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(Circulation. 2008;118:1619-1625.)
© 2008 American Heart Association, Inc.
Arrhythmia/Electrophysiology |
From the Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics (G.A.F.), Division of Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Medicine (K.T.M., N.J.B.), Department of Biostatistics (C.Y.), Department of Cardiac Surgery (J.G.B., J.P.G., M.R.P., S.J.H., S.K.B.), and Department of Anesthesiology (M.P.), Vanderbilt University Medical School, Nashville, Tenn.
Reprint requests to Nancy J. Brown, MD, 550B RRB, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN 37232. E-mail nancy.j.brown{at}vanderbilt.edu
Received May 2, 2008; accepted August 8, 2008.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results— We evaluated perioperative risk factors in 232 patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery. All patients were in sinus rhythm at surgery. Sixty-seven patients (28.9%) developed AF a mean of 2.9±2.1 days after surgery. Patients who developed AF stayed in the hospital longer (P<0.001) and were more likely to die (P=0.02). Milrinone use was associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF (58.2% versus 26.1% in nonusers; P<0.001). Older age (63.4±10.7 versus 56.7±12.3 years; P<0.001), hypertension (P=0.04), lower preoperative ejection fraction (P=0.03), mitral valve surgery (P=0.02), right ventricular dysfunction (P=0.03), and higher mean pulmonary artery pressure (27.1±9.3 versus 21.8±7.5 mm Hg; P=0.001) also were associated with postoperative AF. In multivariable logistic regression, age (P<0.001), ejection fraction (P=0.02), and milrinone use (odds ratio, 4.86; 95% confidence interval, 2.31 to 10.25; P<0.001) independently predicted postoperative AF. When only data from patients with pulmonary artery catheters were analyzed and pulmonary artery pressure was included in the model, age, milrinone use (odds ratio, 4.45; 95% confidence interval, 2.01 to 9.84; P<0.001), and higher pulmonary artery pressure (P=0.02) were associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF. Adding other potential confounders or stratifying analysis by mitral valve surgery did not change the association of milrinone use with postoperative AF.
Conclusion— Milrinone use is an independent risk factor for postoperative AF after elective cardiac surgery.
Key Words: atrial fibrillation inotropic agents surgery
| Introduction |
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Clinical Perspective p 1625
The aim of this analysis was to test the hypothesis that the use of inotropic drugs is associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF in cardiac surgery patients participating in an ongoing randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial.
| Methods |
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Study Population
The analysis population comprises all subjects included in the first interim analysis of the Atrial Fibrillation and RAAS study. Before the analysis, 328 subjects gave consent and were screened for the study. Fifty-eight subjects were excluded from the study for the following reasons: 24 subjects had surgery emergently at another location or did not require surgery; 4 subjects had an ejection fraction <30%; 9 subjects were unable to stop their current medications; 3 subjects had hyperkalemia; 2 subjects had an elevated serum creatinine; 2 subjects had chronic AF; 1 subject previously had angioedema with an angiotensin receptor blocker; and the remaining 9 subjects were judged unable to follow the protocol. Thirty-eight subjects withdrew from the study for personal reasons before starting the study drug. Thus, 236 subjects were randomized. Of these, an additional 4 subjects did not undergo surgery, so the final data set consisted of 232 adult subjects.
No differences were found in age, gender, race, body mass index, blood pressure, heart rate, history of diabetes mellitus, history of hypertension, history of smoking, types of procedures, or prestudy use of ACE inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blocker, β-blockers, or statins between those subjects who consented and not studied and the 232 subjects studied. Those not studied were more likely to be taking spironolactone (P<0.001), had a significantly lower ejection fraction (P=0.049), and had a higher baseline serum potassium (P=0.03), reflecting the exclusion criteria of the study.
Patient Treatment
Anesthetic management and surgical management were conducted according to institutional protocols. Briefly, patients received general endotracheal anesthesia, consisting of induction with a combination of thiopental, midazolam, fentanyl, or etomidate and maintenance with isoflurane, pancuronium, and fentanyl. Monitoring included standard modalities (ECG, temperature, invasive blood pressure, pulse oximetry, and gas monitoring), central venous pressure or pulmonary artery catheter monitoring, and transesophageal echocardiography. Aprotinin was used for repeat sternotomy procedures and those involving >1 open-chamber procedure, but its use was discontinued after release of study results by Mangano et al13 showing increased mortality in patients treated with aprotinin.
-Aminocaproic acid was used for first-time sternotomy operations in patients without a history of venous thrombosis or unstable coronary syndromes. Anticoagulation for cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) consisted of 400 U/kg unfractionated porcine heparin. Temperature management involved cooling to 28°C to 30°C, temperature-uncorrected blood gas management (
stat), and cold anterograde and retrograde cardioplegia techniques. At the conclusion of CPB, anticoagulation was reversed with 250 mg protamine, with an additional 50 mg administered in the next 10 minutes in the presence of ongoing microvascular bleeding. Vasopressors and inotropes were used for separation from CPB for the following criteria: left ventricular ejection fraction <40%, CPB time >120 minutes, a cardiac index <2 L · min–1 · m–2, or evidence of new-onset left ventricular dysfunction by transesophageal echocardiogram. Use of inotropes and/or vasopressor in the postoperative period was at the discretion of the intensive care physicians. Milrinone was used preferentially if the postbypass left ventricular ejection fraction was <30%, for evidence of right ventricular dysfunction, or for pulmonary hypertension. Milrinone was started as a continuous infusion at a dose of 0.5 µg · kg–1 · min–1 and adjusted at the discretion of the supervising physician. Norepinephrine was used to offset milrinone-induced vasodilation. Metoprolol 12.5 mg twice a day was given if heart rate was >60 and systolic blood pressure was >100 mm Hg starting on postoperative day 1. Patients were monitored continuously on telemetry throughout the postoperative period until discharge. ECGs were obtained for any rhythm changes detected on telemetry monitoring; in addition, ECGs were performed preoperatively and daily starting on postoperative day 1. All ECGs and rhythm strips were reviewed in a blinded fashion by a cardiac electrophysiologist.
Statistical Analysis
A total of 67 AF events occurred in the study cohort. Initial univariate analysis was performed to determine risk factors associated with the development of postoperative AF and risk factors associated with treatment with milrinone on the day of surgery. Univariate analyses were performed with the Student t test or Mann-Whitney U test, when data were not normally distributed, for continuous variables, and the
2 test was used for categorical variables. Data are presented as mean±SD. Risk for developing AF was then evaluated by logistic regression. Variables with values of P<0.1 by univariate analysis, as well as known risk factors for AF, were considered for logistic regression modeling. The number of variables included in the model was based on the criteria of 1 variable per 10 events,14 which allowed 7 variables in the final model. Only variables considered to be the most important confounders were used. Although current smoking showed a trend toward association with postoperative AF (P<0.1) by univariate analysis, it was not thought to be a strong confounder on the effect of milrinone on AF. The final model included age, gender, history of hypertension, mitral valve surgery, baseline ejection fraction, preoperative β-blocker use, and treatment with milrinone on the day of surgery. An additional model was performed that included mean pulmonary artery pressure (PAP) in addition to the previous variables; however, because not all patients underwent pulmonary artery catheter placement, this model excluded 45 patients. Potentially significant confounding variables, including right ventricular dysfunction, postoperative left ventricular dysfunction, statin use, perioperative treatment with norepinephrine, and perioperative treatment with dobutamine, were analyzed with the main logistic regression model by adding each variable, 1 at a time, to the main model. Because of the large number of potential confounding variables associated with milrinone treatment, we also conducted a propensity score analysis using logistic regression on age, gender, hypertension, baseline ejection fraction, mitral valve surgery, preoperative use of β-blockers, preoperative use of statins, CPB time, perioperative treatment with dobutamine, and perioperative treatment with norepinephrine. Because the number of patients treated perioperatively with dopamine and epinephrine was small and no association was found between the use of these pressors and AF in this study, we did not include these variables in our logistic regression or propensity score analyses. Data are reported as the estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) (with a value of P<0.05 considered statistically significant). Data were analyzed with SPSS (version 15.1, SPSS Inc, Chicago, Ill), and the propensity score analyses were performed with SAS for Windows (version 9, SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC).
The authors had full access to and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written.
| Results |
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Table 2 presents intraoperative characteristics in patients according to whether they were treated with milrinone on the day of surgery. Milrinone was started in the operating room in 28.4% of patients and was used in a total of 35.3% of patients on the day of surgery. Patients who received milrinone perioperatively were more likely to have had on-pump surgery, were more likely to have had mitral valve surgery, had longer pump times, were more likely to be treated with norepinephrine and epinephrine postoperatively, and were less likely to be treated with dobutamine and dopamine postoperatively. The mean PAP at the end of surgery was significantly higher in patients who received milrinone. Data from intraoperative transesophageal echocardiography were available for 192 subjects. Right ventricular dysfunction and postoperative left ventricular dysfunction (postoperative ejection fraction <35%) were associated with milrinone use.
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Subject Characteristics Associated With Postoperative AF
Sixty-seven patients (28.9%) developed postoperative AF at a mean of 2.9±2.1 days (median, 2 days) after surgery. Patients who developed postoperative AF stayed in the hospital longer (8.5±11.6 days versus 5.1±2.0 days; P<0.001) and were more likely to die in the hospital (4.5% versus 0%; P=0.02). Baseline characteristics of patients with or without postoperative AF appear in Table 3. Patients who developed postoperative AF were significantly older, were more likely to have a history of hypertension, and had a lower preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction. Women tended to be overrepresented in the AF group. Preoperative medications were similar between groups, with a trend toward higher preoperative β-blocker use in the AF group. Race, blood pressure, body mass index, and preoperative laboratory measurements were similar between groups.
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Table 4 indicates intraoperative patient characteristics in patients with or without postoperative AF. Milrinone use on the day of surgery was associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF (58.2% versus 26.1%; P<0.001). Milrinone use on the day of surgery also was associated with an increased risk of postoperative amiodarone or sotalol use (37.8% versus 11.3%; P<0.001). In addition, mitral valve surgery and a higher mean PAP measured at the end of surgery were associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF. Right ventricular dysfunction was associated with postoperative AF, whereas postoperative left ventricular dysfunction (postoperative ejection fraction <35%) was not.
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The use of inotropes other than milrinone was similar between groups; however, a nonsignificant trend toward increased norepinephrine use was found in patients who developed postoperative AF. The groups were similar with regard to other surgical procedures and whether they had surgery on CPB or off pump. Blood product transfusions were similar between groups.
Logistic Regression Models
In a multivariate logistic regression model that included age, gender, history of hypertension, baseline ejection fraction, mitral valve surgery, and treatment with milrinone on the day of surgery, only milrinone use, increasing age, and lower baseline ejection fraction were significantly associated with the development of postoperative AF (Table 5). The Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test accepted this model (P=0.83). Because increased mean PAP, right ventricular dysfunction, left ventricular dysfunction, decreased dobutamine use, decreased preoperative statin use, and increased norepinephrine use were associated with milrinone treatment, we evaluated the possible confounding by these variables in logistic regression models that included each of these variables. When the mean PAP, measured at the end of surgery, was added to the model, only milrinone use (OR, 4.44; 95% CI, 2.01 to 9.83; P<0.001), higher mean PAP (OR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.11; P=0.02), and older age were associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF. Adding right ventricular dysfunction to the model did not change the effect of milrinone on postoperative AF (OR, 5.59; 95% CI, 2.34 to 13.37; P<0.001), and the effect of right ventricular dysfunction was not significant (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.43 to 3.63; P=0.69). The addition of left ventricular dysfunction to the model did not change the effect of milrinone on postoperative AF (OR, 6.35; 95% CI, 2.62 to 15.39; P<0.001), and the effect of left ventricular dysfunction was not significant (P=0.33). When treatment with dobutamine was added to the main logistic regression model, the effect of milrinone on AF was slightly increased (OR, 5.91; 95% CI, 2.65 to 13.17; P<0.001), and treatment with dobutamine did not significantly increase the risk of postoperative AF (OR, 2.30; 95% CI, 0.85 to 6.18; P=0.10). Adding norepinephrine treatment to the model did not change the effect of milrinone on postoperative AF (OR, 4.56; 95% CI, 2.13 to 9.75; P<0.001), and the effect of norepinephrine was not significant (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.59 to 2.93; P=0.51). When statin use was added to the model, the effect of milrinone on postoperative AF also did not change significantly (OR, 4.91; 95% CI, 2.31 to 10.43; P<0.001). Statin use tended to decrease the risk of postoperative AF (OR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.23 to 1.07; P=0.07).
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After adjustment for the propensity score, the effect of milrinone on AF remained significant (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 1.76 to 7.56; P<0.001). The balance of the distribution of all the covariates used in constructing the propensity score between milrinone users and nonusers was satisfactory within the lower and upper half of the propensity score subgroups except for mitral valve surgery because of its strong relationship with milrinone use. For this reason, we examined the relationship between milrinone use and postoperative AF after stratifying subjects according to whether they had had mitral valve surgery (the Figure). The results were consistent with the multivariate logistic regression model (Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel common OR for milrinone use, 3.88; 95% CI, 1.97 to 7.66; P<0.001; OR for milrinone use in the mitral valve surgery stratum, 5.00; 95% CI, 1.67 to 15.00; P=0.003; and OR for milrinone use in the non–mitral valve surgery stratum, 3.16; 95% CI, 1.32 to 7.59; P=0.008).
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| Discussion |
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Sympathetic activation predicts postoperative AF, whereas β-adrenergic blockers effectively decrease the incidence of postoperative AF.15–17 Perioperative use of dopamine or dobutamine is associated with an increased risk of postoperative AF after cardiac surgery.10,11 Short-term intravenous milrinone use has been associated with an increased risk of atrial arrhythmias during treatment of acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure.12 In contrast, Feneck at al11 reported a decreased incidence of postoperative AF in cardiac surgery patients randomized to milrinone compared with those randomized to dobutamine; however, no placebo control group was included. In addition, AF was not a primary end point of this study, and the incidence of postoperative AF, at 5% to 18%, may have been underestimated.
Milrinone and inotropes such as dopamine and dobutamine may increase the risk of AF by increasing cAMP, leading to an increase in intracellular calcium concentration. Dopamine and dobutamine increase cAMP production by activating the β1-adrenergic receptor, whereas milrinone decreases cAMP degradation by inhibiting phosphodiesterase. Activation of protein kinase A by cAMP leads to phosphorylation of ion channel subunits involved in multiple cardiac currents, including the slowly activating delayed rectifier (IKs) and L-type calcium current.18,19 The mechanisms whereby protein kinase A activation promotes AF may include abbreviation of atrial refractoriness and triggered activity in pulmonary veins.18,20 Recent data indicate that phosphodiesterase inhibition may significantly enhance protein kinase A–mediated phosphorylation in the heart compared with β-adrenergic stimulation.21
Because this study was observational and not randomized, confounding by indication may have contributed to the increased risk of postoperative AF among milrinone-treated patients. Norepinephrine and epinephrine, sympathomimetics often given to counteract the hypotensive effect of milrinone, were administered more often in milrinone-treated patients than in those who did not receive milrinone. In contrast, patients treated with milrinone were less likely to receive dopamine or dobutamine. Patients treated with milrinone had a higher PAP, longer bypass times, and a number of other clinical characteristics that may have predisposed them to postoperative AF. For example, pulmonary hypertension is associated with increased morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery.22,23 PAP predicts risk of AF after mitral valve surgery in patients with a history of AF and in patients after closure of secundum atrial septal defects.24,25 Milrinone-treated patients were less likely to have taken statins before surgery. Statin use has been reported to protect against postoperative AF in observational studies and in a randomized, placebo-controlled trial8,26; we also observed a trend toward a protective effect of preoperative statin use. Controlling for each of these confounding variables using multivariate regression, using propensity score analysis, and stratifying by mitral valve surgery did not change the association between perioperative milrinone use and postoperative AF. Nevertheless, other factors may exist that are associated with the use of milrinone in certain patients that were not measured and were not controlled for in our analysis.
Despite the limitations presented by an observational study, the absolute rate of postoperative AF among patients treated with milrinone in the perioperative period raises concern. Approximately 500 000 patients undergo cardiac surgery each year in the United States, and milrinone is commonly used to treat postoperative ventricular failure.27,28 In this single-center study, 35% of patients received milrinone in the perioperative period. On the basis of the incidence of postoperative AF observed in the milrinone-treated versus nonexposed patients, similar rates of treatment with milrinone nationally could result in an excess of 56 000 cases of postoperative AF per year. If even a fraction of these are attributable to milrinone use rather than to underlying disease, this represents a significant health concern.
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| Acknowledgments |
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Sources of Funding
This study was supported by National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grants 077389, 085740, and 071002 and National Center for Research Resources grant RR024975.
Disclosures
None.
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| Footnotes |
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Clinical trial registration information—URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00141778.
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