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(Circulation. 2008;117:2123-2130.)
© 2008 American Heart Association, Inc.
Vascular Medicine |
From the Pritzker School of Medicine (M.D.), The University of Chicago, Chicago, Ill; Department of Preventive Medicine (P.M.M., Z.C.) and Department of Medicine, Section of Cardiology (S.F.), Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Ill; Department of Medicine, University of Texas Health Science Center (S.H.), San Antonio, Tex; Department of Mathematics (R.D.), Statistics and Consulting Unit, Boston University, Boston, Mass; Department of Medicine (T.M.) and Department of Medicine, Section of Cardiology (G.T.K.), University of Illinois College of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; and Takeda Global Research and Development, Ltd (A.P.), Deerfield, Ill.
Correspondence to Theodore Mazzone, MD, Section of Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism (MC 797), University of Illinois at Chicago, 1819 W Polk St, Chicago, IL 60612. E-mail tmazzone{at}uic.edu
Received October 16, 2007; accepted February 20, 2008.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results— We evaluated individual cardiovascular risk factors as predictors of the change in CIMT produced by pioglitazone treatment by determining whether their addition to a baseline model resulted in loss of significance for the treatment effect on CIMT. Pioglitazone treatment led to improvement in levels of multiple cardiovascular risk markers, including high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, apolipoprotein B, apolipoprotein A1, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, triglyceride, insulin, and free fatty acid. At 24 weeks, there were significant differences in HDL cholesterol, triglyceride, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, insulin, body mass index, hip circumference, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein between the pioglitazone and glimepiride treatment groups. After adjustment for 24-week on-treatment values of cardiovascular risk factors, only inclusion of the changes in HDL cholesterol and insulin significantly impacted the magnitude and significance of the treatment effect on CIMT. Furthermore, irrespective of treatment assignment, increased HDL cholesterol at 24 weeks was a significant predictor of reduced CIMT progression at 72 weeks.
Conclusions— The beneficial effect of pioglitazone on HDL cholesterol at 24 weeks predicted its beneficial effect for reducing CIMT progression at 72 weeks. Changes in HDL cholesterol at 24 weeks, irrespective of treatment, predicted less progression of CIMT at 72 weeks. These results suggest that suppression of atherosclerosis with pioglitazone therapy is linked to its ability to raise HDL cholesterol.
Key Words: atherosclerosis lipoproteins diabetes mellitus
| Introduction |
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Clinical Perspective p 2130
In the CHICAGO study, pioglitazone significantly reduced progression of mean CIMT in the posterior wall of the common carotid arteries compared with glimepiride.12 Pioglitazone also reduced progression of maximum CIMT at this site. In addition to measuring treatment-related changes on CIMT in the CHICAGO trial, the investigators also measured the treatment effect on parameters implicated as cardiovascular risk factors in diabetes. The availability of these measures provides an important opportunity for analyzing the relationship of these factors to a validated measure of atherosclerosis progression in diabetes. The importance of this analysis is emphasized by recent reports that large increases in high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, a well-validated protective factor against atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease events in observational studies, did not have a beneficial effect on atherosclerosis progression in subjects treated with torcetrapib, an inhibitor of cholesterol ester transfer protein.20–22 Examination of the relationship of treatment-related changes in cardiovascular risk factors to changes in atherosclerosis could also provide insight into a potential mechanism for the beneficial effect of pioglitazone on atherosclerosis.
Here, we present detailed results concerning the effects of pioglitazone and glimepiride on cardiovascular risk factors in diabetes. We further evaluate the relationship of baseline and on-treatment changes in cardiovascular risk factors to treatment-related changes in CIMT over the course of the study.
| Methods |
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Randomized treatment consisted of pioglitazone hydrochloride (15 to 45 mg/d) or glimepiride (1 to 4 mg/d). The use of metformin or insulin was allowed in either group to reach glycemic goals. The study protocol specified adherence to American Diabetes Association guidelines for lipid and blood pressure control that were current at the start of the study.23,24 The primary end point of the study was absolute change from baseline to final visit in mean posterior-wall CIMT in the right and left common carotid arteries. Absolute change in maximal CIMT from baseline to final visit was included as a secondary end point.
The study protocol was approved by central or local institutional review board committees, and all participants provided written informed consent.
Laboratory Measurements
The following parameters were measured at a central laboratory (Clinical Reference Laboratory; Lenexa, Kan): triglyceride, total cholesterol, and plasma glucose levels from fasting blood samples, measured by standard enzymatic methods (Roche Diagnostics, Indianapolis, Ind); HDL and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, measured by direct methods,12 and hemoglobin A1c values, measured by high-performance liquid chromatography (Bio-Rad, Hercules, Calif); free fatty acid, measured by the Wako enzymatic method (Wako Chemicals, Richmond, Va); apolipoprotein (apo)-B and apo-A1, measured by immunoturbidimetry (Hitachi/Roche Diagnostics, Basel, Switzerland); human insulin, measured by ELISA (Linco, St. Charles, Mo); and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), measured by immunoturbidimetry (Roche Diagnostics). Methods for CIMT measurements have been described in detail previously.12
Statistical Analysis
Means, SDs, medians, and quartiles were used to summarize baseline values and changes in values of the various measures at 24 and 72 weeks. The average percent of missing values was small at baseline and at 24 weeks (1.3% at baseline, 4.6% at 24 weeks, and 19.1% at 72 weeks). Consistent with the primary outcome report,12 we used the last observation carried forward for CIMT at 72 weeks to include data from subjects who participated in the study but did not complete the entire study. Statistical tests were used to compare 24- and 72-week observed values with baseline. Lipids, fasting plasma glucose, and insulin were log-transformed before tests were performed because of skewed distributions. With the exception of hs-CRP, probability values from paired t tests were used as indicators of whether changes over time within treatment groups were significant. We tested for differences in hs-CRP using paired Wilcoxon tests.
We estimated and tested for treatment group differences for each cardiovascular risk predictor in terms of baseline and 24-week changes using observed values. Baseline and 24-week differences were tested with ANCOVA models. Baseline models adjusted for site and treatment group, whereas models for 24-week change also included baseline values as a covariate. Lipids, fasting plasma glucose, and insulin were log-transformed because of skewed distributions. There were
25 models fit for each time category, so we determined significance using a Bonferroni adjusted cutoff of 0.05/25=0.002.
Primary interest of the present study focused on identifying predictors and potential mediators of the treatment effect. To identify these, we added change (measured at 24 weeks) to an ANCOVA model for 72-week change in CIMT that already included baseline CIMT (consistent with the International Conference on Harmonisation E9 guidelines25), site, and treatment group. The percentage change in the treatment effect estimate relative to a model that did not include the new predictor was calculated, as was the probability value for the treatment effect in the new model. Those predictors that resulted in the treatment effect becoming nonsignificant were identified as predictors, and therefore potential mediators, of the treatment effect. We next added these to ANCOVA models that included only baseline CIMT and site, to evaluate their relationship to CIMT before adjustment for treatment effect (ie, irrespective of treatment).
We examined Cooks distance (to determine whether conclusions rested only on a few influential values) for observations in models that included HDL cholesterol and insulin and repeated fits after the exclusion of observations with the largest values of Cooks distance. Because results were similar to the results utilizing the full sample, results for the reduced sample are not shown. We used a bootstrap analysis to test whether the impact of HDL cholesterol on the treatment effect estimate was sensitive to small changes in sample composition. Using 10 000 ordinary replicates, we constructed bias-corrected and adjusted CIs for the treatment effect and compared these with the model-based CI. Because the only missing values in the model for change in CIMT that included HDL cholesterol were 7 missing HDL cholesterol values (<2%), we did not pursue multiple imputation or other missing data techniques, consistent with the advice of Harrell26 that missing data techniques are unlikely to alter results when the proportion of missing data is small. Analyses were performed in R version 2.3.027 (including the bootstrap functions of Canty) and confirmed with SAS/STAT software version 9.1.3.
The authors had full access to the data and take full responsibility for its integrity. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written.
| Results |
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We next wanted to evaluate whether differences in these parameters, which have previously been associated with risk for cardiovascular disease or atherosclerosis, were related to the treatment effect on CIMT. We evaluated differences between the treatment groups in these parameters at baseline and in terms of 24-week change and examined the relationship of baseline and 24-week differences to treatment effects on CIMT at 72 weeks. In Table 2, statistics for treatment-group differences at baseline and change at 24 weeks are presented. For most parameters, differences were evaluated on a log scale and are calculated as the value for the pioglitazone-treatment group minus that for the glimepiride-treatment group. Positive numbers, therefore, indicate higher values in the pioglitazone group. None of the parameters presented in Table 2 significantly differed by treatment group at baseline. HDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and hip circumference were increased significantly in the pioglitazone group compared with the glimepiride group at 24 weeks. Total triglyceride level, insulin level, and hs-CRP were decreased significantly at 24 weeks in the pioglitazone-treatment group compared with the glimepiride group. Weight and body mass index were almost significantly different between the treatment groups, being higher for pioglitazone.
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We next focused on identifying potential mediators of the pioglitazone-treatment effect on CIMT. The parameters shown in Table 2 were added to an ANCOVA model for 72-week change in CIMT that already included baseline CIMT, study site, and treatment group. There was no effect of any of the baseline parameters on treatment-mediated changes in CIMT at 72 weeks (not shown). Although there were numerous measures with a pattern of change that differed between the treatment groups at 24 weeks (Table 2), there were only 2 for which inclusion in a model predicting 72-week change in mean CIMT resulted in a loss of significance for the treatment effect:
log HDL cholesterol and
log fasting insulin (calculated as log week 24 minus log baseline value; Table 3). None of the other parameters shown in Table 2 impacted the treatment effect of pioglitazone on mean CIMT, and several of these are also included in Table 3. The addition of
log HDL cholesterol resulted in a 30.7% decrease in the estimated treatment effect, whereas the addition of
log insulin resulted in a 19.8% decrease; the addition of both was almost additive in attenuating the treatment effect by 46.2%, which suggests they were associated with somewhat independent aspects of the treatment effect. A bootstrap CI for treatment effect with the inclusion of
log HDL was similar to the model-based CI. A similar analysis was done for treatment effect on maximal CIMT. The addition of
log HDL cholesterol level resulted in a 25.6% decrease in estimated treatment effect, with a subsequent loss of significance for treatment effect on maximal CIMT (Table 4). The addition of
log insulin resulted in a 4.8% decrease. The addition of both together attenuated the treatment effect by 33.3%.
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As an additional means of examining the importance of change in HDL cholesterol or insulin at 24 weeks for change in CIMT at 72 weeks, we next evaluated whether change in either parameter at 24 weeks was significantly related to change in mean or maximal CIMT at 72 weeks in the entire cohort. These results are shown in Table 5. An increase in HDL cholesterol level at 24 weeks significantly predicted less progression of both mean and maximal CIMT. The predictive value of increased HDL cholesterol at 24 weeks for CIMT benefit at 72 weeks was similar in statin users and nonusers (P=0.82 for interaction). In addition, there was no impact of either race or gender on the relationship between change in HDL and change in CIMT shown in Table 5 (P values for interaction were 0.10 for race and 0.62 for gender). Twenty-four-week change in insulin did not significantly predict change in either mean or maximal CIMT at 72 weeks (Table 5). Quartiles of log HDL cholesterol change at 24 weeks were also significantly related to change in CIMT at 72 weeks. Compared with the first quartile (used as the referent group), subjects in the second quartile had a reduction of CIMT of 0.013±0.008 mm, those in the third quartile had a 0.016±0.008-mm reduction, and those in the fourth quartile had a 0.024±0.008-mm reduction (P=0.02 for trend). An increase in HDL cholesterol of 5% to 16% (which corresponded to the third quartile of log HDL cholesterol change) at 24 weeks predicted a significant benefit for CIMT at 72 weeks.
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| Discussion |
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In evaluating the clinical implications of the present study, an important limitation is that we measured atherosclerosis progression using CIMT, which may not relate directly to any beneficial effect of HDL cholesterol elevation by pioglitazone on cardiovascular disease events. In the PROactive trial (PROspective pioglitAzone Clinical Trial In macroVascular Events), treatment with pioglitazone did not significantly reduce the risk of a composite primary end point (which included death due to any cause, nonfatal myocardial infarction, stroke, acute coronary syndrome, leg amputation, coronary revascularization, or leg revascularization).31 Pioglitazone treatment did, however, significantly reduce (by 16%) the relative risk of the main secondary end point (a composite of all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, or stroke). A recent meta-analysis of clinical trials of pioglitazone demonstrated an association between pioglitazone treatment and a lower risk of death, myocardial infarction, and stroke.32 The use of rosiglitazone, the other commercially available thiazolidinedione, was not associated with a reduction in cardiovascular disease events in a similar meta-analysis.33 The impact of rosiglitazone on CIMT in patients with diabetes has also not been firmly established in large, long-term studies. In a trial that reported results for 447 subjects (165 with type 2 diabetes mellitus), there was no significant effect of rosiglitazone on the primary CIMT end point in the entire cohort or in the subgroup of diabetic subjects at 12 months.34 There was benefit for a secondary CIMT end point. In a 24-week study that included 92 subjects with type 2 diabetes mellitus, rosiglitazone produced a significant benefit on CIMT as a secondary end point.35 It is of interest that in a head-to-head trial, rosiglitazone was less effective than pioglitazone for increasing HDL cholesterol level in subjects with diabetes.17 The results of the present analysis support the contention that a potential benefit of pioglitazone compared with rosiglitazone for reducing CVD events is based on an atheroprotective effect related to its incremental raising of HDL cholesterol.
In animal models, raising HDL by expression of human apoA1 markedly attenuates atherosclerosis.36 In humans, there is a strong epidemiological inverse relationship between HDL cholesterol and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.37,38 Low HDL is also associated with measures of increased atherosclerosis progression measured by multiple techniques.39–42 Pharmacological therapies that raise HDL, such as niacin and statins, have also been associated with reduced progression of atherosclerosis and reduced cardiovascular mortality.5–7,43 Although statins have their most profound effect on atherosclerosis by lowering LDL cholesterol, a recent analysis concluded that part of the beneficial effect of statins in reducing atherosclerosis progression measured by intravascular ultrasound of the coronary arteries can be ascribed to increased HDL cholesterol.30 Furthermore, in a post hoc analysis of the Treating to New Targets Study, HDL cholesterol levels predicted major cardiovascular events in patients taking statins.44 Fibrates are another class of drugs that increase HDL cholesterol and reduce atherosclerosis disease progression; however, HDL elevations have not been observed in all studies.45–48 In the Veterans Affairs High-Density Lipoprotein Intervention Trial (VA-HIT), there was a significant 5% increase in HDL cholesterol with gemfibrozil treatment compared with placebo. Concentrations of HDL cholesterol achieved with gemfibrozil treatment in that trial predicted a significant reduction in coronary heart disease events in patients with low HDL cholesterol. In the Fenofibrate Intervention and Event Lowering in Diabetes (FIELD) trial, there was a smaller and unsustained change in HDL cholesterol and no significant reduction in the primary outcome of coronary events.
Not all therapies that raise HDL cholesterol are associated with improved measures of atherosclerosis or reduced cardiovascular mortality. In a recently completed series of trials, torcetrapib, a cholesterol ester transfer protein inhibitor that can increase HDL cholesterol levels by >60%, was associated with increased mortality in a clinical end-point trial49 and no improvement in, or a trend toward worsening of, atherosclerosis in intravascular ultrasound and CIMT trials.20–22 This emphasizes the need to evaluate not only the level of HDL cholesterol but also its in vivo functionality for suppressing atherosclerosis progression or reducing cardiovascular events.
In the CHICAGO trial, pioglitazone treatment produced multiple benefits on cardiovascular risk factors, including an increase of 14% in HDL cholesterol. HDL cholesterol is an established and potent inverse risk factor for cardiovascular disease in humans, and increasing HDL cholesterol in animals and humans suppresses progression of atherosclerosis. The present analysis, the first to evaluate the relationship between thiazolidinedione-related changes in multiple cardiovascular risk factors and atherosclerosis progression in a large cohort of well-characterized subjects with diabetes, therefore suggests that the beneficial effect of pioglitazone for reducing atherosclerosis progression is derived in part from pioglitazone-related increases in HDL cholesterol. These results contrast with those of the torcetrapib trials in which increases in HDL cholesterol produced by treatment with cholesterol ester transfer protein inhibitors did not reduce atherosclerosis progression. The results in the present report support the importance of addressing low HDL cholesterol levels for suppressing atherosclerosis progression in patients with diabetes.43,50
| Acknowledgments |
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The study was sponsored and funded by Takeda Global Research & Development, Inc, Lincolnshire, Ill. Work on this report also was supported by National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grant No. K25 HL68139-01A1 to Dr Meyer.
Disclosures
Dr Mazzone is a consultant for Takeda, Merck, Amylin, and Novartis; received grants/research support from Takeda; and received honoraria from Merck, Pfizer, Takeda, and Novartis. Dr Meyer is a consultant for Takeda. Dr Kondos is a consultant for Takeda; received grants/research support from Takeda; and received honoraria from Takeda. Dr Davidson is a consultant for Abbott, AstraZeneca, Merck, Merck/Schering-Plough, Pfizer, Novartis, Reliant, Roche, Sankyo, Sumitomo, and Takeda; is on the speakers bureau for Abbott, AstraZeneca, Kos, Merck, Merck/Schering-Plough, Pfizer, Reliant, Sankyo, and Takeda; and has received grants/research support from Abbott, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Kos, Merck, Merck/Schering-Plough, Pfizer, Novartis, Reliant, Roche, Sankyo, and Takeda. Dr Feinstein is a consultant for Takeda. Dr DAgostino is a consultant for Takeda, Pfizer, Bayer, and Sanofi. Dr Perez is employed by Takeda Global Research & Development. Dr Haffner is a consultant for GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Merck Sharpe & Dohme Ltd, and Takeda and has received grants/research support from Pfizer, GlaxoSmithKline, and Novartis. Z. Chen reports no conflicts.
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| Footnotes |
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Clinical trial registration information—URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00225264.
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