elderly population. Even though ISIS-2 did not have an age restriction, only 3411 of its 17 187 subjects (20%) were >70 years old. Furthermore, although the overall effectiveness of aspirin for AMI is widely accepted by experts,3 fewer than one half of the generalists and only three quarters of the cardiologists believe that it definitely improves survival even among patients <75 years old.15
We undertook this study to provide an in-depth analysis of the current pattern of aspirin use and to assess its effectiveness in a large, population-based sample of elderly patients. This study is part of the Cooperative Cardiovascular Project Pilot, a Health Care Financing Administration initiative to improve the quality of care for Medicare beneficiaries with AMI.7 16 17 The Cooperative Cardiovascular Project Pilot cohort includes more than 16 000 Medicare patients discharged from hospitals in Alabama, Connecticut, Iowa, and Wisconsin from June 1, 1992, through February 28, 1993, with a principal discharge diagnosis of AMI. Our objectives were (1) to determine the current rates of aspirin therapy in treating AMI in elderly patients without contraindications for aspirin therapy, (2) to identify the characteristics of patients not treated with aspirin, and (3) to evaluate the effectiveness of the short-term use of aspirin on 30-day mortality in this group by using multivariable methods to adjust for baseline differences between the patients who did and did not receive aspirin.
| Methods |
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65 years old who did not have absolute contraindications to aspirin
therapy (active bleeding or allergy to aspirin). Patients were excluded
if they did not have an AMI as documented by having a peak creatine
kinaseMB fraction >5% or LDH2 >1.5 times the normal
value and LDH1 > LDH2 or two of the three
following criteria: chest pain, a twofold elevation of the creatine
kinase, or new Q waves on the ECG. Patients were also excluded if they
died on the first hospital day, since they might not have had the
opportunity to receive aspirin.
Collection of Data
Trained nurses and medical record
technicians abstracted
hospital medical records. Data were directly entered into a
computerized database management system using the Uniform Clinical Data
Set System.19 On-line data definitions and range
checks were used to decrease errors and variability. A 5% random
sample of charts was reabstracted by a different individual to evaluate
interobserver variability.
Variables
Variables in this study included age, sex, race,
history of
hypertension, diabetes, smoking, history of MI, history of congestive
heart failure, prior coronary
revascularization, history of stroke, history of
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, medications on
admission, presence of chest pain on admission, duration of symptoms
before admission, presence of congestive heart failure on admission,
vital signs, admission laboratory tests (blood urea nitrogen,
creatinine, hematocrit, and prothrombin time), treatment
with thrombolytic therapy on the first day,
ß-adrenergic blocking agents within the first 2 days and/or
heparin within the first 2 days, shock, intubation, and Killip class.
Systolic blood pressure, pulse, and respiratory rate were taken
as the highest value recorded within 24 hours after admission.
Renal dysfunction was defined as blood urea nitrogen >40 mg/dL or
creatinine >2.0 mg/dL. Patients were considered to have a
terminal illness if their records documented that they were
terminally ill or had a life expectancy of <6 months, if the admission
orders indicated that the patient should be given palliative care only,
or if a "do not resuscitate" order was written at the time of
admission. To summarize risk for use in figures, the cohort was
stratified by Killip class.
In the first set of analyses, the principal
outcome was the use
of aspirin within the first 2 hospital days. The time period was chosen
to allow for the possibility that some patients might receive aspirin
in the Emergency Department or just before presentation,
and it might not have been charted in the medical record. Patients
who were given any medications that contained aspirin were considered
to have been treated with aspirin. We reabstracted 594 charts to test
the reliability of the data collection. For the variable of aspirin
during the hospitalization, the
value was 0.966. The principal end
point for the outcome analysis was 30-day mortality ascertained
from the Medicare Enrollment Database. In addition, we tabulated
potential complications that might have resulted from the use of
aspirin, including in-hospital hemorrhage, transfusions,
dialysis, and stroke.
Statistical Analysis
First, we evaluated the bivariate
association between the use of
aspirin and a family of variables that included demographic (age,
sex, and race) and clinical (coronary artery disease risk
factors, past medical history, admission cardiac medications, cardiac
history, acuity of presentation, and ECG
presentation) characteristics. Variables that were
associated with the use of aspirin with a value of P<.10 in
the bivariate analysis were considered to be candidate
variables in the development of a stepwise
multivariate logistic regression model with use of
aspirin as the dependent variable. This model was constructed with
an entry significance level of P=.01 and exit significance
level of P=.05. Partial residual plots were used to identify
possible problems with the model.
Second, we compared the rates of
potentially aspirin-related
complications between the two treatment groups.
2
analysis determined whether the proportion of patients with
complications differed significantly between the patients who did and
did not receive aspirin.
Third, we determined whether the use of
aspirin was associated with
better 30-day survival after adjustment for potential confounders. We
developed a series of logistic regression models to predict 30-day
mortality. The model began with aspirin only, and demographic
variables, clinical variables, and cointerventions were added
in sequential steps. For each model, we calculated an OR and 95% CI
for those who received aspirin compared with those who did not receive
aspirin. In addition, we report a
2, probability
value, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for
each model. A survival analysis was performed after patients
were stratified by Killip class and by whether they received aspirin. A
log-rank test was performed to compare the aspirin and
no-aspirin groups for each of the Killip subsets.
The analysis was repeated with a cohort of ideal candidates for aspirin. This smaller cohort of 7917 patients was developed by excluding patients with any possible contraindication to aspirin therapy, including history of a hemorrhagic stroke, active bleeding, history of peptic ulcer disease, history of gastrointestinal bleeding, suspected aortic dissection, allergy to aspirin, history of a bleeding disorder, platelet count <100 000, hematocrit <30%, prothrombin time >14 seconds, creatinine >3 mg/dL, or terminal illness with death expected within 6 months. All calculations were performed with the software system STATA 3.0 (STATA Corp).
| Results |
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Use of Aspirin
Among the 10 018 hospital admissions in the
study sample, 6140
patients (61%) received aspirin within the first 2 days of
presentation. The use of aspirin was also evaluated in a
more restricted cohort of patients who were ideal candidates for the
therapy by virtue of their complete lack of relative or absolute
contraindications. In this group of 7917 patients, 5103 (64%) received
aspirin within the first 2 days of presentation.
Table 2
presents data from the overall study sample
and compares the use of aspirin in patients with various
characteristics. There were differences by demographic and clinical
characteristics. Patients who were older, female, or nonwhite; had more
comorbidity; and presented without chest pain and did not
receive thrombolytic therapy, ß-adrenergic blocking
agents, and heparin on admission were significantly less likely to
receive aspirin. Patients with higher-risk characteristics were
much less likely to receive aspirin. This relation is illustrated by
the association of Killip class and the use of aspirin (Fig 1
).
|
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In the multivariate model, 19 variables were
strongly associated with the use of aspirin (Table 3
).
The variables that were associated with the use of aspirin included
better overall health status (lower age, no history of stroke, no
history of peptic ulcer disease, no evidence of terminal illness, and
hematocrit >30%), presence of chest pain, and lower-risk
characteristics at presentation (absence of congestive
heart failure, absence of intubation on admission, absence of renal
dysfunction, pulse rate <100 beats per minute, respiratory rate <30
breaths per minute, and highest systolic blood pressure >125
mm Hg).
|
Aspirin and Complications
The use of aspirin was not
associated with an increased risk of
complications. The rate of hemorrhage during the
hospitalization was slightly lower among patients who received aspirin
(139 of 6140, 2.3%) compared with those who did not receive aspirin
(122 of 3878, 3.2%). The rate of transfusions was also lower in
patients who received aspirin (471 of 6140, 7.7%, versus 446 of 3878,
11.5%). The incidence of severe renal failure in the cohort was very
low; only 3 of 6140 patients who received aspirin and 5 of the 3878
patients who did not receive aspirin required dialysis. The number of
strokes in the two groups was similar (103 of 6140 who received
aspirin, 1.7%, versus 67 of 3878 who did not receive aspirin, 1.7%,
within the first 2 hospital days).
Aspirin and Mortality
The 30-day mortality rate in the study
sample was 18.0% (1893 of
10 018). Patients given aspirin within the first 2 days after
admission had a 30-day mortality rate of 14.0% (860 of 6140) compared
with 24.3% (943 of 3878) for patients not given aspirin
(P<.0001). The length of hospital stay was 9.1±6.5 days
for patients who received aspirin versus 10.2±7.7 days for patients
who did not receive aspirin.
In each Killip class, patients who were
given aspirin had a
significantly lower 30-day mortality than patients who did not receive
aspirin (Fig 2
). A series of
multivariate logistic regression models was developed
to test the association of use of aspirin and survival (Table
3
). In a
model that adjusted for demographic and clinical variables, aspirin
remained strongly associated with a lower 30-day mortality (OR 0.74;
95% CI, 0.66 to 0.83). After variables indicating the use of
thrombolytic therapy, ß-adrenergic blocking agents,
and heparin were added, aspirin remained strongly and significantly
associated with lower mortality (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.89).
|
The analyses were repeated after patients who died on the first hospital day were included, and there was no substantial change in the results. In the final multivariable model predicting 30-day survival that adjusted for demographic, clinical, and therapeutic differences between the groups, the OR for aspirin was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65 to 0.82). The analyses were also repeated with a restricted cohort of 7917 ideal candidates for aspirin therapy. In the final multivariable model, the results were virtually identical, with an OR for aspirin of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67 to 0.89).
| Discussion |
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Our data are consistent with the reports from selected patients
suggesting that results from clinical trials do not always translate
into clinical practice.4 5 6 One possible
explanation is
that, despite the findings of ISIS-2, some physicians are still
uncertain about the efficacy of aspirin. A recently reported survey of
physicians in New York and Texas found that only about half of
internists and family practitioners and three quarters of
cardiologists believed that aspirin definitely improves survival after
MI in patients <75 years old.15 These numbers might have
been much smaller if the physicians had been asked about patients
75
years old.
To understand better why physicians do not always prescribe aspirin for the treatment of AMI, we sought to characterize the patients who were the least likely to receive aspirin. Our analyses suggest that patients who did not present with classic signs and symptoms of AMI were less likely to be given aspirin. For example, elderly patients who presented to the hospital without chest pain received aspirin significantly less often than patients with chest pain. This observation is particularly important for older patients, since atypical presentations of AMI occur commonly in this group.20 21 For many of these patients, appropriate treatment with aspirin was not started in the hospital, possibly because of uncertainty about the diagnosis. Since atypical presentations of AMI are common in the elderly, a substantial proportion are at risk of not being treated with aspirin.
Another important group that did not receive aspirin were the most critically ill patients. Patients who presented with characteristics that were associated with a higher risk of mortality from AMI were much less likely to receive aspirin, and these factors were independent of whether the patient presented with chest pain. While the explanation for this observation is not obvious, it may be that physicians focus on high-technology interventions in high-risk patients and inadvertently neglect the simple use of aspirin. Also, patients who are intubated may not have aspirin ordered because nasogastric administration is not considered.
This information provides an excellent opportunity for improvement in our care of patients. Since aspirin tablets are inexpensive, efficacious for the treatment of AMI, and relatively safe, physicians should have a low threshold for administering aspirin to patients whose signs and symptoms are compatible with MI. Elderly patients with atypical presentations or with high-risk characteristics should be identified soon after their arrival to the hospital as candidates for aspirin therapy.
In addition to clinical characteristics, we also found some demographic characteristics associated with the use of aspirin. Older patients, female patients, and nonwhite patients were significantly less likely to receive aspirin, even after adjustment for clinical factors including the presence of chest pain and the acuteness of the presentation. Other studies have found similar results with respect to invasive cardiovascular procedures.4 12 22 23 24 Although it seems implausible that aspirin is being withheld from certain patient groups on the basis of their age, sex, and race, further investigation is required to determine the reasons for these findings.
The use of aspirin in our sample was strongly associated with other pharmacological interventions. Patients who received aspirin were significantly more likely to be treated with thrombolytic therapy, heparin, nitrates, and ß-adrenergic blocking agents. These associations suggest that it is important to consider cointerventions in multivariable analyses of outcomes, since the use of aspirin may be a surrogate for an aggressive pharmacological management style or an earlier recognition of an MI.
Aspirin was not associated with complications in our sample. We compared the rate of potential complications in the two treatment groups and found no excess risk among those who received aspirin. On the basis of the results of ISIS-2,1 we did not expect an increased rate of bleeding or transfusions. Our observation that there were slightly fewer bleeding episodes in the aspirin group is consistent with our observation that patients with bleeding risks were less likely to receive aspirin. For this reason, we repeated our survival analysis after excluding patients with any risk of bleeding. The rate of stroke was almost identical in the two groups, as would be expected on the basis of the ISIS-2 results.
Since the value of aspirin for the treatment of AMI was demonstrated by ISIS-2, a large randomized trial, we expected that patients who received aspirin in our cohort would have better outcomes. To test this assumption, we undertook to evaluate the therapeutic efficacy of aspirin in our study sample. One important limitation of this analysis is the nonexperimental selection of treatment strategy. Since our analysis lacks the unique strength of randomization in allocating potential confounders, we adopted a methodology to minimize the problems inherent to drawing inferences from observational data.25 We defined a restricted cohort of patients who were free of contraindications to aspirin. We designated the first day of admission as the reference time at which baseline clinical status was characterized and from which the subsequent follow-up was counted. We excluded patients who died on the first hospital day to remove the possibility that some patients died before they had the opportunity to receive aspirin. Also, we collected the detailed clinical data available on admission so that we could adjust for differences between the treatment groups in their initial susceptibility to 30-day mortality.
In a series of multiple logistic regression models developed to adjust for these baseline differences in the groups, we showed that differences in baseline characteristics between the groups explained some, but not all, of the benefit associated with the use of aspirin. Aspirin was strongly associated with a favorable outcome even after demographic, clinical, and treatment characteristics were added to the multivariate models. Although it is possible that there were important unmeasured differences between the groups and despite important differences from ISIS-2 in the definition of the study sample, the 22% odds reduction associated with the use of aspirin in our study bears an encouraging resemblance to the results of the ISIS-2 trial.
Patients in every Killip class who received aspirin had a significantly better chance of survival than the patients who did not receive aspirin. Although highest-risk patients were the least likely to receive aspirin, they were just as likely to benefit from its use. In fact, the highest-risk patients had the greatest absolute difference in mortality between the aspirin and no-aspirin groups. Similarly, aspirin would be expected to provide more absolute benefit for older patients than younger patients.
This study suggests that thousands of lives a year could be saved by
improvements in the process of care for patients with an AMI. More than
200 000 elderly Medicare beneficiaries are hospitalized annually with
an AMI.8 Our data imply that as many as 70 000 are not
receiving aspirin on presentation. According to our
findings and the results of ISIS-2, aspirin for the treatment of
70 000 patients with an estimated mortality without aspirin of
20%
could result in more than 3000 lives saved annually.
This investigation was a result of a Health Care Financing Administrationbased initiative to improve health care for Medicare patients by providing data in an attempt to improve health care delivery. These results identify an excellent opportunity for improvement by increasing use of a simple, inexpensive, and yet highly effective intervention, ie, administration of aspirin to all elderly patients with an AMI. The data also show an association between good process of care (the prescribing of aspirin) with better outcomes (lower mortality). Our findings suggest that efforts to develop programs that will ensure that all eligible patients who are suspected of having an AMI receive aspirin on a timely basis may have the potential to save a large number of lives.
| Selected Abbreviations and Acronyms |
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| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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1 This article does not necessarily represent the official position of the
Health Care Financing Administration. ![]()
Received April 26, 1995; revision received June 23, 1995; accepted June 25, 1995.
| References |
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