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(Circulation. 2003;107:966.)
© 2003 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Population Health Research Institute and Division of Cardiology (S.Y., S.R.M., F.Z.), McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada; Mayo Clinic (B.G.), Rochester, Minn; University of Cape Town (P.C.), Cape Town, South Africa; Bristol-Myers Squibb (M.B.), Princeton, NJ; Postgraduate Medical School (A.B.), Grochowski Hospital, Warsaw, Poland; University of Mainz (T.W.), Mainz, Germany; and University of Edinburgh (K.A.A.F.), Edinburgh, UK.
Correspondence to Salim Yusuf, Population Health Research Institute, 237 Barton St E, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada L8L 2X2. E-mail yusufs{at}mcmaster.ca
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results A total of 12 562 ACS patients were randomized to receive clopidogrel (300 mg initially followed by 75 mg/d) or placebo for 3 to 12 months. The proportion of patients experiencing cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or strokes (primary outcome) at 30 days was 5.4% in the placebo group and 4.3% in the active group (relative risk 0.79, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.92). Beyond 30 days, the corresponding rates were 6.3% versus 5.2% (relative risk 0.82, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.95). There was no significant excess in life-threatening bleeds in each period (0.97% versus 1.28%, relative risk 1.32, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.84 for 0 to 30 days; 0.83% versus 0.91%, relative risk 1.09, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.59 for 31 days to 12 months). Further subdivision of the early data indicates benefits within 24 hours with consistently lower rates of the primary outcome in combination with refractory or severe ischemia.
Conclusions Clopidogrel reduces the risk of ischemic vascular events, with the benefits emerging within 24 hours of initiation of treatment and continuing throughout the 12 months (mean 9 months) of the study.
Key Words: coronary disease prevention platelets
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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The first primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke; the second primary outcome was the above composite plus refractory ischemia. The definition of refractory ischemia differed in hospital and after discharge. During hospitalization, refractory ischemia was defined as recurrence of angina with new ECG changes despite optimal antianginal and antithrombotic therapy that required an emergent intervention or transfer for an intervention within 24 hours. After hospital discharge, refractory ischemia was defined as rehospitalization for unstable angina with ECG changes. The former category of refractory ischemia was reduced by treatment, whereas the latter category was unaffected. Given the differences in definitions and response to treatment, for the analyses by time, these 2 types of refractory ischemia are considered separately. An additional secondary outcome included severe ischemia (recurrent angina with new ECG changes on maximal medical therapy).
Major bleeding included both life-threatening and other major bleeds. Life-threatening bleeding episodes were those that were fatal or led to a reduction in the hemoglobin level of at least 5 g/dL; substantial hypotension that required the use of intravenous inotropic agents, surgical intervention, or transfusion of 4 or more units of blood; or symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Other major bleeds were defined as substantially disabling bleeding, intraocular bleeding, or bleeding that necessitated the transfusion of at least 2 U of blood. For comparison with other studies in ACS, we also classified bleeding episodes using the TIMI criteria for major bleeds3 and the GUSTO (Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries)4 criteria for severe bleeds.
Statistical Analysis
The study had >90% power to detect a 16.4% relative risk reduction in the first primary outcome at an
-level of 0.045. Data are provided for the periods subdivided into
30 days and beyond 30 days. To maintain power to explore the rapidity of onset of benefit, data within the first 30 days are provided for the composite that included the primary outcomes plus refractory and severe ischemia. The goal of the present analysis was to explore the consistency of the results during the various time periods, rather than separate hypothesis testing for each period. If a patient had an event in the first period (0 to 30 days), this patient was excluded from the second period. For the overall periods, probability values are provided. However, for further subgroups by time, data are presented as relative risks with their 95% CIs.
| Results |
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Overall, 9.3% of patients experienced cardiovascular death, MI, or strokes in the clopidogrel group compared with 11.4% in the placebo group (relative risk 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.90, P<0.0001). The results were consistent and statistically significant, both early (
30 days; relative risk 0.79, P<0.004) and late (
30 days; relative risk 0.82, P<0.01; Table 1).
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Early Effects of Clopidogrel (0 to 30 Days After Randomization)
Efficacy
From randomization to 30 days, 343 patients (5.4%) developed cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke in the placebo group compared with 270 (4.3%) in the clopidogrel group (relative risk 0.79, 95% CI 0.67 to 0.92; P<0.004; Figure 1). There was also a significant reduction in the composite outcome that included cardiovascular death, MI, stroke, or refractory ischemia: 580 (9.2%) in the placebo group versus 480 (7.7%) in the clopidogrel group (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.93, P<0.002). Addition of severe ischemia to this composite also showed consistent and clear benefits for clopidogrel (740 [11.7%] versus 602 [9.6%], relative risk 0.81, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.90, P<0.0001).
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To explore the rapidity of onset of effects, the expanded composite outcome of the primary outcome plus refractory or severe ischemia was used. Further subdivision of the data indicated a consistent benefit within the first 7 days and between days 8 and days 30 (Table 2). Detailed examination of the data during the first 24 hours after randomization (Tables 3 and 4) indicated a 20% relative risk reduction in the primary outcome and a 34% relative risk reduction in the expanded composite. The latter difference was statistically significant (P<0.003) even within this relatively brief period. Examination of Figure 2 indicates the very rapid emergence of the treatment benefit, with the curves diverging as early as 4 hours after randomization. Although there was a clear impact in reducing in-hospital refractory ischemia (126 [2.0%] versus 85 [1.4%]; relative risk 0.68, 95% CI 0.52 to 0.90), there was no impact on rehospitalization for unstable angina between discharge and 30 days (143 [2.3%] versus 145 [2.3%]; relative risk 1.02, 95% CI 0.81 to 1.29).
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Bleeding
There was no excess in major bleeds within the first 24 hours with clopidogrel (Table 3). The relative risk of major bleeds was 1.18 (95% CI 0.80 to 1.75, absolute excess 0.13%) at 0 to 7 days and 1.43 (95% CI 1.00 to 2.04; absolute excess 0.35%) at 8 to 30 days (Table 2). However, with either the TIMI criteria for major bleeds or the GUSTO criteria for severe bleeds, no significant excess in bleeding was observed.
Late Effects of Clopidogrel (31 Days to 12 Months)
Efficacy
During this period, there was a further 18% relative risk reduction in the primary outcome of cardiovascular death, MI, or stroke (P<0.01; Figure 1). There was no impact on rehospitalizations for unstable angina with ECG changes (314 [5.2%] clopidogrel versus 318 [5.3%] placebo; relative risk 0.99, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.16) during this period.
Bleeding
When the CURE criteria were used, 1.18% of placebo patients and 1.75% of clopidogrel patients experienced a major bleed (relative risk 1.48, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.99, absolute excess 0.57%) over a mean of 8 months. The rate of life-threatening bleeds was 0.83% in the placebo group compared with 0.91% in the clopidogrel group (relative risk 1.09, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.59, absolute excess 0.08%). With the TIMI or the GUSTO criteria, there was no apparent excess in bleeds.
Benefit-to-Risk Ratio, Overall and by Period
The number of major vascular events prevented during any period was much greater than the risk of bleeding (life-threatening bleeding was given the same weight as death, MI, or stroke) requiring intervention (Figure 3). Overall, there were 664 patients with one of the above events in the clopidogrel group (10.6%) compared with 785 (12.5%) in the placebo group (relative risk 0.84, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.93, P<0.001). Subdivision of data into events that occurred during the first 30 days (relative risk 0.85, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.99) and beyond (relative risk 0.83, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.96) indicated consistency in results.
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| Discussion |
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The very rapid emergence of benefit after the oral dose of 300 mg of clopidogrel parallels the rapid impact on inhibition of platelet function.3 In addition, these effects were achieved on top of aspirin and a thrombin inhibitor and against a broad range of clinical practices in multiple countries. Overall, 99.8% of patients received aspirin, 91.4% received heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin, 78.5% received a ß-blocker, 4.5% received intravenous glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors (approximately two thirds with angioplasty), 46.6% received a lipid-lowering agent, and 36.4% underwent a revascularization procedure. The results were consistent across subgroups defined as those receiving or not receiving these interventions. By 24 hours, there was a clear and statistically significant reduction in the risk of the composite outcome of cardiovascular death, stroke, MI, or refractory or severe ischemia, which emphasizes the value of initiating treatment with clopidogrel without delay.5 During the first 24 hours, the rates of major or life-threatening bleeding were extremely low and were similar in the clopidogrel and placebo groups, which indicates the safety of early initiation of therapy with clopidogrel. Thus, the benefit-versus-risk ratio is clearly favorable even during the first 24 hours, when practically all patients received aspirin and >90% received a thrombin inhibitor. Although the protocol excluded patients who had received an intravenous glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor before randomization, there were no restrictions on the use of these drugs subsequent to randomization. The benefits of clopidogrel were consistent among the 823 patients who received this class of agent, with no apparent excess of bleeding with clopidogrel versus placebo. These data are consistent with information from studies of patients undergoing PTCA6,7 and suggest that clopidogrel and intravenous glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors can be used safely together.
During the first 7 days, consistent benefits were observed, with
20% relative risk reductions in the 2 primary composite outcomes (4 and 7 events prevented per 1000, respectively) and in the secondary composite outcome that included severe ischemia (15 events prevented per 1000). The benefits clearly outweighed the risks, with no apparent excess in life-threatening bleeds and only a small (1 per 1000) excess in other major bleeds. These benefits continued to increase to 30 days with about the same relative risk reductions but larger absolute risk reductions (for every 1000 patients treated, a further 7 cardiovascular deaths, MIs, or strokes were prevented). Therefore, the total number of major vascular events prevented by 30 days was several times larger (11 first primary events plus 6 cases of refractory ischemia for a total of 17 major vascular events prevented) than the risk of bleeding (5 major or life-threatening bleeds). The data in Tables 3 and 4 and Figure 2 indicate that with delays of even 1 day in initiating therapy, approximately one fourth of the benefits related to preventing the primary outcome and half of the 7-day benefits related to preventing the composite that included cardiovascular death, MI, strokes, and severe ischemia would be lost. Given that event rates are highest during the first day, this is the period during which maximum absolute benefit for any given day of treatment can be obtained. This emphasizes the importance of starting treatment with clopidogrel as early as possible.
Beyond 30 days, benefits of clopidogrel continued to be evident, with a further one-fifth decrease (11 per 1000) in the risk of cardiovascular death, MI, and stroke, which was by itself statistically significant. During this period, there was no significant excess in life-threatening bleeds (1 per 1000 over 8 months), but there was an excess of other major bleeds (5 per 1000 over 8 months). These data again indicate that the benefits of treatment outweigh the risks during this late phase beyond 30 days after presentation. Our approach of separately analyzing the data beyond 30 days may potentially underestimate the late benefits of clopidogrel for 2 reasons. First, patients who had events within the first 30 days were not included, and so the impact of preventing early recurrent events was not taken into consideration. Second, because clopidogrel was effective in the first 30 days, more high-risk patients (in whom an event was prevented with clopidogrel) remained in the clopidogrel group than in the control group. Therefore, the real benefit of clopidogrel is likely to be somewhat larger than that apparent by the present analysis. Subdivision of the data beyond 30 days is not presented because there is neither an obvious cutoff in the Kaplan-Meier rates during this period nor any biological or clinical rationale that the atherothrombotic process varies at any time after 30 days. Furthermore, censoring data before any cut point after randomization may create even more imbalances in numbers and biases in the types of patients who remain in the analysis beyond this time point, with these problems becoming worse the later censoring occurs. Moreover, statistical power is compromised because the number of events available for analysis decreases dramatically. Nevertheless, as indicated by Figures 2 and 3, benefits were seen throughout this period. Figure 3 demonstrates that a substantial part of the benefit is achieved by 3 months, with further small benefits over the remaining period of the study. These data support the recent guidelines recommending the use of clopidogrel (and aspirin) for
9 months in ACS.
The exact duration of therapy cannot be deduced reliably from a trial with the design of CURE, because even "parallel" event rates (or survival curves) may reflect continuing benefit as the group with the active treatment would be expected to include individuals in whom an event was prevented at an earlier time point. The only way to reliably estimate the exact length of time that various treatments in any condition should be given is by prospectively randomizing patients to various durations of therapy. However, such trials would have to be much larger than current studies and are unlikely to be conducted.
Our definition of life-threatening bleeding in the CURE study may be broader than that defined by the TIMI3 or GUSTO4 studies. The CURE definition of life-threatening bleeding produced event rates that were twice those seen with the TIMI or GUSTO criteria in the present trial. Therefore, in comparing bleeding rates across studies, it is important to use definitions that are similar. Because these latter 2 definitions have been commonly used in other studies in ACS, we reanalyzed our data utilizing these criteria. This resulted in no excess bleeding risk with clopidogrel and much lower bleeding rates in both the active and control groups. There are several implications of this observation. First, comparison of the bleeding from CURE with that of other trials requires caution, because it is likely that trials with other agents (eg, glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors or thrombin inhibitors) may have underestimated the absolute bleeding risks because of differing criteria for bleeding. This suggests the need for commonly agreed-upon standards and definitions for reporting bleeding to be used across various studies in ACS. Furthermore, differences in patient characteristics (eg, age), and cointerventions (eg, surgery) that affect bleeding rates should be considered and data across studies interpreted with considerable caution.
The excess risk of bleeding that we observed in CURE was similar to the risks associated with aspirin in the Antiplatelet Trialists Collaboration,8 although in CURE, the use of other agents (aspirin or heparin) or interventions that also increase the risk of bleeding was more common. The risk of bleeding with clopidogrel was similar to that observed with low-molecular-weight heparin versus placebo (0.8% versus 0.5%) in the FRISC (Fragmin During Instability in Coronary Artery Disease) study9 but lower than that observed in the trials of intravenous (2.4% versus 1.4%) or oral (4.1% versus 2.4%) glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors.4,10,11 Furthermore, several of the above treatments were given for relatively short periods of time (eg, 3 days to a few weeks), and the bleeding events were mainly counted during this period. Therefore, based on these indirect comparisons, the risk-benefit balance over time with clopidogrel is at least similar (and may even be better) to that seen with other agents proven to be effective in ACS.
Other than aspirin, clopidogrel is the only antithrombotic agent that has been demonstrated to be of benefit both in the early phase and during long-term treatment in ACS. Other oral antithrombotic therapies have been found to be harmful (eg, oral glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors),11 ineffective, or poorly tolerated (eg, oral anticoagulants).12 Therefore, both aspirin and clopidogrel should be initiated early (along with thrombin inhibitors and glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors in those undergoing interventions) and continued for the long term (with statins,13 ACE inhibitors,14 and, where appropriate, ß-blockers15). The combined use of these treatments will lead to the greatest benefits in the largest number of patients.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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All authors (other than F. Zhao and M. Blumenthal) have received honoraria and travel expenses for speaking at scientific meetings from Sanofi and Bristol Myers Squibb. Dr Blumenthal is an employee of Bristol Myers Squibb. All centers received a grant for the conduct of the CURE trial.
Received July 29, 2002; revision received November 5, 2002; accepted November 7, 2002.
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