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(Circulation. 2009;119:2096-2102.)
© 2009 American Heart Association, Inc.
Resuscitation Science |
From the Departments of Cardiology (J.B., F.B., J.G.P.T., R.W.K.) and Clinical Biostatistics (A.H.Z.), Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Correspondence to Jocelyn Berdowski, MS, MSE, Department of Cardiology, F3–241, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Meibergdreef 9, 1105 AZ Amsterdam, the Netherlands. E-mail J.Berdowski{at}amc.nl
Received April 24, 2008; accepted January 30, 2009.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results— During 8 months, voice recordings of 14 800 consecutive emergency calls were collected to audit content and cardiac arrest recognition. The presence of cardiac arrest during the call was assessed from the ambulance crew report. Included calls were placed by laypersons on site and did not involve trauma. Prevalence of cardiac arrest was 3.0%. Of the 285 cardiac arrests, 82 (29%) were not recognized during the call, and 64 of 267 suspected calls (24%) were not cardiac arrest. We analyzed a random sample (n=506) of 9230 control calls. Three-month survival was 5% when a cardiac arrest was not recognized versus 14% when it was recognized (P=0.04). If the dispatcher did not recognize the cardiac arrest, the ambulance was dispatched a mean of 0.94 minute later (P<0.001) and arrived 1.40 minutes later on scene (P=0.01) compared with recognized calls. The main reason for not recognizing the cardiac arrest was not asking if the patient was breathing (42 of 82) and not asking to describe the type of breathing (16 of 82). Normal breathing was never mentioned in true cardiac arrest calls. A logistic regression model identified spontaneous trigger words like facial color that could contribute to cardiac arrest recognition (odds ratio, 7.8 to 9.7).
Conclusions— Not recognizing a cardiac arrest during emergency calls decreases survival. Spontaneous words that the caller uses to describe the patient may aid in faster and better recognition of a cardiac arrest.
Key Words: cardiopulmonary resuscitation death, sudden heart arrest resuscitation survival
| Introduction |
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Editorial p 2023
Clinical Perspective p 2102
The purposes of our study were to investigate whether recognition of a cardiac arrest by the dispatcher influences long-term survival and to analyze which words used by the caller to describe the emergency indicate the presence of a cardiac arrest, with an emphasis on the description of the patients breathing.
| Methods |
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Study Design and Data Collection
This prospective, observational study was carried out in the Greater Amsterdam Dispatch Unit, which serves the city of Amsterdam and a surrounding area covering a population of 1.3 million inhabitants. Between January 1, 2004, and September 1, 2004, all digitalized voice recordings of consecutive high-priority emergency calls were collected and audited. We included all calls placed by laypersons who were at the site of the emergency. We excluded calls placed by police officers, firefighters, or general practitioners on duty, as well as calls by the patients themselves. We further excluded calls related to trauma and calls about unequivocally conscious patients. Second calls were left out of the analysis. Patients who were declared dead by ambulance paramedics and those for whom advanced cardiac life support was not initiated were excluded. The Medical Ethics Committee of the Academic Medical Center in Amsterdam approved this study.
Recognition of a Cardiac Arrest by the Dispatcher
The dispatch protocol required the dispatcher to send out 2 ambulances if he or she suspected a cardiac arrest and 1 if not. Calls were classified as suspected cardiac arrest if 2 ambulances had been sent out during the first call. This information was retrieved from the automated records of the dispatch unit.
An ambulance dispatcher (F.B.) and a researcher (J.B.) reviewed all calls classified as suspected cardiac arrest to mark the time when the dispatcher first suspected the presence of cardiac arrest. The time of first suspicion was determined by mutual agreement of the assessors, who were blinded to all subsequent information about the emergency. In case of disagreement, a third assessor made the final decision.
Presence of Cardiac Arrest (Gold Standard)
The actual presence of cardiac arrest was assessed from the ambulance crew report. Assessment and treatment were done according to the 2000 guidelines.9
If the patients initial rhythm was asystolic and the delay between collapse and ambulance arrival was
15 minutes, the paramedics did not start advanced cardiac life support and the patient was excluded. If bystanders initiated basic life support but paramedics felt a pulse during their first check, the patient was considered not to be in cardiac arrest during the call. If a patient was found to be in cardiac arrest on arrival but the content of the call clearly involved other complaints (eg, chest pain), cardiac arrest was not considered to be present during the call.
Trigger Words Used by the Caller to Describe the Emergency
Calls were audited by an ambulance dispatcher (F.B.) and a researcher (J.B.) to denote the words that the caller used to describe the emergency. A list of words derived from an earlier pilot study was used in which the 67 most common trigger words and statements associated with cardiac arrest were identified (Table I of the online-only Data Supplement).
The auditor classified the patients breathing in each call into one of the following categories. First, the call was listed as "normal breathing" if the caller affirmed that the patient was breathing normally. Second, if the dispatcher did not ask the caller about the patients breathing and the caller gave no spontaneous description, the call was listed as "breathing not mentioned." Third, if the dispatcher received a positive answer to the question "Is the patient breathing?" but the type of breathing was not given, the call was categorized as "breathing undefined." Fourth, breathing was defined as "abnormal breathing" when the caller used phrases such as "occasional breathing," "barely/hardly breathing," "heavy breathing," "labored or noisy breathing," "sighing," and "strange breathing." Sometimes, callers mimicked the sound or put the phone to the mouth of the patient so that the dispatcher could evaluate the type of breathing. Fifth, if the caller stated that the patient was not breathing, the call was listed as "not breathing." This scoring was applied to all calls in which a cardiac arrest was suspected and/or present. Furthermore, the scoring was applied to a 5.5% random sample of calls in which cardiac arrest was neither suspected nor present.
Survival
The survival status of the patients at 3 months was verified in the civic registry.
Statistical Methods
The time interval between call initiation and suspicion of the cardiac arrest was expressed in medians and 25% to 75% percentiles. The time interval between call initiation and dispatch was expressed in means and SD.
Baseline comparisons between cardiac arrest patients and non–cardiac arrest patients were analyzed by Student t test, the
2 test, or the Mann–Whitney U test when appropriate. Time from call to cardiac arrest suspicion as a result of the breathing description was compared by the Kruskal-Wallis test, and the Mann–Whitney test was used for posthoc pairwise comparisons. Values of P<0.01 were considered significant. Survival was estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by use of the log-rank test.
The predictive value for cardiac arrest of the trigger words used in >10 calls was quantified by calculating the odds ratios. Because we analyzed only a random sample of the calls in which cardiac arrest was neither suspected nor present but analyzed all calls in which cardiac arrest was either suspected or present, we performed a 2-stage sampling analysis as described by Breslow and Chatterjee.10 The analyzed 5.5% of the calls in which cardiac arrest was neither suspected nor present were given a weight of 18.2 (100/5.5). We used logistic regression analysis implemented in the complex sampling module of SPSS version 15 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, Ill) for this analysis, and we performed backward stepwise selection to identify the most important trigger words.
The predictive performance of the logistic model was quantified with the area under the curve (AUC), plotting the predicted probability of a cardiac arrest against the observed probability. To obtain an unbiased estimate of the AUC, we randomly divided the data into a training set and a test set. The training set consisted of 75% of the observations; the test set consisted of 25%. We fitted the predictive model using the data in the training set and calculated AUC in the test set. We repeated this procedure 10 times. The mean AUC was calculated. Finally, the selected model was fitted on the total data set to assess its goodness of fit; the predicted risk of cardiac arrest was tested against the observed rate of cardiac arrest using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and plotted in a graph.
All statistics were performed in SPSS (SPSS version 15.0 for Windows). Significance was accepted at 2-sided values of P<0.05.
The authors had full access to and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written.
| Results |
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The baseline characteristics of the patients are shown in Table 1. Patients in calls that concerned true cardiac arrest were older than patients in calls for other emergency conditions, with a significant trend over decades of age (P<0.0001). They were also more likely to be male, and their emergency occurred more often at home. On the other hand, the non–cardiac arrest emergencies were more often witnessed.
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Cardiac Arrest Survival and Recognition
Prevalence of cardiac arrest was 3.0% in all emergency calls with a high-priority response (Table 2). A cardiac arrest was present in 285 calls, of which 203 were recognized during the call, corresponding to a sensitivity of 71%. In 64 calls, a cardiac arrest was incorrectly suspected, resulting in a specificity of 99.3%.
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The 82 patients with a cardiac arrest not recognized by the dispatcher showed lower survival rates compared with the 203 patients with recognized cardiac arrests, as shown in an unadjusted Kaplan-Meier model (log-rank P=0.04; Figure 2). No difference in mean age (66 versus 65 years, respectively; P=0.9) or gender (P=0.7) was found between patients with a recognized and unrecognized cardiac arrest.
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When a cardiac arrest was suspected, the mean time interval between call and dispatching was 1.88 minutes (SD, 1.10 minutes) versus 2.82 minutes (SD, 1.60 minutes) when cardiac arrest was not suspected (P<0.001). Mean time interval from call to arrival also differed significantly: 8.55 minutes (SD, 4.93 minutes) for calls with cardiac arrest suspicion versus 9.95 minutes (SD, 3.73 minutes) for calls without cardiac arrest suspicion (P=0.01). No CPR instructions were given in unrecognized cardiac arrest calls. Of the correctly recognized cardiac arrest calls, 24% of the callers indicated that they knew how to give CPR, and 37% received instructions from the dispatcher.
When not recognizing the cardiac arrest, the dispatcher did not ask about the patients breathing in 42 calls (51%); the caller gave a positive answer when asked about presence of breathing in 16 calls (20%); and the patient was reported to breathe abnormally in 20 calls (24%). For the calls in which cardiac arrests were recognized, these numbers were 51 (25%), 10 (5%), and 41 (20%), respectively. Asking for breathing differed significantly in these groups (P<0.001).
Trigger Words and the Presence of a Cardiac Arrest
The description of breathing in relation to the time it took to recognize that the call was about a patient in cardiac arrest is shown in Table 3. Normal breathing was never described in patients with a cardiac arrest. When a patient was reported to breathe but the dispatcher did not ask for a description of the breathing, the dispatchers recognition was significantly delayed by up to half a minute compared with all other descriptions of breathing. Abnormal breathing was described in
40% of the calls in which the dispatcher asked if the patient was breathing. In those patients, prevalence of cardiac arrest was 32%.
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Effect of the Trigger Words
A complex samples stepwise backward logistic regression analysis identified all trigger words that significantly predicted a cardiac arrest (Table 4). These trigger words were used more often in a call that concerned a cardiac arrest than in other high-priority emergency calls. Besides the 2 terms indicating the absence of normal breathing, description of the facial color as blue, gray, or pale contributed substantially to the probability of a cardiac arrest. The description of the patient as "is dead" had the highest odds (67) for the presence of cardiac arrest in the multivariable analysis. Only the trigger word "fainted" lowered the probability of a cardiac arrest. The receiver-operating characteristics curve for the predictive accuracy of the multivariable model of the trigger words for the presence of cardiac arrest is shown in Figure 3. The average AUC was 0.861 (95% CI, 0.834 to 0.888), indicating good accuracy for the logistic model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow graph in Figure 4 shows the predicted risk plotted against the observed rate of cardiac arrest and demonstrates excellent correspondence between observed and predicted rates over a wide range of probabilities. The assumption of good model fit was not rejected (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.38).
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| Discussion |
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The Description of Breathing
The present study is one of the first in which not only recordings of the cardiac arrest calls but also the calls not related to cardiac arrest were analyzed. In this way, we were able to estimate the value of breathing description in the broader perspective of all emergency calls. We could determine the predictive value of the trigger words, not just their sensitivity, in patients with a cardiac arrest. In our study, abnormal breathing contributed little to differentiate cardiac arrest calls from all emergency calls; the incidence of abnormal breathing was >10% in all emergency calls (967 of 9579), whereas prevalence of cardiac arrest in abnormal breathing victims was only 7% (64 of 967). Only the absence of breathing or normal breathing was likely to contribute to dispatchers cardiac arrest recognition. Description of normal breathing completely excluded the possibility of a cardiac arrest; absence of breathing augments the probability of a cardiac arrest to almost 50%. Mentioning the presence of breathing without further description delayed recognition for half a minute; dispatchers probably found this answer confusing and were looking for other signs that could indicate a cardiac arrest. Agonal breathing is known to mislead dispatchers into thinking the patient still breathes normally; dispatchers rarely give telephone CPR when the caller describes gasping.11,12
Model of Cardiac Arrest Prediction
We created an explanatory model of the probability of a cardiac arrest based on the dialogue with the caller. The AUC of the receiver-operating characteristics curve is between 0.8 and 0.9, indicating that the model provides an accurate diagnostic test. Furthermore, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good fit of the model. No protocol or dispatch system takes into account the spontaneous words the caller says to describe the situation. We could identify several trigger words that pointed toward the presence of a cardiac arrest. Blue, gray, or pale facial color significantly predicts a cardiac arrest, as do terms that describe the condition of the patient as "is dead" or "is dying." This implies that the lay caller is able to describe the victims condition quite accurately. Besides the absence of breathing, mentioning "abnormal breathing" also contributes to an increased probability of a cardiac arrest being present. If the caller thinks the victim has fainted, the presence of a cardiac arrest is less likely. Some trigger words that significantly contributed to this model would cease to become valuable if actively elicited by the dispatcher. For example, "send ambulance quickly" when said spontaneously implies that the caller is afraid the ambulance may come too late. If the dispatcher were to ask all emergency callers if they would like the ambulance to be sent quickly, a high positive response is expected, and thus the question loses any value for identifying a cardiac arrest.
The study by Nurmi et al13 also attempted to model the dialogue between caller and dispatcher. Only questions about consciousness and breathing were associated with cardiac arrest when a single-predictor Bayesian model was used in witnessed cardiac arrest calls. Because non–cardiac arrest calls were not audited, this model shows when dispatchers recognize a cardiac arrest rather than how a caller describes a cardiac arrest.
Comparison With Other Studies
The percentage of recognized cardiac arrests is similar to those reported by other studies, varying between 51% and 83% recognition.3,6,13–16 All dispatch centers used similar questions to interrogate the caller. Working with a computerized system like the Medical Priority Dispatch System did not result in higher sensitivity and specificity than when such a system was not used.14–16
Important design differences are evident between all these studies and ours. We excluded calls placed outside the patients site, because the caller cannot describe the condition of the patient if he or she is not in the vicinity. Calls before collapse were defined as "no cardiac arrest present at the moment of call." In contrast, Calle et al3 included 39% prearrest calls. In that study, a call also was diagnosed as not correctly evaluated if the caller was not at the patients side or if the second-tier ambulance with advanced life support care was not at the post or outside the region. We attempted to select those calls in which the dialogue was meaningful for the recognition process because the caller observed the victim.
Not recognizing a cardiac arrest obviously results in not offering telephone-assisted CPR whereas telephone-assisted CPR has been shown to increase survival rates.17 In addition, if the ambulance is dispatched later, CPR could be delayed even more, and the first defibrillation shock is delayed, with a negative impact on survival.1,18,19
The Consequence of 100% Sensitivity
Strict protocol compliance alone should minimize the group of calls in which a cardiac arrest was not suspected but was present (false-negative). In its present form, strict compliance to the dispatch protocol gives high false-positive rates.14 If all 1181 calls in which breathing was described as abnormal or absent would result in a dispatch for suspected cardiac arrest, no case of cardiac arrest would be missed (100% sensitivity), but the false-positive rate would be 76%. This rate has financial and organizational implications. If financial resources are of no concern, this approach is optimal. Otherwise, the protocol would benefit from further optimization.
Study Limitations
This study analyzes the interaction between the dispatcher and the caller. Not all information was elicited in a structured dialogue; dispatchers did not consistently ask about the patients breathing or any other trigger word that could implicate a cardiac arrest. Therefore, if a trigger word was not scored, the trigger could be either absent or present but simply not asked for. Our model accurately describes the available information but cannot be copied in a protocol for future call handling. For this, a more extended protocol for the dialogue needs to be developed on the basis of these findings.
The time interval from collapse to call in this study was not known. The time it takes to recognize the emergency and to dial the emergency number may vary and could influence survival rates in an unpredictable manner. However, we have no indication that this unknown part of the total delay has created a bias in our analysis.
Conclusions
This study demonstrated that it makes a difference if a cardiac arrest is recognized or not by the dispatcher. If not recognized, it takes dispatchers significantly longer to send out the right response team, and they do not offer telephone CPR instructions. These 2 factors significantly decrease survival.
Dispatchers are less likely to recognize a cardiac arrest if they did not follow the protocol. Complying with a standardized protocol increases recognition.16,20 If this protocol includes only unconsciousness and the absence of normal breathing, the sensitivity will be 100%, but the false-positive rate also will be high. We should attempt to develop a more sophisticated protocol and training by using spontaneously uttered trigger words describing the victim such as a description of facial color and other information. The tradeoff in various decision policies is not simple and in most dispatch centers not explicitly formulated. This study may be of assistance in making the decisions better founded.
| Acknowledgments |
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Source of Funding
This study was supported by a grant 2001B153 from the Netherlands Heart Foundation, Den Haag, the Netherlands.
Disclosures
None.
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| Footnotes |
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