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Circulation. 1995;91:2319-2324

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(Circulation. 1995;91:2319-2324.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.


Articles

Angiographic Stenosis Progression and Coronary Events in Patients With `Stabilized' Unstable Angina

Lijia Chen, MD; Michael R. Chester, MD; Simon Redwood, MD; Jian Huang, MD; Edward Leatham, MD; Juan Carlos Kaski, MD, FACC

From the Coronary Artery Disease Research Group, Department of Cardiological Sciences, St George's Hospital Medical School, London, England.

Correspondence to Dr Juan Carlos Kaski, Department of Cardiological Sciences, St George's Hospital Medical School, Cranmer Terrace, London SW17 0RE, UK.


*    Abstract
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Background Recent studies suggest that angiographically complex coronary stenoses are associated with an adverse short-term outcome. It is not known, however, if this applies to unstable angina patients who stabilize on medical therapy.

Methods and Results We prospectively studied 85 consecutive patients with unstable angina who stabilized on medical therapy but were found to require angioplasty for treatment of obstructive coronary disease. Angiography was carried out at admission, and patients were restudied 8±4 months (mean±SD) after the first angiogram. Ischemia-related stenoses were identified and classified as "complex" (irregular borders, overhanging edges, or thrombus) or "smooth" (absence of complex features). Stenosis progression (>=20% diameter reduction or new total occlusion) was assessed by automated edge detection. At initial angiography, there were 198 stenoses (>=50%, 102), of which 85 (54 complex and 31 smooth) were ischemia related. At restudy, 21 ischemia-related stenoses and 8 non–ischemia-related stenoses progressed (25% versus 7%, P=.001). Seventeen of the 21 ischemia-related stenoses that progressed developed into total occlusion compared with 3 of the 8 non–ischemia-related stenoses (P=.02). Changes in average stenosis severity and in absolute stenosis diameter were significantly larger in ischemia-related stenoses than in non–ischemia-related stenoses (P=.03). Eighteen (34%) complex stenoses progressed, compared with 3 (10%) smooth lesions (P=.02). During follow-up, 1 patient died (myocardial infarction) and 25 patients had nonfatal coronary events that were associated with progression of ischemia-related stenoses in 14 (56%).

Conclusions In unstable angina patients who stabilize medically, subsequent short-term stenosis progression and coronary events are common. The unstable coronary lesion (particularly complex stenoses) is often not stabilized and will continue to progress over the ensuing months.


Key Words: angina • coronary disease • ischemia • stenosis • angiography


*    Introduction
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Unstable angina is a clinical indicator that coronary disease has progressed.1 Stenosis progression is largely due to plaque rupture and intracoronary thrombosis, which lead to intermittent vessel occlusion.2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Recent studies have also shown that in patients with unstable angina, angiographic stenosis complexity predicts subsequent in-hospital instability.5 8 However, because it is customary in unstable angina to rapidly intervene with percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) or coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG) when significant disease is demonstrated, the natural history of unstable coronary lesions is largely undetermined, and the prognostic implications of angiographic morphology remain speculative in this setting. In particular, it is not known whether complex stenosis morphology is a predictor of poor outcome in patients who present with unstable angina but are stabilized on conventional medical therapy.

Recognition of clinical and angiographic markers of an early unfavorable course may be of value in defining management strategies in unstable angina. In the present study, we prospectively assessed short-term angiographic disease progression and outcome in consecutive patients who presented with unstable angina that stabilized with medical therapy but required elective PTCA for management of obstructive coronary disease.


*    Methods
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Patient Selection
From July 1991 to March 1993, 877 consecutive patients were admitted to our hospital with the diagnosis of unstable angina; of these, 424 underwent coronary angiography during admission. Of the patients who underwent angiography, 322 were either referred for urgent revascularization (PTCA in 126, CABG in 106) or treated conservatively (n=90). One hundred two (24%) were put on a waiting list for elective PTCA and formed the study group. These were patients who stabilized on conventional medication and had angiographically significant stenoses (>=50%, <=95%). Inclusion criteria were (1) diagnosis of unstable angina with transient ischemic ECG changes recorded in the coronary care or emergency units, (2) rapid stabilization of symptoms and ECG changes after administration of antianginal agents heparin and aspirin, (3) angiogram performed after stabilization showing significant coronary artery disease with a stenosis in at least one major coronary vessel, and (4) patients who were considered candidates for elective PTCA by the treating cardiologist and were on a waiting list for this purpose.

Exclusion criteria were (1) urgent PTCA after diagnostic angiography, (2) previous PTCA or bypass surgery, (3) progression to myocardial infarction during admission (enzyme elevation to twice normal or presence of new Q waves, or both) or lack of clinical stabilization, (4) clinically significant valvular heart disease, serious conduction disturbance, heart failure, or significant arrhythmia, and (5) age >=75 years old.

Seventeen (17%) of these 102 patients were subsequently excluded for the following reasons: 6 had poor-quality coronary angiograms that precluded accurate qualitative and quantitative assessment; 2 refused further invasive procedures; and the ischemia-producing artery or ischemia-related stenosis was not identifiable in the remaining 9 patients. Thus, 85 patients constituted the study population.

The clinical criteria for the diagnosis of unstable angina were (1) recent onset of angina at rest or with minimal exertion, (2) rapid and marked deterioration of chronic stable angina, and (3) recurrent episodes of angina at rest. In every patient, medical stabilization of angina was achieved with a standard medical regimen of intravenous nitroglycerin, ß-blocking agents, aspirin, and heparin. After diagnostic arteriography (within 10 days of admission), all 85 patients were put on a waiting list for elective PTCA and followed up regularly. All patients remained on antianginal medication, which was not standardized but left to the discretion of the attending cardiologist.

Angiographic Analysis
Coronary Arteriography
All patients (except 1, who died of acute myocardial infarction before repeat angiography) underwent two coronary arteriograms as part of their clinical evaluation. The first was the diagnostic angiogram, performed at initial admission. The second was performed immediately before PTCA in 59 patients or soon (8±15 days) after a coronary event in the remaining 25 patients. Of these, 12 required urgent PTCA and 10 required bypass surgery after the acute events. The time interval between the diagnostic and follow-up angiograms was 8±4 months (mean±SD; range, 2 to 14 months).

Quantitative Assessment
The initial arteriography was carried out using standardized projections. Coronary artery stenoses were quantitatively assessed by two independent observers blinded to the identity and clinical characteristics of the patients. A stenosis >=50% diameter reduction was considered significant, and a lesion <50% was considered mild. A segment with a stenosis <25% was interpreted visually and not included in analysis. Multivessel coronary artery disease was defined as significant two- or three-vessel disease. The Coronary Angiography Analysis System (CAAS), Pie Data Medical, developed by Reiber et al9 and extensively validated,10 11 was used to measure percent stenosis and absolute minimal stenosis diameter. Our technique to measure coronary artery diameters using CAAS has been reported in detail previously.12 13 The stem of the Judkins coronary catheter was used for calibration to determine absolute measurements in millimeters, and correction was made for radiographic pincushion distortion. For each segment, measurements were carried out on end-diastolic frames, where severity of the stenoses appeared maximal. Orthogonal views were not measured and averaged because it is accepted that measurement of the view showing the stenosis at its most severe is sufficient.11 Percent diameter reduction of a coronary stenosis was calculated based on the diameter of the stenosis at its most severe; the diameter of the reference segment (an angiographically normal segment proximal to the lesion) was measured in millimeters. The following formula was used: % diameter reduction=([diameter of reference segment-diameter of stenosis]/diameter of reference segment]x100).

Qualitative Assessment
The morphology of all coronary artery stenoses >=50% was assessed visually by two experienced observers blinded to the identity and clinical characteristics of the patients. All significant stenoses were assessed selectively, viewed in two orthogonal projections, and classified as "complex" or "smooth." Stenoses classified as complex were lesions with overhanging edges, irregular borders, and/or showing ulceration or thrombus; stenoses classified as smooth were lesions with smooth edges with no "complex" features.14 15 Angiographic morphology was scored independently, and if discrepancies arose, a third observer joined the judgment, and the stenosis morphology was classified by consensus. Interobserver agreement of qualitative morphological analyses of all significant stenoses was 94%. No attempt was made to classify stenoses <50% (mild stenoses).

Disease Progression
Accepted criteria16 17 were used to define disease progression: (1) >=20% diameter reduction of a preexisting stenosis or (2) progression of any lesion to total occlusion at restudy. Regression was defined as reduction of stenosis severity >=20%.

A coronary stenosis was defined as "new" when a localized narrowing >=30% arose in a segment that was angiographically normal at baseline angiography.

Ischemia-Related Stenoses
At first angiography, the ischemia-producing coronary artery was identified in every patient.4 8 In the 52 patients with single-vessel disease, the vessel with a stenosis >=50% obstruction was designated as the ischemia-producing artery. Of the remaining 33 patients with multivessel disease, the ischemia-producing artery was identified according to transient ST-segment changes on a 12-lead ECG obtained during angina attacks in 25 patients. In 8 patients, the ischemia-producing artery could not be defined with certainty from the ECG. In these patients, the ischemia-producing artery was considered to be the one supplying the myocardial region that showed reversible perfusion defects as assessed by thallium scan. In 7 patients (4 with single-vessel disease and 3 with multivessel disease) with two or more significant narrowings in the ischemia-producing artery, the most severe lesion or the lesion that represented the indication for angioplasty was assumed to be the ischemia-related stenosis.

Coronary Events
Coronary events during follow-up were defined as (1) worsening angina or angina at rest that resulted in emergency admission of the patient to the hospital for stabilization or (2) myocardial infarction as defined earlier.

Statistical Analysis
Within-lesion differences between first and repeat angiograms were compared with use of the paired t test. Student's t test for unpaired data was used to compare differences between lesions. Differences in frequency distribution between groups were determined by using {chi}2 analysis with Yates' correction. Data were expressed as mean values±SD unless specified. Significance was defined as probability less than .05.


*    Results
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Clinical and Angiographic Findings and Disease Progression
Clinical features and angiographic characteristics in the 85 patients included in the study are shown in Table 1Down and Table 2Down, respectively. One patient died of acute myocardial infarction before repeat angiography, therefore results on disease progression refer to the remaining 84 patients. The study group consisted of 68 men and 17 women with a mean age of 56±10 years (range, 34 to 72) at initial coronary arteriography. At admission, 19 patients presented with new-onset angina, 29 with crescendo angina, and 37 with rest angina. At first angiography, 52 patients (61%) had single-vessel disease and 33 (39%) had multivessel disease. There were 24 totally occluded vessels (in 23 patients) and 198 stenoses (2.6 lesions per patient); of these, 102 were >=50% and 96 were <50% diameter reduction. Mean percent stenosis and absolute stenosis diameter of all lesions at study entry (excluding the 24 preexisting total occlusions) ranged from 25% to 83% and 0.56 mm to 3.43 mm (1.55±0.64 mm), respectively (Table 2Down).


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Table 1. Clinical Features in 28 Patients Who Showed Disease Progression and 56 Patients Who Did Not Show Disease Progression


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Table 2. Quantitative Measurement of Coronary Artery Stenosis in 85 Patients With Unstable Angina Pectoris Who Stabilized on Medical Therapy

At restudy, 29 preexisting stenoses progressed and six new lesions (range, 31% to 100%) developed in 28 patients. Three lesions regressed. Comparison of the profiles of patients with or without disease progression revealed no significant difference in patient age or sex, conventional risk factors for coronary artery disease, number of diseased vessels, history of myocardial infarction, or antianginal medications (Table 1Up). Stenoses >=50% progressed more frequently than stenoses <50% (23 [23%] versus 6 [6%], P<.001). Progression to total occlusion occurred in 18 lesions >=50% and in 2 lesions <50% (P=.0006), whereas the number of lesions that showed nonocclusive progression was similar in lesions >=50% and lesions <50% (5 [5%] versus 4 [4%]). Eighteen of the 23 stenoses >=50% and 2 of the 6 stenoses <50% that progressed developed into total occlusion (P=.1).

Progression of Ischemia-Related Stenoses Versus Non–Ischemia-Related Stenoses
There were 85 ischemia-related stenoses and 113 non–ischemia-related stenoses. Of the 85 ischemia-related stenoses, 49 were located in the left anterior descending artery (58%), 19 in the left circumflex coronary artery (22%), and 17 in the right coronary artery (20%). At restudy, 21 (25%) ischemia-related stenoses progressed compared with only 8 (7%) non–ischemia-related stenoses (P=.001). Of the 21 ischemia-related stenoses that progressed, 17 developed into total occlusion, whereas only 3 occlusive events occurred in the 8 non–ischemia-related stenoses that progressed (P=.02). Changes in stenosis severity and absolute stenosis diameter were significantly larger in ischemia-related stenoses than in non–ischemia-related stenoses (P=.03) (Table 2Up). There was no correlation between progression of ischemia-related stenoses and lesion distribution; 12 stenoses progressed in the left anterior descending artery (25%), 5 in the left circumflex coronary artery (26%), and 4 in the right coronary artery (24%).

To eliminate the potential impact of inaccuracy of the determination of ischemia-related stenoses in multivessel disease, we assessed progression in the 52 patients with single-vessel disease separately. Disease progression was found in 13 (25%) ischemia-related stenoses and in 4 (7%) non–ischemia-related stenoses (P=.01), which was comparable to the disease progression in the whole group.

Association Between Angiographic Morphology and Stenosis Progression and Coronary Events
Of the 85 ischemia-related stenoses, 54 (64%) were complex and 31 (36%) were smooth. There were no differences in percent stenosis or minimal stenosis diameter between complex ischemia-related stenoses and smooth ischemia-related stenoses at initial angiography (Table 2Up). Both percent stenosis and absolute stenosis diameter changed more significantly in complex ischemia-related stenoses compared with smooth ischemia-related stenoses (P<.01) (Table 2Up). Eighteen (34%) complex ischemia-related stenoses progressed compared with 3 (10%) smooth ischemia-related stenoses (P=.02). There was no significant difference in the incidence of coronary events in patients who had complex ischemia-related stenoses compared with patients with smooth ischemia-related stenoses at initial angiography (20 [37%] versus 6 [19%], P=.09).

Relation Between Coronary Events and Disease Progression
Of the 85 patients, 26 (31%) had coronary events (myocardial infarction in 5 and unstable angina in 21). Eighteen (72%) of the 25 patients with coronary events (excluding 1 who died of acute myocardial infarction before repeat angiography) and 10 (17%) of the remaining 59 patients who had no events showed disease progression (P=.0001). Progression of ischemia-related stenoses was demonstrated in 14 (56%) of the 25 patients with nonfatal coronary events. The interval between angiograms was similar in patients with disease progression or events and patients without progression or events (8±4 months versus 7±4 months and 7±4 months versus 8±4 months, respectively). Risk of serious coronary events over time is presented in Table 3Down. Neither stenosis progression nor events were associated with the number of coronary arteries showing significant narrowing at initial angiography.


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Table 3. Risk of Serious Coronary Events Over Time in 85 Patients With Unstable Angina Who Stabilized on Medical Therapy


*    Discussion
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This study was made possible by the relatively long waiting time for PTCA in our institution and provides important information on the natural history of unstable coronary lesions.

Stenosis Progression in Patients With Unstable Angina
Limited data have shown that a significant number of coronary artery stenoses progress after a short time in patients with unstable angina.18 19 20 21 The rate of progression in patients with unstable angina has been reported to be 15%, 27%, and 44% at a mean interval of 2, 4, and 13 months, respectively.19 20 21 In addition, occlusive progression was the dominant phenomenon in their studies. In the present study, disease progression was observed in 33% of our patients at a mean interval of 8 months between angiograms. Stenoses >=50% progressed more frequently and showed a greater tendency toward total occlusion than mild stenoses, suggesting that there may be a relation between initial severity of stenosis with overall and occlusive progression in these patients. The high prevalence of disease progression and occlusive events found in our patients is in agreement with previous reports.19 20 21 Importantly, our data show that although stenosis progression is largely unpredictable, ischemia-related stenoses patients with unstable angina are at greater risk for progression, even when patients stabilize on medication.

Progression of Complex Ischemia-Related Stenoses Versus Smooth Ischemia-Related Stenoses
Complex stenosis morphology, which commonly represents plaque disruption or a partially occlusive thrombus or both, frequently occurs in patients with unstable angina.2 3 4 5 6 In our study, the prevalence of complex stenoses in patients who presented with unstable angina was comparable to that of previous studies.4 5 8

Recent studies have shown that in patients with unstable angina, angiographically complex stenoses predict subsequent in-hospital instability.5 8 Furthermore, complex stenoses are also associated with future disease progression22 and myocardial infarction23 independent of the initial clinical presentation. Available evidence, therefore, suggests that complex stenoses may significantly alter the prognosis of the patient. Our study shows that complex ischemia-related stenoses progressed more frequently than smooth ischemia-related stenoses and thus confirms these findings. Progression in our study occurred shortly after the first angiogram, which may suggest that plaque complication may have been responsible.

Recurrent Coronary Events and Stenosis Progression in Unstable Angina
In patients with unstable angina, frequent recurrent coronary events have been demonstrated both during hospitalization8 18 and after hospital discharge.24 25 Short-term unfavorable outcome occurred in 31% of our patients after hospital discharge and is comparable to previous clinical reports.24 25 It is recognized that unstable angina has a worse short-term prognosis than chronic stable angina. Rapid thrombotic occlusion,26 increased vascular tone, dynamic intermittent thrombus formation and lysis, or a combination of these mechanisms27 have been postulated as underlying causes for recurrent coronary events in unstable angina patients. In the present study, we observed that 72% of patients with coronary events showed disease progression. In particular, progression of ischemia-related stenoses was found in 56% of the patients who had coronary events. Although the causes of recurrent coronary events may be not necessarily the same in all patients, our study suggests that the association between angiographic complexity and clinical instability is largely mediated by progression of ischemia-related stenoses and that local coronary factors may play a vital role for recurrent coronary events in patients with unstable angina.

Limitations of the Study
Patients included in this report may not be representative of all patients with unstable angina but only of those who stabilize rapidly on medical therapy and have coronary stenoses that require PTCA. Prognosis in our patients was worse than that reported by other authors,18 particularly considering that more than half of our patients had only single-vessel disease. This may be attributable to differences in study design and patient population, as the syndrome of unstable angina encompasses heterogeneous groups of patients and definitions of unstable angina may vary in different studies.

Our focus in the present study was on angiographic features associated with rapid stenosis progression, but this does not downplay the importance of other factors not considered in our study such as hemostatic variables, plasma lipids, and local macrophage infiltration,28 29 which may enhance thrombogenicity and influence progression of an atherosclerotic plaque. A further limitation of the study is that although our patients were consecutive and prospectively included, the interval between the two angiograms varied between patients. The variable interval was due to the complex dynamics of the waiting list, which was influenced by clinical and administration variables.

The determination of ischemia-related stenoses is problematic, since ST-segment depression may not accurately localize myocardial ischemia. Therefore, in patients with multivessel disease, ischemia-related stenoses as defined in our study may not have necessarily been the culprit for unstable symptoms. However, the similar rate of ischemia-related stenosis progression in patients with single-vessel disease to that of the whole group suggests that possible inaccuracy in judgment of ischemia-related stenoses did not influence our results.

Pathophysiological Significance and Clinical Implications
Coronary atherosclerosis does not progress linearly.30 31 Coronary thrombosis is regarded as the final occlusive event in the progression of coronary heart disease. Our study shows that, in patients with unstable angina, ischemia-related stenoses are likely to progress to total occlusion. This finding supports the notion that intermittent coronary occlusion due to plaque rupture and thrombosis in unstable angina2 3 4 5 6 7 8 is implicated with threatened permanent thrombotic occlusion.21 28 Moreover, our observations are also in agreement with recent experimental studies by Willerson et al,32 which suggested a strong association between the frequency and severity of platelet aggregation, thrombosis, and neointimal proliferation after endothelial injury at the site of experimentally created stenoses. Willerson et al identified different mechanisms that may contribute to rapid disease progression and showed the relatively malignant nature of recurrent platelet aggregation and dislodgment after mechanically induced endothelial injury.32 These findings also may explain our observation that even when symptoms are medically stabilized, the unstable coronary lesion is often not stabilized and will continue to progress over the ensuing months, with a high risk of recurrent coronary events.

Although balloon dilatation of unstable coronary stenoses is associated with an increased risk of early and late complications,33 34 35 the relatively common practice in UK centers of adopting a policy of "watchful waiting" in patients with unstable angina who stabilize on medication may not be appropriate. Indeed, this policy resulted in one third of the patients being rehospitalized for a recurrent ischemic event in our study. Although the ideal timing for PTCA in recently stabilized unstable angina is not known,36 it is likely that earlier revascularization is preferable. Our data indicate that the presence of complex stenoses in patients with unstable angina, even in those who improve on medical therapy, calls for more urgent revascularization by means of angioplasty or bypass surgery.


*    Acknowledgments
 
Dr Chen is supported by a grant from the Youde Heart Foundation, St George's Hospital, London, England.

Received October 19, 1994; accepted November 22, 1994.


*    References
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*References
 
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