(Circulation. 1995;91:46-53.)
© 1995 American Heart Association, Inc.
Articles |
From the Division of Cardiovascular Diseases and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic and Mayo Foundation, Rochester, Minn (C.S.R., B.J.G.); Department of Clinical Cardiology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston (K.A.E.); Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle (M.C.M.); Albany (NY) Medical College (E.D.F.); and Cardiac Diseases Branch, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Md (G.S.).
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results Using prospectively collected data from the
Coronary Artery Surgery Study registry, we performed a retrospective
cohort analysis of 1834 patients (mean age, 56 years; 20% women)
with both coronary artery and peripheral vascular disease and evaluated
their long-term outcomes. Of these patients, 986 received (nonrandomly)
coronary artery bypass graft surgery, and 848 were treated medically.
Perioperative mortality was 4.2% (2.9% in the absence of peripheral
vascular disease; P=.02). In a mean follow-up period of 10.4
years, 1100 deaths occurred (80% due to cardiovascular causes). For
the surgical group, 4-, 8-, 12-, and 16-year estimated probabilities of
survival were 88%, 72%, 55%, and 41%, respectively, and 73%, 57%,
44%, and 34%, respectively, for the medical group
(P<.0001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that type
of therapy was independently associated with survival
(P=.0001;
2=15.34). Subgroup
analysis suggested that benefits of surgical treatment on survival
were limited to patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease and
were inversely related to ejection fraction. Survival free of death or
myocardial infarction was also significantly better among the surgical
group. Type of therapy was significantly associated with occurrence of
late events (P=.01;
2=6.55). Subgroup
analysis again demonstrated that beneficial effects of surgery were
limited to patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease and were
inversely related to ejection fraction.
Conclusions Surgical treatment provides long-term benefit for certain subgroups of patients with combined coronary artery and peripheral arterial vascular disease.
Key Words: bypass peripheral vascular disease coronary disease surgery
| Introduction |
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The purposes of this study were (1) to evaluate the long-term outcome of patients with combined coronary artery and peripheral vascular disease who received CABG in comparison with medical management and (2) to provide specific recommendations about the performance of this procedure with regard to this group of patients. The prospectively collected clinical and laboratory data of the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS) registry provided a valuable opportunity to study issues related to coronary artery revascularization on a large scale. We used the CASS registry to assess the comparative benefits of surgical and medical therapies for coronary artery disease among patients with peripheral atherosclerosis.
| Methods |
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The study reported here was a retrospective cohort analysis of the prospectively collected CASS data of all eligible patients in the CASS registry. For the purposes of this study, a patient was considered to have peripheral vascular disease if there was a clinical diagnosis of peripheral vascular disease (intermittent claudication or absent peripheral pulses) or cerebrovascular disease (transient ischemic attacks or stroke). Patients who did not have at least one operable coronary blood vessel and those with previous cardiac surgical treatment were excluded from our analysis.
Clinical Data
Technical details of diagnostic procedures and
data recording
have been described previously.47 Left ventricular volumes
and ejection fractions were calculated with a single-plane adaptation
of the area-length method of Dodge et al.48 Ongoing
quality control checks were performed.47 An epicardial
coronary artery was considered significantly diseased if it or a major
branch of it had at least one 70% stenosis of its diameter. A 50%
stenosis of the left main coronary artery was considered significant
(counting as two vessels in the case of right dominant circulation or
as three vessels in the case of left dominance). To be considered
operable, a coronary artery had to have a
50% stenosis with a
normal-size distal vessel (at least one
70% stenosis in the coronary
arterial tree was required for consideration of surgery). A cardiac
event was defined as either death (because 80% were due to cardiac
causes) or myocardial infarction.
Data Analysis
Patients were divided into two groups based on
initial treatment
with CABG (surgical group) or medical therapy (medical group). For each
CASS site, the number of days after angiography within which 95% of
patients received surgical treatment (if within 1 year) was calculated.
The surgical group consisted of patients who underwent operation within
the specified number of days. The date of operation was the starting
point for calculation of survival time. The medical group consisted of
patients who did not have surgical treatment within the site-specific
time period. For these patients, survival time was calculated from the
date of enrollment plus the average number of days to operation at that
CASS site. This adjusts for the discrepancy in exposure time between
the medical and surgical groups.49 To eliminate the bias
introduced by including all early deaths in the medical group, patients
who died before reaching the time by which 95% of patients had
undergone surgical treatment at that site were excluded from the
analysis.49 Medical patients who subsequently
underwent CABG remained in the medical group. Surgical 30-day mortality
and morbidity were compared with 6860 CASS registry patients without
peripheral vascular disease.
CASS registry patients were followed up annually through November 1982, with data obtained for 99% of them. In addition, a follow-up questionnaire was administered by mail between 1988 and 1991, with vital status obtained for 94% of the patients. Vital status through 1992 was also determined by searches of the National Death Index. Patients who were not identified as dead through follow-up or the National Death Index are assumed to be alive as of December 31, 1992.
Baseline characteristics of the medical and surgical groups were
compared by the two-sample t test, the test for linear
trend, or the
2 test. Continuous variables are
reported as mean±SD; categorical variables are listed as percentages.
All probability values are two-tailed, and statistical significance was
inferred at P
.05.
The Kaplan-Meier product limit method was used to estimate survival and event-free survival probabilities.50 Survival analyses were censored at 16 years, but analyses of time to death or myocardial infarction were censored at 8 years because myocardial infarction data were collected only through 1982. All curves were stratified by number of diseased coronary arteries.
Several methods were used to compare survival curves between groups. Crossing of the curves early in the follow-up period, especially in the event-free analyses, violates the proportional hazards assumption of log-rank tests and Cox models. Therefore, the mean and median survival times of the two groups were also compared. The mean survival is equal to the area under the survival curve truncated at a specific time point (16 or 8 years). Median survival is the time at which the Kaplan-Meier estimate reaches 50%. Tests of these statistics do not make any assumptions about the relative shapes of the curves for the two groups. However, multivariate analysis is limited to adjustment for covariates by stratification.
Results of analyses stratified by number of diseased vessels or number of diseased vessels plus one other covariate were remarkably similar when log-rank tests or t tests comparing mean or median survival were used. All methods identified the same groups of patients as benefiting from CABG, with nearly identical P values. Therefore, only log-rank tests are presented.
Cox models were constructed to analyze the independent effect of type of initial treatment on survival and event-free survival.51 First, significant predictors of survival were allowed to enter a stepwise Cox regression model. Interactions between significant variables were also considered. The treatment variable was then added to determine whether it provided additional predictive power. If the treatment variable was significant, then its interactions with the other covariates were allowed to enter the model. Only the interaction between treatment and ejection fraction was significant in any of the models. Because including this interaction also improved the proportionality of the adjusted hazards, it was retained even when it was only marginally significant. Adherence to the assumption of proportional hazards was verified for all models in which treatment was found to be an independent predictor of survival.
| Results |
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In general, the surgical patients had more severe symptoms (78%
compared with 58% Canadian Cardiovascular Society class III or IV) and
were more likely to have unstable angina (Table 1
).
Similarly, a greater proportion of the surgical group required
concomitant medical treatment with ß-blockers and nitroglycerin.
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At
cardiac catheterization, the surgical patients had evidence of more
severe epicardial coronary artery disease (three-vessel disease in 56%
compared with 34% in the medical group) and significantly lower mean
left ventricular ejection fraction (surgical group, 0.54±0.18; medical
group, 0.58±0.16) (P<.0001) (Table 2
).
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Perioperative Morbidity and Mortality
For the 986 patients
with peripheral vascular disease undergoing
CABG, 30-day mortality was 4.2%, significantly higher than the 2.9%
mortality among patients without peripheral atherosclerosis
(P=.02 compared with 6860 CASS registry patients without
peripheral vascular disease) (Table 3
). Eleven
patients who survived from 32 to 197 days postoperatively but died
without being dismissed from the hospital are also included in these
calculations. A trend toward higher rates of perioperative myocardial
infarction or stroke was observed (Table 3
).
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Late Survival
In late follow-up (mean, 10.4±5.4
years), 1100 of the 1834
patients (60%) died, with the cause of death determined for 1051. The
majority of these deaths (80%) were due to cardiovascular causes
(myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, sudden death, and
stroke), and a small proportion (20%) were due to noncardiovascular
causes.
The Kaplan-Meier product limit estimated probabilities of
survival are shown in Fig 1
. The overall curve is
adjusted for the number of diseased vessels. Surgical therapy for
coronary artery disease was strongly and significantly associated with
enhanced long-term survival among patients with peripheral
atherosclerosis. For the surgical group, the 4-, 8-, 12-, and 16-year
estimated probabilities of survival were 88%, 72%, 55%, and 41%,
respectively, compared with 73%, 57%, 44%, and 34% for the medical
group (P<.0001; log-rank statistic=32.6).
|
To further
define which subgroups of patients benefited from surgical
therapy, patients were stratified according to number of diseased
epicardial vessels. Among those with zero or one-vessel coronary artery
disease (n=431; Fig 2
), surgical treatment was not
associated with
improved long-term survival (16-year probability of survival, 58%
compared with 59%; P=.76).
|
Among patients with
two-vessel coronary artery disease (n=555; Fig 2
), a
trend toward better late survival with surgical
therapy was observed: the estimated probability of survival at 4, 8,
12, and 16 years for the surgical group was 87%, 72%, 55%, and 43%,
respectively, compared with 84%, 66%, 50%, and 37%, respectively
(P=.16), for the medical group. Among patients with
two-vessel coronary artery disease with
70% proximal left anterior
descending stenosis, a trend favoring improved survival among
surgically treated patients was observed but did not reach statistical
significance (P=.08).
The benefits of surgical therapy
were clearly evident among patients
with three-vessel coronary artery disease in whom CABG was associated
with markedly improved late survival (n=848; Fig 2
).
Among this group
of patients, 4-, 8-, 12-, and 16-year estimated probability of survival
was 85%, 64%, 47%, and 31%, respectively, compared with 57%, 40%,
27%, and 18%, respectively, for the medical group
(P<.0001; log-rank statistic=45.1). Because the data were
analyzed according to the intention-to-treat principle, this large
difference occurred despite late CABG operations among the medical
group.
Separate survival curves were constructed for men and women to evaluate any possible differences. As in the entire cohort and the male subgroup, the benefit of surgical treatment in women was limited to those with three-vessel disease. Separate survival curves stratified according to type of peripheral vascular disease were also constructed (1508 lower extremity; 425 cerebrovascular). In both groups, a long-term survival advantage favoring surgery was found among patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease but not among those with one- or two-vessel coronary artery disease. Only 6% of the surgical group did not have angina, precluding meaningful comparison to medically treated patients without angina.
Predictors of Survival
Multivariate Cox proportional hazards
analyses were performed to
select covariates independently associated with late survival. A large
number of clinical and angiographic variables were considered
("Appendix"). Clinical variables such as age, congestive heart
failure score, and diabetes mellitus were strongly associated with
survival. The angiographic variables of left ventricular ejection
fraction, number of diseased coronary vessels, and left ventricular
score were also strongly associated with survival. When added to the
model displayed in Table 4
, type of therapy for
coronary artery disease was very highly significantly correlated with
survival (P=.001;
2=15.34). A
significant interaction between type of therapy and ejection fraction
was also found (Table 4
). Whereas it is not possible to give an
overall
instantaneous hazard ratio for the entire group, ratios can be
calculated for specific ejection fraction strata. As shown in Table
4
,
instantaneous hazard ratios for medical therapy are inversely related
to ejection fraction (1.82, 1.30, and 0.93 for ejection fractions of
25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively). Thus, patients with an ejection
fraction of 25% had an 82% higher probability of death at any given
point during the follow-up period if treated medically. The benefits of
surgical treatment disappeared at ejection fractions
75%.
Importantly, this risk remains after the covariates listed in Table
4
are controlled for.
|
Similar multivariate Cox models were constructed
for subgroups
stratified according to the number of diseased coronary vessels (full
models not shown). Among patients with zero or one-vessel and those
with two-vessel coronary artery disease, therapy was not associated
with survival (P=.89,
2=0.02 and
P=.88,
2=0.02, respectively). However,
among patients with three-vessel coronary artery disease, choice of
therapy was highly correlated with outcome (P<.0001;
2=16.55). As with the main group, a significant
interaction between type of therapy and ejection fraction was found
(instantaneous hazard ratios for medical therapy of 2.33, 1.53, and
1.00 for ejection fractions of 25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively).
Cardiac EventFree Survival
To compare the effects of
medical and surgical therapies in
reducing nonfatal and fatal cardiac end points, a cardiac event was
defined as death (80% due to heart disease) or myocardial infarction.
Although large numbers of cardiac events occurred in both patient
groups (Fig 3
), patients in the surgical group had
significantly fewer cardiac events, with 4- and 8-year estimated
probabilities of freedom from events of 79% and 63%, respectively,
compared with 66% and 51%, respectively, for those in the medical
group (P<.0001; log-rank statistic=32.3).
|
As was the
case for overall survival, the benefits of surgical therapy
over medical therapy depended on the extent of coronary artery disease
(Fig 4
). Among patients with zero or one-vessel
disease, no difference between groups was observed. Among patients with
two-vessel coronary artery disease, a trend toward fewer cardiac events
in the surgical group was noted (P=.0516). Differences in
cardiac events attained significance only among patients with
three-vessel coronary artery disease (Fig 4
). Among these
patients, the
4- and 8-year estimated probabilities of freedom from cardiac events
were 77% and 57%, respectively, significantly better than the 52%
and 37%, respectively, for the medical group (P<.0001;
log-rank statistic=39.7). No sex differences in surgical benefit were
found.
|
Predictors of Cardiac EventFree Survival
Multivariate
Cox proportional hazards cardiac eventfree
survival analysis was also performed (Table 5
).
Variables of left ventricular function and severity of coronary artery
disease were strongly associated with cardiac eventfree survival.
When added to the model depicted in Table 5
, the choice of
therapy for
coronary artery disease was also significant (P=.01;
2=6.55). Although the interaction between type of
therapy and ejection fraction was of borderline statistical
significance, it was retained because it improved the proportionality
of the adjusted hazard ratios (instantaneous hazard ratios for medical
therapy of 1.57, 1.26, and 1.00 for ejection fractions of 25%, 50%,
and 75%, respectively).
|
Among patients with zero or one-vessel disease,
the type of therapy was
not significant (P=.72;
2=0.13), nor
was it significant for patients with two-vessel disease
(P=.10;
2=2.69). The influence of
therapy on cardiac eventfree survival was significant only for the
subgroup with three-vessel coronary artery disease (P=.003;
2=8.86). A consistent interaction between
ejection fraction and type of therapy was again observed (instantaneous
hazard ratios for medical therapy of 2.00, 1.42, and 1.00 for ejection
fractions of 25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively).
| Discussion |
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Present Study
Our major finding, and most important
conclusion, is that CABG
clearly had beneficial effects on long-term outcome, despite the higher
initial risk of perioperative morbidity and mortality. The beneficial
effects of bypass operations were concentrated in the higher-risk
anatomic subgroups: overall survival and cardiac event rates were
improved only among the patients with three-vessel coronary artery
disease. Among patients with zero or one-vessel disease, no objective
benefit to surgical therapy was demonstrated (surgical therapy may have
improved anginal symptoms; however, this was not assessed). Trends
favoring surgical therapy were noted for patients with two-vessel
disease.
Clinical Implications
Patients with the combination of
coronary artery disease and
peripheral vascular disease are frequently encountered in clinical
practice. They tend to have multiple coronary risk factors and manifest
widespread vascular disease with significant end-organ
damage.3 Clinical decision making is complex and
challenging.1 Our data shed light on the role of CABG in
this group of patients. CABG in appropriately selected patients has
important short- and long-term benefits, albeit at a higher immediate
risk.
Our study was not designed to address whether CABG or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty should be performed specifically to decrease the risk of a subsequent noncardiac operation. Such a question can be answered only with a prospective randomized clinical trial. Our data help define subgroups with long-term benefits from coronary revascularization. Also, these data complement our previous contention that if independent indications for coronary revascularization exist, the clinical need for major noncardiac (especially major vascular) operations may influence the timing of the coronary revascularization procedure.1
Strengths and Limitations
Our study has several important
strengths and limitations.
Clinical studies comparing two or more treatment strategies derive
their greatest value from a prospective randomized design. Although the
present study was nonrandomized, data collection and follow-up were
performed in a systematic and standardized fashion with strict quality
control checks. All studies of this type are unavoidably affected by
selection bias, as evidenced by the clinical and angiographic
differences between the surgical and medical groups. Although on the
basis of standard clinical and angiographic criteria, the surgical
group appeared to be "sicker" at enrollment, the possibility of
confounding by unrecognized factors cannot be ruled out. A prospective
randomized design would minimize any such differences. Use of
multivariate Cox models allowed us to control simultaneously for
several clinical and angiographic variables while assessing the
relation of therapy to outcome. The high hazard ratios associated with
medical therapy support our primary conclusion.
Another important limitation of our study bears emphasizing: significant advances have occurred in both medical and surgical therapies for coronary artery disease since the years of enrollment in CASS. It can be argued that the generalizability of these data to patients receiving cardiac care in the 1990s is limited. However, with this database, we have been able to obtain 16-year follow-up after initial enrollment and therapy, a perspective that enhances the value of the data.
Conclusions
On the basis of our data, we conclude that
long-term outcomes
among patients with combined coronary artery disease and peripheral
vascular disease were improved by coronary revascularization. Of
importance, the salutary late effects of myocardial revascularization
were not offset by the higher initial risk for patients undergoing
surgical treatment. The demonstrable benefits of CABG were concentrated
among the higher-risk anatomic subset of patients with three-vessel
coronary artery disease and were inversely proportional to ejection
fraction. We believe these data will be useful in guiding therapy among
this high-risk subset of patients with both coronary artery and
peripheral vascular disease.
| Footnotes |
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Variables considered in the Cox stepwise proportional hazards
analyses were age, sex, current smoking at enrollment, any history of
smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, chronic pulmonary disease,
renal disease, history of neoplasia, number of associated medical
conditions, previous myocardial infarction, ß-blocker use, history of
congestive heart failure, congestive heart failure score (an index of
congestive heart failure [range, 0 to 4] based on four items:
history of congestive heart failure, use of digitalis, use of
diuretics, and presence of rales on physical examination), Canadian
Cardiovascular Society class, probable or definite angina, unstable
angina, functional impairment, number of diseased vessels, number of
operable vessels, CAGE 50 (number of coronary artery segments with
50% stenosis), left main coronary artery disease, left ventricular
ejection fraction, and left ventricular score (left ventricular wall
motion score, a measure of left ventricular function, the sum of wall
motion scores for each of the standard five segments of a right
anterior oblique left ventriculogram [normal, 1; moderate
hypokinesis, 2; severe hypokinesis, 3; akinesia, 4; dyskinesia, 5;
aneurysm, 6]).
Received October 19, 1993; accepted August 2, 1994.
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