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(Circulation. 2005;112:916-923.)
© 2005 American Heart Association, Inc.
Controversies in Cardiovascular Medicine |
| Introduction |
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The fact that the debate continues at national meetings and has been included here in this series of controversies in cardiovascular medicine points to a need for a critical reappraisal of this literature to determine a thesis that the available data can support, while providing a clear explanation for the discrepant findings of the opposing view. As in all analyses, the task must begin with a clear statement of the question, which we pose as "Does any elevation of CK-MB after an otherwise successful procedure have an independent association with subsequent mortality?" We frame our antagonist position within the following 3 arguments: (1) Many studies purporting a relationship between low-level CK-MB elevation and mortality have faulty designs that limit their conclusions; (2) the data do not support periprocedural CK-MB elevation as a surrogate end point for mortality; and (3) the definition of "otherwise successful" has been inconsistent and in many cases may not pertain to the current stent era.
Finally, we address specific situations in which the effect of periprocedural MI may be modified by higher baseline risk, such as saphenous vein graft intervention or patients with significant left ventricular systolic dysfunction.
| Limitations of Previous Studies |
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Some of these limitations can be overcome by appropriate study design. For example, a prospective analysis within a clinical trial that has strict inclusion and exclusion criteria and a requirement for systematic collection of cardiac enzyme data in all patients at specific time intervals should minimize the potential for major baseline differences between the MI and no MI groups and avoid bias caused by incomplete ascertainment. If acute coronary syndrome patients are included, then the protocol must either exclude these patients unless a normal CK-MB value is obtained >8 hours after presentation and before PCI or require careful adjudication by an independent events committee to determine whether periprocedural CK-MB elevation is likely caused by a periprocedural spontaneous event.
Instead, most of the studies reporting an increased mortality risk for periprocedural CK-MB elevation after otherwise successful procedures have been retrospective reviews of single-center databases.3,4,6,7 It is not possible for any retrospective analysis to approximate equality between the study groups or to adequately control for all unmatched factors influencing outcome. Moreover, even slight deficiencies in ascertaining of postprocedure CK-MB data that are invariably a part of retrospective analyses may significantly bias the results. In fact, such potential difficulties are clearly identified by the authors of these studies. In 1 study, patients who had CK >2 times the ULN were also more likely to have had recent MI, unstable angina, thrombotic or complex lesions, vein graft intervention, and directional coronary atherectomy (DCA) procedures.3 It is not surprising that these risk factors may identify a group at higher risk for subsequent death. The same authors reported similar baseline differences as well as an increased risk for subsequent MI and revascularization in patients identified only by CK-MB elevation without elevated CK,4 further suggesting that CK-MB may be an epiphenomenon in otherwise identified high-risk patients.16
Differences between the MI and no-MI groups of other studies have been even less subtle. In a report from the Coronary Angioplasty versus Excisional Atherectomy Trial (CAVEAT), 3 of 13 cardiac deaths were associated with abrupt closure during or shortly after the procedure and large Q wave MI. These events represented 3 of the 6 deaths assigned to the group with elevated CK-MB, and contributed to the conclusion that elevated CK-MB was a significant predictor of 1-year mortality.5,17 In another study with a matched cohort design, the matching of groups with and without CK elevation based only on date of procedure and interventional device failed to account for significantly worse procedural success measures in the CK elevation group, including final diameter stenosis >50% (15% versus 7%, P=0.003) and final Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) grade flow <3 (17% versus 3%).6
Most evidence incriminating modest elevations of periprocedural CK-MB after otherwise successful procedures is derived from the aforementioned studies. Clearly, the concerns regarding the retrospective designs and other limitations of these studies should give investigators pause before accepting the conclusion that any level of CK-MB elevation after an otherwise successful procedure has subsequent mortality risk. Furthermore, as we address this question for 2005, it is important to consider that these studies are limited not only by inherent design flaws but also by data obtained from an era before the widespread use of coronary stents and other refinements of PCI technique. Before discussing the data from more current stent populations, however, we review the case for acceptance of elevated periprocedural CK-MB elevation as an appropriate surrogate end point for subsequent mortality.
| Elevated CK-MB as a Surrogate End Point for Mortality |
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The significance of cardiovascular mortality for the public health has led to the performance of numerous interventional clinical trials aimed at preventing or delaying these events. Such trials require large numbers of patients and long periods of follow-up at considerable cost with the attendant potential pitfalls of lack of validity by the time results are available or serious delays in availability of efficacious therapies. Furthermore, as clinicians, we value reliable predictors of mortality to help guide treatment decisions for our patients. The availability of markers that are tightly linked to disease pathogenesis and outcome would be valuable as potential replacements for the hard clinical morbidity and mortality end points. Care must be exercised, however, to distinguish risk markers that are only statistically related to disease outcome from true surrogate end points. To meet the requirement for surrogate status, a marker must track with the frequency of disease both as an epidemiological risk factor and a therapeutic responder.18 That is, there must be a plausible cause-and-effect mechanism as well as evidence to support an equal directional effect on disease outcome for interventions that either increase or decrease the frequency of the surrogate marker. An intervention that decreases (or increases) the frequency of a surrogate marker for mortality should have a corresponding decrease (or increase) in mortality.
Studies reporting an association of CK-MB elevation and late mortality have argued, at least implicitly, for surrogate status for periprocedural CK-MB and have led to 2 significant modifications in the practice of interventional cardiology: demise of DCA as an alternative to balloon angioplasty and approval and widespread use of glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa inhibitors during PCI. Although both of these judgments by the interventional community may have been correct choices from the perspective of the modern stent era, a surrogate role for periprocedural CK-MB elevation should not be credited with providing the convincing evidence. Indeed, it is worth considering the data from the major DCA studies and mortality data from GP IIb/IIIa clinical trials as antithetical arguments for CK-MB elevation as a mortality surrogate.
The CAVEAT study was the first large randomized trial of DCA versus balloon angioplasty and raised concerns regarding the continued use of DCA. The concerns were caused by the lack of efficacy in preventing restenosis and, more important, serious safety issues, including increased 1-year mortality in the DCA group.17 This 1-year mortality difference (2.2% versus 0.6%, P=0.035) was attributed mostly to the increased frequency of periprocedural MI, defined as CK-MB elevation >3 times the ULN, after DCA (15.2% versus 6.8%, P=0.001).5,17 If we apply the test for surrogacy based on these results, then we may conclude that because the potential surrogate (CK-MB elevation) is associated with increased risk of the outcome (mortality) and is increased in response to the intervention (DCA), the test criteria are fulfilled. A review of additional data proves this conclusion to be erroneous.
Of the 13 cardiac deaths in CAVEAT, 5 (36%) occurred in the group with CK-MB elevation. Of these, however, 3 were associated with large Q wave MI and major procedural complications, 2 of which were actually in the balloon angioplasty group. Whereas DCA was associated with increased mortality, only 2 of the 11 DCA deaths could be related to CK-MB elevation after otherwise successful DCA procedures.
Additional evidence against CK-MB as a surrogate marker after DCA comes from the Balloon Angioplasty versus Optimal Atherectomy Trial (BOAT). The BOAT investigators had the advantage of increased experience and knowledge of the potential complications of DCA from CAVEAT and other studies, resulting in many technical refinements to the procedure to achieve higher device success and fewer acute angiographic complications. Similar to CAVEAT, the frequency of CK-MB elevation was still significantly higher for DCA as compared with balloon angioplasty (16% versus 6%, P<0.01). In sharp contrast, however, observed 1-year mortality was actually lower in the DCA group (0.6% versus 1.6%, P=0.14).19 Taken together, the data from CAVEAT and BOAT argue convincingly against CK-MB elevation as a surrogate marker inasmuch as an intervention with a consistent response effect on the potential surrogate marker demonstrates variable association with the measured outcome.
Similar conclusions can be derived from a review of GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor mortality data. The Evaluation of IIb/IIIa Inhibitor for Stenting (EPISTENT) trial was the first trial of a percutaneous revascularization strategy to show a beneficial effect on mortality with a 57% mortality reduction in favor of a group randomized to coronary stenting and the GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor abciximab compared with standard stenting without a GP IIb/IIIa inhibitor.20 Given that the only documented significant benefit of GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors had been a reduction in the frequency of periprocedural CK-MB elevation, many assumed that periprocedural CK-MB elevation represented a surrogate for late mortality. Subsequent data argue against that assumption. In a pooled analysis of abciximab PCI studies, Anderson et al reported that periprocedural CK-MB elevation explained only 18% of the abciximab mortality benefit (HR 0.71, P=0.003).21 This is consistent with findings from the Do Tirofiban and Reopro Give Similar Efficacy Outcome Trial (TARGET), in which, despite significant reductions in frequency of periprocedural CK-MB elevation for abciximab compared with tirofiban, the 6-month outcomes were not different, and 1-year mortality rates among the high-risk patients with diabetes were identical.22–24 This dissociation between rates of periprocedural CK-MB elevation and reduced mortality not only fails to support CK-MB as a surrogate marker but also requires alternative mechanisms to account for the late mortality benefit of GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors that has now been demonstrated in 2 separate meta-analyses.25,26 These explanations may involve improved microvascular perfusion as demonstrated after stenting with adjunctive GP IIb/IIIa versus placebo,27 and potent antagonistic effects by GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors on platelet inflammatory mediators such as sCD40L.28,29
It should be noted that the absence of surrogate status for CK-MB elevation does not reject the statistical association between reduced rates of periprocedural CK-MB elevation and mortality. CK-MB elevation may simply identify, albeit imperfectly, a group of patients who are at higher baseline risk and may be more likely to benefit from early aggressive antiplatelet therapy.
Such a role for CK-MB as a marker for higher risk rather than a cause of or surrogate for increased mortality has been suggested as a harmonious interpretation of the studies discussed above. Indeed, the finding by some studies4,30 that the largest mortality difference between groups with low-level CK-MB elevation and no elevation occurs >1 year after the procedure suggests the identification of a group with a confounding factor that is associated with worse late prognosis, such as more severe underlying atherosclerotic disease. Although earlier reports did not suggest that the prognostic significance of periprocedural CK-MB elevation was explained by greater underlying disease,11 more recent studies have found evidence for an association. Kini et al observed that diffuse coronary disease, determined by lesion length >20 mm or multiple single lesions in
1 vessels, and systemic atherosclerosis, defined as a history of peripheral vascular, cerebrovascular, or aortic disease, were both independent predictors of periprocedural CK-MB elevation among 1675 consecutive patients.31 In a study of preintervention intravascular ultrasound analysis of 2780 lesions, Mehran et al reported increases in plaque volumes at both the reference segments and lesion sites for patients with progressively higher periprocedural CK-MB.32 Plaque volumes at the reference segments and lesion sites were both independently associated with periprocedural CK-MB elevation.32 To the extent that these studies identify more severe atherosclerosis associated with the probability of periprocedural CK-MB elevation, it is not surprising that a higher mortality risk may also exist.
The available data thus do not support a role for periprocedural CK-MB elevation as a surrogate marker for morbidity and mortality after PCI. There is a reported statistical association between elevated periprocedural CK-MB and late mortality, but there is no convincing evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship and the supposition is supported mostly by retrospective studies from the prestent era. It is likely that the relationship is explained in part by the identification of a group with baseline characteristics that increase both the risk for periprocedural CK-MB elevation and late mortality.
Previous reports have shown that the frequency and severity of periprocedural CK-MB elevation are strongly related to the choice of percutaneous device and that outcomes after serious procedure-related complications or Q wave MI are consistently poor. As we study this question in the title in 2005, we must consider these issues in relation to modern stent procedures, in which the risk for periprocedural CK-MB elevation is high, but recognized serious procedure-related complications have been dramatically reduced.
| Periprocedural CK-MB After an Otherwise "Successful" Stent Procedure |
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In contrast to balloon angioplasty and atherectomy procedures, in which periprocedural CK-MB elevation is frequently associated with recognized angiographic complications such as persistent dissections and acute vessel closure,4 CK-MB elevation after coronary artery stenting is most often associated with an uncomplicated angiographic outcome. Unrecognized distal embolization of platelet aggregates is thought to be the most common cause of periprocedural CK-MB elevation after stenting, which occurs in >20% of patients, including elevations >3 times the ULN in at least 8% of patients.14,15,35,36 Based on extrapolation of data from many of the studies of balloon angioplasty and atherectomy discussed above, periprocedural non–Q wave MI, defined as CK-MB elevation >3 times the ULN or total CK >2 times the ULN, has been included as a component of the primary safety end point for recent coronary stent clinical trials evaluated by the US Food and Drug Administration. Whether the findings from these studies of devices with differing pathogenesis of CK-MB elevations—even accepting their other limitations, can be applied to coronary stent patients has not been clearly demonstrated.
Several studies have provided some insight into this question.13–15 Saucedo et al studied 900 consecutive patients undergoing successful stenting at a single institution between 1994 to 1995 and noted large periprocedural CK-MB elevation (>5 times the ULN) in only 67 (0.7%) patients. These patients represented a uniquely high-risk group with significantly more complex lesion characteristics and increased in-hospital ischemic complications including subacute stent thrombosis and repeat revascularization as compared with patients without CK-MB elevation. In this small study, 1-year mortality was significantly higher for patients with CK-MB >5 times the ULN as compared with patients without CK-MB elevation (6.9% versus 1.7%, P=0.01) but was not different for patients with CK-MB elevation <5 times the ULN (1.2% versus 1.7%).13
More recently, Stone et al14 reported a much larger series of 7147 consecutive patients treated from 1994 to 1999 including >3600 stent patients. Periprocedural CK-MB elevation >3 times the ULN occurred in 16.9% of patients and was >8 times the ULN or associated with Q wave MI in 7.8%. By 2 years, mortality was independently and significantly higher for patients with periprocedural Q wave MI (38.6%, HR 9.9, P<0.0001) or CK-MB elevation >8 times the ULN without Q waves (14.5%, HR 2.2, P<0.0001). Lesser degrees of periprocedural CK-MB elevation had no effect on 2-year mortality compared with no CK-MB elevation.
The Stone et al study has the strength of a consecutive series of patients with complete ascertainment of periprocedural CK-MB data and representing variable periprocedural risk and procedure outcomes. Although the authors excluded patients with recent MI (<72 hours) and those with subacute vessel closure or who required emergency bypass surgery within 24 hours, an accompanying editorial in Circulation speculated whether this study adequately addressed the question we have stated in this debate, namely whether there is an effect of periprocedural CK-MB elevation after an otherwise successful stent procedure.37 This raises the issue of how a successful stent procedure should be defined in 2005. In the previous studies described in this review, "otherwise successful" was broadly defined according to National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute registry standards as <50% diameter stenosis without in-hospital death, Q wave MI, or emergency CABG.38 Even though some of the studies included procedures that were unsuccessful even by this definition, it can be argued that a more conservative definition should be adopted for stent procedures in which unstented dissections and final slow flow also connote failure. Furthermore, although the risk of emergent CABG has been reduced dramatically in concert with improved acute lesion outcomes and the near elimination of abrupt closure, stenting is associated with a unique risk of acute and subacute thrombosis. We have reported that in the modern stent era most of these thrombotic complications occur within the first 24 to 48 hours after the procedure and are associated with a 6-month mortality rate of 20%.39 Because this is the time interval during which postprocedure cardiac enzyme measurements are also determined, it is possible that enzyme levels caused by stent thrombosis may have been included among otherwise successful procedures. Obviously, it would be a mistake to equate the increased mortality related to stent thrombosis with outcomes of periprocedural CK-MB elevation after otherwise successful procedures.
We recently evaluated the differential impact on the 1-year mortality effect of periprocedural CK-MB elevation according to success or failure of the stent procedure in a pooled series of 5850 coronary stent patients from 6 coronary stent clinical trials.15 For this analysis, an unsuccessful procedure was defined as final diameter stenosis <50%, final TIMI grade flow <3, final dissection National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute grade D or greater, or development of stent thrombosis or requirement for urgent target vessel revascularization within 24 hours. All clinical events and procedure failure criteria were adjudicated by an independent committee or angiographic core laboratory. The events committee also adjudicated MI events that were in progress at the time of the stent procedure leading to the exclusion of those patients from the analysis. The procedure was considered successful in 98% of patients. Periprocedural CK-MB elevation occurred in 20.4% of successful procedures but was not associated with an increase in 1-year mortality as compared with no CK-MB elevation (2.1% versus 1.7%, P>0.20). CK-MB was elevated >8 times the ULN or new Q wave MI was present after only 2% of successful procedures. In contrast, CK-MB was elevated after 70% of unsuccessful procedures including >8 times the ULN or new Q waves in 32%, and was associated with a significantly higher risk of death in the first year as compared with no CK-MB elevation (13.1% versus 0%, P=0.03). This included 19.7% mortality among patients with unsuccessful procedures and CK-MB >8 times the ULN or new Q waves.
These studies demonstrate that periprocedural CK-MB elevation is common after coronary stenting but is limited to low-level elevations in most cases with infrequent occurrence of large non–Q wave and Q wave MIs. When these larger MIs do occur, they are almost always the result of procedural or early postprocedure serious complications, which would not indicate a successful procedure by most perceived standards. Regardless, these large MIs are consistently and uniquely associated with an increased mortality risk at 1 and 2 years, with no apparent significant increase in either short- or long-term mortality for low- and moderate-level (<5 to 8 times the ULN) CK-MB elevation after successful coronary stenting.
| Special High-Risk Subgroups |
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Hong et al40 reported periprocedural CK-MB elevation in 45% of patients undergoing saphenous vein graft PCI, including 30% with "minor" (CK-MB 1 to 5 times the ULN) and 15% with "major" (CK-MB >5 times the ULN) elevation. There was significantly increased 1-year mortality for minor (6.5%) or major (11.7%) levels of periprocedural CK-MB elevation as compared with no elevation (4.8%).40 Distal embolization is likely to be more severe during saphenous vein graft PCI and more likely to result in major reperfusion abnormalities, which may account for this observed increased risk. For this reason, we recommend routine use of embolic protection devices in the treatment of these lesions with a goal of avoiding these complications and associated periprocedural CK-MB elevation.
Ellis et al30 noted an increase in the magnitude of risk for periprocedural CK-MB elevation depending on the presence of LV systolic dysfunction. For patients with LV dysfunction, 4-month mortality rates increased from 1.9% to 14.0% if periprocedural CK-MB elevation >5 times the ULN occurred. A smaller but important increase to 3.0% was approximated for patients with CK-MB elevation <5 times the ULN.30 It is reasonable to suspect that patients with abnormal baseline LV function will have poorer tolerance of any additional insult and additional concern about periprocedural CK-MB elevation in this group is warranted.
| Conclusions |
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In 2005, low-to-moderate level CK-MB elevation does not predict outcomes. Similar to patients without CK-MB elevation, outcomes are determined by procedure-related complications in the first 30 days, restenosis events between 30 days and 1 year, and events related to disease progression >1 year. Significant advances have been made in the reduction of procedure-related complications, and drug-eluting stents have reduced restenosis clinical events by at least 70%. Although there is still room for improvement in these areas, the real challenge is the continued occurrence of late events caused by disease progression. The prevention of subsequent atherosclerosis events causing MI or death is a much more suitable target than unexplained death after a remote successful stent procedure.
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39. Cutlip DE, Baim DS, Ho KK, Popma JJ, Lansky AJ, Cohen DJ, Carrozza JP Jr, Chauhan MS, Rodriguez O, Kuntz RE. Stent thrombosis in the modern era: a pooled analysis of multicenter coronary stent clinical trials. Circulation. 2001; 103: 1967–1971.
40. Hong MK, Mehran R, Dangas G, Mintz GS, Lansky AJ, Pichard AD, Kent KM, Satler LF, Stone GW, Leon MB. Creatine kinase-MB enzyme elevation following successful saphenous vein graft intervention is associated with late mortality. Circulation. 1999; 100: 2400–2405.
Drs Cutlip and Kuntz make several valid points in their article; however, they have redefined the question that was posed. The point of contention was whether periprocedural MI predicts outcome, and several studies have demonstrated that it does, although the exact threshold has varied depending on the population examined, the sample size of the study, and the duration of follow-up. Therapies to reduce periprocedural MI, such as antithrombotic medications and statins, improve clinical outcomes. Thus, periprocedural MI is more than just a marker for risk—it is also a target for therapy. Therefore, measurement of CK-MB is worthwhile and clinically meaningful.
Furthermore, we agree with the excellent work by Cutlip and Kuntz regarding the benefits of embolic protection devices. In those articles, the end point they appropriately used incorporated CK-MB >3 times the upper limit of normal, even in the absence of angiographic complications, as part of the major adverse cardiac event rate.1–3 Indeed, up to the present, embolic protection devices have largely been associated with reduction in CK elevation, not in Q wave MI or mortality. Nevertheless, we concur with them that CK elevation is an end point worth preventing in the setting of vein grafts as well as in other settings by devices as well as by drugs.
In conclusion, we restate that the bulk of available evidence supports the importance of periprocedural myonecrosis as a clinical entity that is worthy of prevention, and we agree with the work of Drs Cutlip and Kuntz and others who have used and continue to use this end point in clinical investigation.
Response to Cutlip and Kuntz
Deepak L. Bhatt, MD; Eric J. Topol, MD
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2. Cohen DJ, Murphy SA, Baim DS, Lavelle TA, Berezin RH, Cutlip DE, Ho KK, Kuntz RE. Cost-effectiveness of distal embolic protection for patients undergoing percutaneous intervention of saphenous vein bypass grafts: results from the SAFER trial. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2004; 44: 1801–1808.
3. Giugliano GR, Kuntz RE, Popma JJ, Cutlip DE, Baim DS. Determinants of 30-day adverse events following saphenous vein graft intervention with and without a distal occlusion embolic protection device. Am J Cardiol. 2005; 95: 173–177.[CrossRef][Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
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