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(Circulation. 2003;108:1191.)
© 2003 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Divisions of Preventive Medicine (T.K., R.J.G., J.E.B., J.M.G.), Aging (T.K., J.M.G.), and Cardiovascular Disease (J.M.G.), Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital, and Department of Ambulatory Care and Prevention (J.E.B.), Harvard Medical School; the Departments of Epidemiology (T.K., A.M.W., J.E.B., K.A.C.) and Biostatistics (R.J.G.), Harvard School of Public Health; the Massachusetts Veterans Epidemiology Research and Information Center (J.M.G.), Boston VA Healthcare System, Boston, Mass; the Epidemiology Division (A.M.W.), Ingenix Pharmaceutical Services, Auburndale, Mass; the Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology and Public Health (C.H.H.), University of Miami School of Medicine, Miami, Fla; and Mount Sinai Medical CenterMiami Heart Institute, Miami Beach, Fla.
Correspondence to Tobias Kurth, MD, ScD, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Division of Preventive Medicine, 900 Commonwealth Ave E, Boston, MA 02215-1204. E-mail tkurth{at}rics.bwh.harvard.edu
Received March 24, 2003; revision received May 15, 2003; accepted May 16, 2003.
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results We performed subgroup analysis from a 5-year randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of 325 mg aspirin on alternate days among 22 071 apparently healthy US male physicians with prospective observational data on use of NSAIDs. A total of 378 MIs were confirmed, 139 in the aspirin group and 239 in the placebo group. Aspirin conferred a statistical extreme (P<0.00001) 44% reduction in risk of first MI. Among participants randomized to aspirin, use of NSAIDs on 1 to 59 d/y was not associated with MI (multivariable adjusted relative risk [RR], 1.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78 to 1.87), whereas the use of NSAIDs on
60 d/y was associated with MI (RR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.25 to 6.56) compared with no use of NSAIDs. In the placebo group, the RRs for MI across the same categories of NSAID use were 1.14 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.60) and 0.21 (95% CI, 0.03 to 1.48).
Conclusions These data suggest that regular but not intermittent use of NSAIDs inhibits the clinical benefits of aspirin. Chance, bias, and confounding remain plausible alternative explanations, despite the prospective design and adjustment for covariates. Nonetheless, we believe the most plausible interpretation of the data to be that regular but not intermittent use of NSAIDs inhibits the clinical benefit of aspirin on first MI.
Key Words: myocardial infarction aspirin prevention epidemiology
| Introduction |
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In this article, we investigate whether NSAIDs inhibit the clinical benefit of aspirin on first MI among 22 071 apparently healthy male US physicians.
| Methods |
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Baseline information was collected by mailed questionnaires that asked about many demographic, medical history, and lifestyle variables. Follow-up questionnaires were sent to participants at 6, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months after randomization asking about newly diagnosed medical conditions, including MI, study compliance, medication use, and health behaviors during the study period.
This study includes randomized data on aspirin from the beginning of the trial in 1982 to January 25, 1988, the date the blinded aspirin component was terminated early, primarily because of the emergence of a statistically extreme (P<0.00001) 44% reduction in risk of first MI.1 At that time, participants had been followed for an average of 60.2 months; 99.7% were still providing information on morbidity, and mortality follow-up was 100% complete.
Information on Aspirin and NSAID Use
We classified participants into aspirin (325 mg every other day) and placebo users according to the original randomized aspirin treatment assignment. Compliance with randomized treatment was identical for the aspirin and placebo groups.15 Observational data on NSAIDs were collected on baseline and follow-up questionnaires. Participants were asked, "On how many of the past 30 days did you take nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory agents other than aspirin?" From this information, we calculated the number of days per year on which nonaspirin NSAIDs were ingested. We categorized participants who reported use of NSAIDs into 3 groups: no use, intermittent use (1 to 59 d/y), and regular use (
60 d/y) for each follow-up questionnaire. To reduce confounding by indication, information about NSAID use was obtained before MI occurrence. In a sensitivity analysis, we also evaluated NSAID intake categories of none, 1 to 29, and
30 d/y. If information on NSAID use on a follow-up questionnaire was missing, we used the most recent information.
Documentation of MI
We included only first nonfatal or fatal MI, defined according to the criteria of the World Health Organization.16 When a participant or next of kin reported an MI, written consent for the review of his medical record was obtained. Self-reported MI was confirmed only after review of the appropriate medical record by an end-points committee blinded to aspirin treatment assignment and unaware of the NSAID hypothesis.
Statistical Analysis
We used the general linear models procedure (SAS version 8.2, SAS Institute) to compare continuous measurements adjusted for age. We compared categorical variables adjusted for age using direct standardization. We used time-varying Cox proportional hazards models17 to analyze the association between aspirin, placebo, and NSAID use and MI. Person-time was calculated from the return of the baseline questionnaire until the date of the MI, date of death, or the studys end, whichever occurred first. We ran separate models in the aspirin and placebo groups. In addition, we evaluated the effect of aspirin, placebo, and NSAIDs in the entire PHS cohort using indicator variables for use of aspirin or placebo according to NSAID categories. We calculated age- and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios as a measure for the relative risk (RR) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
We built 2 multivariable regression models. The first controlled for variables considered to be potential confounders of the association between NSAID use and MI. This model controlled for age (in 5-year increments), history of arthritis at baseline, exercise (<1 time/mo, 1 time/mo to 4 times/wk,
5 times/wk), body mass index (continuous), history of smoking (never, past, current), and randomized ß-carotene assignment. The second multivariable model also controlled for other major risk factors for MI, including baseline information on history of hypertension (defined as self-reported systolic blood pressure
140 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure
90 mm Hg, or antihypertensive medication regardless of blood pressure), history of diabetes, and parental history of MI before age 60 years.
To evaluate whether NSAID use inhibited the clinical benefit of aspirin on first MI, we compared the likelihood of the regression model containing only the main effects of aspirin and NSAIDs with the likelihood of the regression model that also included the interaction of aspirin and NSAIDs using the likelihood-ratio test.
| Results |
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60 d/y in any of the follow-up years had greater body mass index; reported more history of arthritis, diabetes, and hypertension; and were more likely to be current smokers. Participants in the intermittent-use group tended to be younger.
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Table 2 presents the number of participants according to aspirin and NSAID use and the number of MIs in each exposure group and follow-up period. Relatively few MIs were confirmed in the intermittent and regular NSAID-use categories. Among participants randomized to placebo who took NSAIDs on
60 d/y, only 1 MI occurred. For 13 MIs, information on NSAID use was not available in the follow-up year before the events occurred. Using the most recent NSAID information for the preceding year, 7 of these MIs occurred in the placebo-only group, 1 occurred in the placebo and intermittent NSAID use group, and 4 occurred in the aspirin-only group. For 1 MI event, no NSAID information was available. In the last interval set, a total of 8 MIs occurred before the aspirin arm of the PHS was stopped.
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The results of the age- and multivariable-adjusted models that adjusted for potential confounders of the association between aspirin and NSAID intake and MI as well as other risk factors for MI are summarized in Table 3. Intermittent use of NSAIDs (1 to 59 d/y) was not associated with an increased risk of MI in either the aspirin or placebo group. The combined use of aspirin and other NSAIDs on
60 d/y was significantly associated with MI, whereas the use of placebo and other NSAIDs on
60 d/y was not. Among participants randomized to aspirin, the multivariable-adjusted RRs of MI were 1.21 (95% CI, 0.78 to 1.87) for NSAID use on 1 to 59 d/y and 2.86 (95% CI, 1.25 to 6.56) for NSAID use on
60 d/y compared with no NSAID use. Among participants randomized to placebo, the RRs of MI were 1.14 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.60) for NSAID use on 1 to 59 d/y and 0.21 (0.03 to 1.48) for NSAID use on
60 d/y compared with never use. Additional adjustment for risk factors for MI did not attenuate the RR associated with aspirin and regular NSAID use (model 2).
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When we used a different cutoff for NSAID use (none, 1 to 29, and
30 d/y), similar trends were observed. Among participants randomized to aspirin and placebo, use of NSAIDs on 1 to 29 d/y was not associated with increased risk of MI. Compared with never use of NSAIDs, the multivariable-adjusted RRs were 1.20 (95% CI, 0.76 to 1.89) in the aspirin group and 1.15 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.63) for the placebo group. Different risks associated with use of NSAIDs for 30 days or more, however, were observed in the aspirin group (RR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.06 to 4.54) and the placebo groups (RR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.19 to 1.41) compared with never use.
We created indicator variables for each of the possible aspirin, placebo, and NSAID category combinations and calculated the RRs of MI (Table 4). Compared with the use of placebo alone, the use of aspirin alone and the use of aspirin plus an intermittent concomitant level of NSAID use (between 1 and 59 d/y) were associated with a reduced risk of MI. In contrast, no protective effect of aspirin was apparent among participants who used NSAIDs
60 d/y.
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The likelihood ratio test contrasting the age-adjusted main effects of aspirin and NSAIDs with a model that included also the interaction between aspirin and NSAID use yielded a
2 value of 8.39 (2 degrees of freedom [df], P=0.015). The same contrast in multivariable model 1 yielded a
2 value of 8.68 (2 df, P=0.013), and for multivariable model 2, a
2 value of 8.84 (3 df, P=0.012).
In a sensitivity analysis, we included 7 additional confirmed MI cases that occurred before the randomized aspirin arm was terminated but that were not confirmed by the end-points committee before the data set was closed for the final report of the aspirin arm.1 Six of these cases occurred in the aspirin arm and 1 in the placebo arm. The results were quite similar to the primary analysis. Among participants randomized to aspirin, the multivariable-adjusted RRs of MI were 1.12 (95% CI, 0.73 to 1.74) for NSAID use on 1 to 59 d/y and 2.61 (95% CI, 1.14 to 5.98) for NSAID use on
60 d/y compared with no NSAID use. For the placebo group, the RRs of MI were 1.09 (95% CI, 0.78 to 1.54) for NSAID use on 1 to 59 d/y and 0.21 (0.03 to 1.49) for NSAID use on
60 d/y compared with never use. Additional adjustment for risk factors for MI did not attenuate the RR associated with aspirin and regular NSAID use.
| Discussion |
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60 d/y. Participants randomized to placebo who used NSAIDs regularly had a nonsignificantly reduced risk of MI. These results are compatible with the possibility that NSAIDs inhibit the clinical benefits of aspirin on first MI. We found no association between intermittent use of NSAIDs (between 1 and 59 d/y) and subsequent development of MI among aspirin or placebo users. Aspirin reduces the incidence of first and recurrent MI1,4 by its ability to irreversibly block COX-1. This inhibits production of thromboxane A2 and thus increases platelet inhibition.18 This effect lasts for the lifetime of the platelet. Nonselective NSAIDs also inhibit platelet activity of COX-1,8 but this effect does not persist throughout the dosing interval.9 Aspirin and NSAIDs share a common docking site on COX-1, providing the possibility of competitive interaction. Basic research findings,19,20 a crossover study in healthy subjects,12 and 1 observational study13 support this hypothesis. In the crossover study by Catella-Lawson et al,12 concomitant administration of 400 mg ibuprofen every morning antagonized the irreversible platelet inhibition of COX-1 induced by 81 mg aspirin. This inhibition could be bypassed, such as when aspirin was given before a single dose of ibuprofen. Intake of enteric-coated ibuprofen 3 times/d inhibited the effect of aspirin on platelets, even when the aspirin was taken before the ibuprofen. No interaction was found between concomitant intake of aspirin and rofecoxib, acetaminophen, or diclofenac.
A recent observational study of secondary prevention by MacDonald and Wei13 identified 7107 patients from Scotland who were discharged after first admission for cardiovascular diseases and followed them up for 8 years. Four discharge groups were compared: low-dose (<325 mg) aspirin alone, aspirin plus ibuprofen, aspirin plus diclofenac, and aspirin plus another NSAID. Compared with users of aspirin alone, those also using ibuprofen had a relative risk of 1.73 (95% CI, 1.05 to 2.84) for cardiovascular mortality. Combined use of aspirin and diclofenac or other NSAIDs did not increase the risk. Although the authors could control for several potential confounding factors, the nature of their data did not allow them to control for lifestyle factors such as smoking and exercise.
The strengths of our study include the large number of endpoints and participants, randomized data on aspirin use, prospectively collected data on NSAID use, and confirmation of MI by medical record review. We incorporated change of NSAID use over time in our analyses, and we could differentiate between the effects of intermittent and regular NSAID use. We performed sensitivity analyses on a different NSAID use cutoff and included MI events that occurred before the end of the study but could not be included in the final report of the aspirin arm of the PHS.1 Both sensitivity analyses led to similar results. Furthermore, the PHS study population was relatively homogeneous, which reduces confounding by several variables, including access to medical care, educational attainment, and socioeconomic status.
Our study has several limitations. In contrast to the randomized data on aspirin, the data on NSAID use were observational. Thus, bias and confounding are plausible alternative explanations for the findings, although this is limited by the prospective method of data collection and adjustment for a large number of covariates. In addition, all post hoc subgroup findings raise the possibility of chance as a plausible alternative explanation, a concern mitigated by the mechanistic plausibility of the hypothesis of competitive interaction between aspirin and NSAIDs. We had no information on the brand and dosage of the NSAIDs used and thus can give only average effects over all NSAIDs. During the study period, however, ibuprofen was a widely used nonaspirin NSAID in the US market.21 Because the study participants were apparently healthy at baseline, relatively few used NSAIDs regularly. In addition, few MIs occurred in the exposed groups. This is reflected by the wide range of the CIs around the relative risks. Thus, these relative risks should be interpreted with caution. Biological plausibility must also be taken into account. This is particularly true for the relative risks in the placebo and high NSAID-intake group, in which only 1 MI occurred. Although some controversy exists regarding a possible cardioprotective effect of the nonselective NSAID naproxen,2225 an overall cardioprotective effect of NSAIDs is not expected.9
Another limitation to the generalizability of our findings involves the nature of the cohort, which included only male US physicians, 92% of whom were Caucasian. We have no reason to believe, however, that the study population and the general population differ with respect to the mechanism by which aspirin and NSAIDs may interact. The data on all covariates were collected by self-administered questionnaires. Although physicians are likely to provide health-related information accurately,26 random misclassification is plausible.
In summary, these randomized data on aspirin use and prospective observational subgroup data on NSAID use over a mean follow-up period of 5 years are compatible with the possibility that regular but not intermittent use of NSAIDs inhibits the clinical benefits of aspirin on first MI.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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G. J Hankey and J. W Eikelboom Aspirin resistance BMJ, February 28, 2004; 328(7438): 477 - 479. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. T. Eliasziw, M. D. Hill, T. Kurth, R. J. Glynn, A. M. Walker, K. A. Chan, J. E. Buring, C. H. Hennekens, and J. M. Gaziano Throw Away the Aspirin and Take Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs for the Primary Prevention of Myocardial Infarction * Response Circulation, February 24, 2004; 109 (7): e65 - e66. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. H. Frishman Cyclooxygenase inhibition in patients with coronary artery disease J. Am. Coll. Cardiol., February 18, 2004; 43(4): 532 - 533. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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W. C. Lau, P. A. Gurbel, P. B. Watkins, C. J. Neer, A. S. Hopp, D. G.M. Carville, K. E. Guyer, A. R. Tait, and E. R. Bates Contribution of Hepatic Cytochrome P450 3A4 Metabolic Activity to the Phenomenon of Clopidogrel Resistance Circulation, January 20, 2004; 109(2): 166 - 171. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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S. E Kimmel and B. L Strom Giving aspirin and ibuprofen after myocardial infarction BMJ, December 6, 2003; 327(7427): 1298 - 1299. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Do Other NSAIDs Negate the Clinical Benefit of Aspirin? Journal Watch Cardiology, November 21, 2003; 2003(1121): 5 - 5. [Full Text] |
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Minerva BMJ, September 27, 2003; 327(7417): 758 - 758. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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