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(Circulation. 2002;106:309.)
© 2002 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Duke Clinical Research Institute (S.M.A., C.B.G., Y.H., K.L.L., R.M.C., R.A.H.), Durham, NC; University of Rotterdam (M.L.S.), Rotterdam, the Netherlands; University of Alberta (P.W.A.), Alberta, Edmonton, Canada; Gasthuisberg University Hospital (F.V.d.W.), Leuven, Belgium; Green Lane Hospital (H.D.W.), Auckland, New Zealand; University of Sydney (R.J.S.), New South Wales, Australia; and the Cleveland Clinic Foundation (D.J.M., E.J.T), Cleveland, Ohio.
Correspondence to Sana M. Al-Khatib, MD, Duke Clinical Research Institute, PO Box 17969, Durham, NC 27715. E-mail alkha001{at}mc.duke.edu
| Abstract |
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Methods and Results We pooled the datasets of the Global Use of Streptokinase and tPA for Occluded Arteries (GUSTO)-IIb, Platelet Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in Unstable Angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy (PURSUIT), Platelet IIb/IIIa Antagonism for the Reduction of Acute Coronary Syndrome Events in a Global Organization Network (PARAGON)-A, and PARAGON-B trials (n=26 416). We identified independent predictors of ventricular fibrillation (VF) and ventricular tachycardia (VT) and compared the 30-day and 6-month mortality rates of patients who did (n=552) and did not (n=25 864) develop these arrhythmias during the index hospitalization. Independent predictors of in-hospital VF included prior hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, prior myocardial infarction, and ST-segment changes at presentation. Except for hypertension, these variables also independently predicted in-hospital VT. In Cox proportional-hazards modeling, in-hospital VF and VT were independently associated with 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 23.2 [95% CI, 18.1 to 29.8] for VF and HR, 7.6 [95% CI, 5.5 to 10.4] for VT) and 6-month mortality (HR, 14.8 [95% CI, 12.1 to 18.3] for VF and HR, 5.0 [95% CI, 3.8 to 6.5] for VT). These differences remained significant after excluding patients with heart failure or cardiogenic shock and those who died <24 hours after enrollment.
Conclusions Despite the use of effective therapies for nonST-elevation acute coronary syndromes, ventricular arrhythmias in this setting are associated with increased 30-day and 6-month mortality. More effective therapies are needed to improve the survival of patients with these arrhythmias.
Key Words: coronary disease tachycardia fibrillation prognosis mortality
| Introduction |
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| Methods |
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Treatment
Patients were randomized to receive placebo or a platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor (PURSUIT and PARAGON-A and -B) or hirudin (GUSTO-IIb). The use of anti-ischemic medications, including ß-blockers, and antiarrhythmic drugs was left to the discretion of the treating physicians. Prophylactic lidocaine was not routinely used.
Definitions
Ventricular fibrillation (VF) was defined as irregular undulations of varying shape and amplitude on the ECG without discrete QRS or T waves that resulted in prompt hemodynamic compromise requiring direct-current (DC) cardioversion. Sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT) was defined as a regular, wide complex tachycardia of ventricular origin lasting
30 seconds or accompanied by hemodynamic instability requiring DC cardioversion. Investigators prospectively captured the occurrence of these arrhythmias and reported them to the data coordinating center for the trial.
End Points
The end points of this analysis were mortality within 30 days and within 6 months.
Statistical Analysis
All analyses were performed using SAS software. Continuous variables were summarized as medians with 25th and 75th percentiles, and categorical variables were summarized as frequencies. Continuous variables were compared using the Kruskal-Wallis test and categorical variables were compared using the
2 test. Stepwise logistic multiple regression models were used to identify sets of factors that together were significantly associated with the occurrence of VF and VT. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% CIs are reported for significant predictors of ventricular arrhythmias. Results were considered significant at P<0.05.
The Cox proportional-hazards model was used to examine the association between ventricular arrhythmias and 30-day and 6-month mortality.6 These analyses were performed with the arrhythmia as a time-dependent covariate. This method credits the survival time of patients who develop a ventricular arrhythmia to the group without ventricular arrhythmia until the arrhythmia actually occurs. Associations with outcomes were established univariably and multivariably. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CIs are reported for predictors of 30-day and 6-month mortality. Two models have been developed from the PURSUIT database; one predicts death within 30 days and one predicts death from 30 days to 6 months.7 We adjusted for the significant predictors of mortality in these models in Cox modeling used to analyze ventricular arrhythmias.
| Results |
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Predictors of Ventricular Arrhythmias
After adjustment for other baseline characteristics, variables that were significantly associated with VF were prior hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, prior myocardial infarction, and the presence of ST-segment changes at presentation. Except for hypertension, these clinical variables also significantly predicted VT (Table 2).
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In-Hospital and Discharge Medications
Compared with patients without VF or VT, patients who developed these arrhythmias were less likely to be treated with ß-blockers. The use of antiarrhythmic medications was low in all 4 studies. Data on specific antiarrhythmic medications were not available in 2 of the 4 combined clinical trials. In the 2 clinical trials that collected data on specific antiarrhythmic medications, amiodarone and sotalol were the most commonly prescribed antiarrhythmic medications. Few patients were treated with class I antiarrhythmic medications (Table 3).
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Outcomes
The unadjusted 30-day and 6-month mortality rates were higher in patients with ventricular arrhythmias (Table 4; Figure), and this pattern persisted after adjustment for other prognostic variables. Differences in 30-day mortality and 6-month mortality associated with VF or VT remained significant after excluding patients with congestive heart failure or cardiogenic shock and those who died within 24 hours after enrollment (30-day mortality: HR 18.0, 95% CI 12.3 to 26.3 for VF; HR 4.4, 95% CI 2.6 to 7.6 for VT; HR 78.0, 95% CI 49.2 to 123.6 for VT and VF; 6-month mortality: HR 10.6, 95% CI 8.0 to 14.2 for VF; HR 3.0, 95% CI 1.9 to 4.4 for VT; HR 25.0, 95% CI 16.5 to 38.0 for VT and VF). The effect of the study drug on the survival of patients with VT and VF within each study was examined and was found to be insignificant.
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| Discussion |
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These findings are in agreement with the results of analyses of the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III databases (Sana M. Al-Khatib, MD, unpublished data, March 2002).1 Although the incidence of ventricular arrhythmias among patients with NSTE-ACS is lower (2.1%) than that among patients with ST-segment elevation (up to 10%), these arrhythmias are associated with significantly increased mortality in either setting. Notably, in the present study, the absence of congestive heart failure did not eliminate the enormous harmful effect of these arrhythmias on survival. The best therapy for patients with these arrhythmias is uncertain, but clearly these patients require therapies that can improve survival. Importantly, guidelines for implantation of cardioverter-defibrillators consider ventricular arrhythmias in acute MI a contraindication to defibrillator therapy, because such arrhythmias are not believed to affect long-term survival.8 In light of our findings, these guidelines may need to be reconsidered.
Patients with ventricular arrhythmias were less likely to receive ß-blockers during and after hospitalization in this study. This may have influenced our findings, given that ß-blockers have been shown to reduce mortality after MI.9,10 The association between ventricular arrhythmias and increased mortality in this study, however, is substantial and is unlikely to become insignificant after adjusting for this difference.
Some could argue that ventricular arrhythmias are simply a marker of an increased risk of death and by themselves do not increase mortality. In this study, adjustment for other factors known to affect mortality did not eliminate the relationship of ventricular arrhythmias with higher mortality, suggesting that these arrhythmias may lead to increased risk.
Predicting the occurrence of these ventricular arrhythmias is of vast importance. To our knowledge, our study is the first to identify predictors of such ventricular arrhythmias in this population. Significant independent predictors of VF were history of hypertension, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, prior myocardial infarction, and ST-segment changes at presentation. Except for hypertension, these clinical variables also were significant predictors of VT. It is not surprising that ST-segment changes at presentation strongly predict ventricular arrhythmias, given that these changes may correlate with a greater degree of ischemia. It is unclear why chronic obstructive lung disease is a strong predictor of VF and VT, but chronic hypoxia or acidosis combined with ischemia could predispose patients to ventricular arrhythmias. Thus, patients who have these clinical characteristics may benefit from earlier, more aggressive interventions.
Limitations
The main limitation of this study is that because detailed information about the postdischarge procedures and medications was unavailable, we could not explore their relationships with outcomes.
Implications
Mortality of patients with NSTE-ACS and sustained ventricular arrhythmias is significantly higher than that of NSTE-ACS patients without these arrhythmias. Therefore, every effort should be made to identify therapies that would most improve the outcome of these patients. This would best be accomplished by randomized clinical trials of the available antiarrhythmic therapies, including implantable cardioverter-defibrillators.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received February 26, 2002; revision received May 4, 2002; accepted May 6, 2002.
| References |
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2. The GUSTO-IIb Investigators. A comparison of recombinant hirudin with heparin for the treatment of acute coronary syndromes. N Engl J Med. 1996; 335: 775782.
3. The PURSUIT Trial Investigators. Inhibition of platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa with eptifibatide in patients with acute coronary syndromes. N Engl J Med. 1998; 339: 436443.
4. The PARAGON Investigators. International, randomized, controlled trial of lamifiban (a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa Inhibitor), heparin, or both in unstable angina. Circulation. 1998; 97: 23862395.
5. The PARAGON B investigators. Patient-specific dosing of IIb/IIIa antagonists during acute coronary syndromes: rationale and design of the PARAGON B study. Am Heart J. 2000; 139: 563566.[Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
6. Cox DR. Regression models and life-tables. J R Stat Soc B. 1972; 34: 187220.
7. Boersma E, Pieper KS, Steyerberg EW, et al. Predictors of outcome in patients with acute coronary syndromes without persistent ST-segment elevation: results from an international trial of 9461 patients. Circulation. 2000; 101: 25572267.
8. Gregoratos G, Cheitlin MD, Freedman RA, et al. ACC/AHA guidelines for implantation of cardiac pacemakers and antiarrhythmia devices. J Am Coll Cardiol. 1998; 31: 11751209.
9. First International Study of Infarct Survival (ISIS) Collaborative Group. Randomised trial of intravenous atenolol among 16,027 cases of suspected acute myocardial infarction: ISIS-1. Lancet. 1986; 2: 5766.[CrossRef][Medline] [Order article via Infotrieve]
10. The BHAT Study Group. A randomized trial of propranolol in patients with acute myocardial infarction: I. Mortality results. JAMA. 1982; 247: 17071714.
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