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(Circulation. 2002;106:782.)
© 2002 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Department of Vascular Surgery (H.T., A.M.P., K.W., P.P., J.N., M.P., T.H., G.K., I.H.), Department of Interventional Radiology (S.T., J.L.), Department of Medical Computer Sciences (M.S.), and Ludwig Boltzmann Research Institute of Interdisciplinary Clinical Vascular Medicine (H.T., P.P., G.K., I.H.), University of ViennaMedical School, Vienna, Austria.
Correspondence to H. Teufelsbauer, MD, Department of Vascular Surgery, University of ViennaMedical School, Waehringer Guertel 18-20, Vienna, Austria. E-mail alexanderprusa{at}hotmail.com
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results A propensity scorebased analysis of 454 consecutive patients treated electively for AAA from January 1995 through December 2000 was performed. Of those 454 patients, 248 received open surgery and 206 received TEAM. In-hospital mortality rates (MRs) were compared. After adjusting for propensity scores, a Cox proportional hazard model (COX) was employed to test the influence of the respective treatment on postoperative 900-day survival estimates (SEs). Several potential preoperative risk factors were used as covariates. The MR of all patients was 3.7%. Explorative analysis demonstrated that patients treated by TEAM presented with significantly more risk factors. In American Society of Anesthesiologists class IV patients, a significant difference in MR was detected (4.7% for TEAM versus 19.2% for open surgery; P<0.02). After adjusting for the propensity to receive TEAM or open surgery, a regression analysis of survival based on COX revealed predictive influences of impaired kidney (P<0.047) or pulmonary function (P<0.001), increased age (P<0.05), and selection of treatment modality (P<0.002) on SE.
Conclusions TEAM represents a less invasive procedure for AAA therapy in patients with significant preoperative risk factors. Especially in geriatric patients with multiple morbidities, TEAM offers a method of therapy with acceptable MRs and SEs, making active treatment possible in otherwise incurable patients.
Key Words: aorta aneurysm stents risk factors mortality
| Introduction |
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3%5,8,11,12 have been reported. After open surgical repair, postoperative mortality rates were impressively reduced, and rates as low as 2% to 5% have been published in recent series,1420 particularly in low-risk patients. However, age, female sex, and some organ dysfunctions are factors responsible for adverse outcome. In patients with advanced age, especially in octogenarians with significant comorbidities, mortality rates are still disappointingbetween 6% and 14%.14,15,18,19,2126
Cumulative results of both treatments suggest similar early postoperative outcomes in general. The few studies published so far comparing TEAM with open surgery5,6,9,27 were unable to reveal significant differences in overall midterm survival rates. In these studies, the number of patients was limited and analyses considering risk profiles were not performed. At present, sufficient data to recommend either method of treatment on the basis of individual risk factors is not available.
Thus, the aim of this single-center analysis was to test whether TEAM, because of the reduced invasiveness, may improve postoperative mortality in high-risk patients, especially in geriatric patients with respective comorbidities, as compared with conventional open surgery.
| Methods |
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Besides an age above the median, sex, and several preoperative risk factors, the type of the surgical procedure was analyzed with regard to in-hospital mortality and 900-day survival rates. Renal dysfunction was considered to be present in patients with serum levels of creatinine exceeding 1.5 mg/dL. Pulmonary dysfunction was assumed when the results of lung function tests were below 65% of the expected values, and/or moderate or severe dyspnea on exertion was found. Hepatic dysfunction was indicated by serum levels of
-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) exceeding 30 IU/L. The respective cut-off levels were chosen according to internationally accepted limits, as well as the normal values of our Department of Laboratory Medicine. Furthermore, history of heart disease, including myocardial infarction, stable angina pectoris, balloon dilatation of coronary arteries, bypass grafting, evidence of reduced ventricular performance, and presence of pulmonary hypertension, was defined as a cardiac risk factor. Additionally, diabetes, hypertension, smoking, and evidence of severe cerebrovascular disease were used as further risk factors. In patients with clear indications for revascularization of coronary or carotid arteries, the respective interventional or operative repair was done before exclusion of AAA. Patients presenting with untreatable unstable angina pectoris, New York Heart Association class IV function, necessity of O2-support at rest, or end-stage malignant disease were not treated for their AAA. American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scoring28 was used to estimate overall status of health of the individual patient.
With regard to survival data, the most recent information is periodically obtained from the Austrian Central Bureau of Statistics (Oesterreichisches Statistisches Zentralamt) in Vienna. Federal Austrian law demands that all deaths be reported to this institution. At least once a year, all data are transferred to the mainframe computer of the Medical Faculty of the University of Vienna. The last upgrade of data was performed on January 1, 2001.
Surgical Technique
For open surgery, a transperitoneal approach via a median laparotomy was used. Exclusion of AAA was performed by implantation of commercially available bifurcated (n=108) or tubular grafts (n=140). Inclusion technique was used for aortic anastomoses. End-to-end or end-to-side technique was applied for the iliac or femoral distal suture lines.
Endoluminal stent grafting was achieved by a transfemoral approach (n=206). The common femoral artery of one side was surgically exposed. Afterward, commercially available modular stent grafts (Stentor, Vanguard, Talent, Excluder, and Zenith) were implanted through an arteriotomy. In case of bifurcated stent grafts (n=181), the extension graft for the second limb was inserted by transcutaneous puncture or arteriotomy of the contralateral common femoral artery. Intraluminal positioning and deployment of all stent grafts took place under fluoroscopic guidance in specially equipped theaters or angiography suites.
Statistical Analysis
For basic description, age was expressed as median, interquartile range, and absolute range. Significant differences were checked by the Mann-Whitney rank sum test. All categorical data were displayed as frequencies and percentages. We performed
2 tests for bivariate analysis of categorical data. If appropriate, adjustments of probability values for multiple testing were done by a resampling technique. Survival estimates were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard modeling was used for unadjusted and adjusted survival analysis. To adjust for the bias inherent to the decision of choosing TEAM or open surgery, propensity scores29 were used. Propensity analysis aims to identify patients with similar probability of receiving TEAM on the basis of observed clinical characteristics. With the use of a multivariable logistic regression model that includes basic risk parameters as the independent variables, the probability of a patients being assigned to TEAM therapy was determined. The goodness-of-fit of the propensity score model was obtained by c statistics. The variables included in the propensity score model were age, renal dysfunction (serum creatinine
1.5 mg/dL), pulmonary dysfunction, liver dysfunction (
GT
30 IU/L), cardiac disease, cerebrovascular disease, history of malignant disease, and estimation of the actual physical status by ASA scoring. The population was then divided into quintiles according to the propensity score. Within each quintile, the mean propensity scores of TEAM and open surgery groups were compared, as were their clinical and procedural characteristics. To adjust for the heterogeneity between the 2 groups, the propensity score was then entered as a continuous variable in the Cox proportional hazards model, along with the type of operation and 12 potential covariates as listed in Table 1. These covariates included the baseline variables entered in the propensity score model and other procedural variables that might correlate with outcome: namely, sex, diabetes, hypertension, and history of smoking. The validity of the proportional hazards assumption was tested with the introduction of a time-dependent explanatory variable to check increasing or decreasing trends in hazard ratio over time. All statistical analyses were performed with the SAS program (version 6.09E) on an IBM 4090 mainframe.
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| Results |
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Table 1 shows the distribution of the preoperative risk factors in the 2 groups of patients. As expected, significantly higher prevalences in most of the investigated preoperative risk factors were found in the endoluminally treated group.
Figure 2 illustrates the different treatment modalities as preferentially used in the various age groups. Using ASA staging, significantly more high-risk patients (ASA class IV) received TEAM (41.3% TEAM versus 10.5% open surgery; P<0.001), whereas most patients in ASA classes I and II underwent open surgery (35.5% open surgery versus 4.9% TEAM; P<0.001).
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Figure 3 summarizes results of subgroup analysis of the significant preoperative risk factors with regard to 900-day mortality. Only patients with reduced physical status classified as ASA IV showed a significant increased hazard ratio (2.3; P<0.028) after undergoing open surgery.
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Figure 4 gives Kaplan-Meier estimates of survival after TEAM compared with those after open surgery in ASA class IV patients (P<0.0275). Similarly, there was a significant difference between TEAM and open surgery with regard to in-hospital mortality rates (4.7% versus 19.2%; P<0.02).
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According to propensity score analysis, the decision to choose TEAM or open surgery depends on, in descending order, ASA scoring, cerebral risk, cardiac risk, age, renal dysfunction, malignant disease, hepatic dysfunction, and pulmonary dysfunction. The c statistic for goodness-of-fit of the propensity score model was 0.78, indicating that an acceptable discrimination between the 2 treatment groups was achieved. After splitting in quintiles, propensity scores and the investigated covariates were similar in the two treatment groups.
Adjusted for propensity scores and covariates, a Cox proportional hazard model revealed a significant influence of the type of operation on the 900-day mortality rate. Table 2 illustrates the results of this analysis. Furthermore, Table 3 shows the other significant predictors for increased mortality rates, ie, renal dysfunction, pulmonary dysfunction, diabetes, and age. No decreasing or increasing trends in risk ratio were found, indicating no violation of the proportional hazard assumption.
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With regard to in-hospital mortality rates, Table 4 shows a descriptive contingency table analysis. The a priori hypothesis that TEAM offers superior outcome in geriatric high-risk patients is demonstrated. Even after correction for multiple testing by a resampling technique, a significance level of P<0.05 is still achieved.
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Reinterventions (ie, overstenting) because of primary type I or III endoleaks were performed in 7.3% of the patients. Secondary type I or III endoleaks were treated in 9.7% of patients during a 900-day follow-up period after TEAM. Type II endoleaks were observed in 18% of the patients. Secondary rupture occurred in 7 patients (3.4%; Vanguard n=5, Stentor n=1, Talent n=1), whereas 3 of them receiving open repair died postoperatively. In the meantime, both Vanguard and Stentor devices were withdrawn from the market and are no longer commercially available.
| Discussion |
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Studies comparing TEAM with open surgery have not been able to show significant differences in early overall postoperative survival rates.5,6,9,27 Similarly, Kaplan-Meier estimates without risk stratification revealed no clinical relevant differences in midterm survival rates.34 Only parameters of morbidity such as less blood loss, reduced need for blood replacement, and decreased length of stay in the intensive care unit and the hospital could be proved.5,6,34 In reconsideration of other clinical investigations, the inability to find statistically different mortality rates or the lack of proof of any difference might be caused by the absence of statistical power due to the small clinical effects in insufficient numbers of patients; ie,
2% difference in overall mortality rate may be expected, which would require the recruitment of >1500 patients in each treatment group to achieve sufficient statistical power. Similarly, Sicard et al34 recently compared TEAM with open surgery in 470 patients. All patients and, as a subgroup, those
80 years of age were investigated without evaluation of individual risk profiles. Again, significant differences were only found in parameters of morbidity, and only a trend toward reduced mortality rates in octogenarians was revealed.
In our patients, overall early postoperative mortality and midterm survival rates also showed no significant differences. Our further analyses, however, implied that individual profiles of risk factors, corrected for the basic demographic parameters of age and sex and for parameters of organ dysfunctions, are covariates, as these are expected to influence a priori survival rates in general as well as after open surgical repair of AAA.18,2126 Furthermore, propensity scorebased analysis was intended to reduce bias caused by the surgeons decision-making and to control for systematic differences between the 2 treatment groups. Logistical regression analysis was used as multivariate tool for obtaining propensity scores.29,35 After stratification in quintiles, similar distributions of risk factors within the quintiles could be observed, thus representing adequate counterbalance by propensity scores.
A Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for propensity scores showed that the less invasive endoluminal treatment significantly reduced the 900-day mortality rates. Similarly, early postoperative mortality rates in patients with significant preoperative risk factors are unfavorably high for elective surgical procedures. Notably, in those patients with high individual operative risk (ie, classified as ASA IV), TEAM offers the only possibility for elective treatment with acceptable clinical results. The argument that absence of well-documented long-term results prohibits the use of TEAM as therapy of AAA seems unacceptable in the subgroup of high-risk patients with reduced life expectancy. TEAM is the only therapeutic option in otherwise incurable patients, especially in geriatric patients with large aneurysms and an excessive profile of risk factors.
In our present analysis, a priori differences in the health status of patients in both treatment groups have to be expected because there was the institutional policy to treat patients with reduced health status endoluminally. Simple descriptive analysis strengthened the assumption that patients receiving TEAM presented with significantly more risk factors. Statistically, propensity-adjusted analysis was performed to reduce bias caused by this fact. Nevertheless, a remaining kind of retrospective bias has to be supposed. However, in light of the unacceptable mortality rates in ASA class IV patients, a prospective, randomized clinical trial seems ethically unjustified, and the remaining bias has to be accepted when treating high-risk patients.
In conclusion, no clinically relevant difference in early and midterm postoperative survival rates after TEAM or open surgical exclusion of AAA in younger patients without significant preoperative risk factors could be found. In patients presenting with significant preoperative risk factors, however, especially those with advanced age, only TEAM allows elective surgical treatment of AAA with acceptable postoperative mortality rates. Thus, we suggest that the presence of renal or pulmonary dysfunctions, especially in geriatric or ASA class IV patients, is a clear indication for the application of endoluminal repair. In patients with moderate risk factors (eg, those classified ASA III) the early postoperative outcome after TEAM seems to be slightly superior as compared with open surgery. Given the high incidence of endoleaks, however, the clinical significance of this difference has to be proved in a prospective way to achieve reliable, evidence-based decision-making about which procedure to select in patients with moderate risk factors.
| Footnotes |
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Received May 28, 2002; revision received June 24, 2002; accepted June 25, 2002.
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