(Circulation. 2000;102:1773.)
© 2000 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Divisions of Cardiovascular Medicine (A.A.A.) and Endocrine (A.D), Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md; the Divisions of Cardiovascular Medicine (J.C.R), Epidemiology and Prevention (M.H.), University of California-Davis; the Department of Biostatistics (C.M.T.), University of Washington, Seattle, Wash; Department of Pathology (M.C.), University of Vermont, Burlington; and the Department of Public Health Sciences (C.D.F.), Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC. Correspondence to Dr Abraham A. Ariyo, Cardiovascular Division, Johns Hopkins Hospital, 600 N Wolfe St, Carnegie 568, Baltimore, MD 21287.
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsIn a prospective cohort of 5888 elderly
Americans (
65 years) who were enrolled in the
Cardiovascular Health Study, 4493 participants who were
free of cardiovascular disease at baseline provided
annual information on their depressive status, which was assessed using
the Depression Scale of the Center for Epidemiological Studies. These
4493 subjects were followed for 6 years for the development of CHD and
mortality. The cumulative mean depression score was assessed for each
participant up to the time of event (maximum 6-year follow-up). Using
time-dependent, proportional-hazards models, the unadjusted hazard
ratio associated with every 5-unit increase in mean depression score
for the development of CHD was 1.15 (P=0.006); the ratio
for all-cause mortality was 1.29 (P<0.0001). In
multivariate analyses adjusted for age, race,
sex, education, diabetes, hypertension, cigarette smoking, total
cholesterol, triglyceride level, congestive
heart failure, and physical inactivity, the hazard ratio for CHD was
1.15 (P=0.006) and that for all-cause mortality was 1.16
(P=0.006). Among participants with the highest
cumulative mean depression scores, the risk of CHD increased by 40%
and risk of death by 60% compared with those who had the lowest mean
scores.
ConclusionsAmong elderly Americans, depressive symptoms constitute an independent risk factor for the development of CHD and total mortality.
Key Words: risk factors epidemiology coronary disease mortality depression
| Introduction |
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In this article, we report the results of a 6-year study that prospectively investigated the relationship between depressive symptoms and subsequent risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and mortality in 4493 elderly Americans.
| Methods |
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In brief, participants were initially given a 90-minute home interview, during which a questionnaire was given and information was sought regarding their health, depressive status, and medications. All participants were given a 4- to 5-hour medical examination.
Our study cohort comprised 4493 subjects who were free of CVD; CVD included angina, CHD, myocardial infarction, angioplasty, coronary artery bypass surgery, congestive heart failure, or stroke at study entry. Baseline status was initially based on a self-report that was confirmed by clinical examination, a review of prior hospital records, or both. Depression was assessed at baseline and annually thereafter for an average of 6 years for the initial cohort and for 3 years for the minority cohort.
Ascertainment of Cardiovascular Events
The cardiovascular event of interest was CHD,
which was defined as first occurrence of angina, myocardial infarction,
angioplasty, coronary artery bypass grafting, or
coronary death. All events were assessed semiannually. The
surveillance and ascertainment of cardiovascular events
in CHS have been described elsewhere.17 In brief, all
morbid events after the baseline clinic visit were classified as
incident events. Mortality was investigated on the basis of death code,
which was graded according to the International Classification of
Disease code.18 Information on death was
obtained through reviews of obituaries, medical records, death
certificates, and interviews of contacts and proxies. The CHS has
nearly 100% ascertainment of mortality status.17 All
provisional diagnoses of CHD and fatal events were reviewed and
adjudicated at periodic meetings of the Morbidity and Mortality
Subcommittee. This Subcommittee was comprised of an investigator from
each center, the coordinating center, and the project office of the
National Heart, Lung, and Blood institute. The events and deaths
discussed in this article are those that were adjudicated from 1989
through June 1996.
Assessment of Depressive Status
We used the modified, shorter version of the Center for
Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale,19 which is a
questionnaire widely used as a screening tool to assess depression in
the elderly, especially in primary care or outpatient settings (Table 1
). The reliability of the modified
version of this scale has been validated by other
studies.20 21 It is a 10-item scale, with participants
depression scores recorded as a continuous measure from 0 to 30.
Traditionally, a score
8 is recognized as "at risk of clinical
depression"; however, we used continuous depression scores in our
analyses instead so as not to lose any information by
categorization.
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Statistical Analysis
We used the nonparametric
Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test for categorical covariates and the
Spearman correlation for continuous covariates to assess the
association between covariate measures and the baseline depression
scores.
For a missing depression score for a given yearly visit, the last prior non-missing score was carried forward. Thus, depression scores for every visit were cumulatively averaged after missing depression values were replaced. Scores after an event did not contribute to the exposure measure. For individuals without an event, mean depression scores of all visits were calculated up to the last visit. Although depression was assessed annually, to reduce possible biases, depression scores were considered to take effect 6 months before the clinic visit (the halfway-point between visits). This approach is more representative of the exposure window for a given depressive state than having the depression score take effect on the clinic visit day. Participants with missing data ranged from 5% in year 1 to 13% in year 6. A missing value carry-forward method was used to replace these missing values.
The following variables were forced into the covariate-adjusted model: age at entry, race, sex, education, hypertension, diabetes, smoking status, total cholesterol levels, physical inactivity, triglycerides, marital status, and alcohol consumption. Time-dependent covariates for congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cancer diagnosis were constructed for all-cause mortality outcome. There was no indication of collinearity between the covariates and depressive symptoms or between the covariates themselves. Proportional hazards models were fit to the outcomes of time to angina, myocardial infarction, CHD, and death. All analyses were performed using the SAS system.22
| Results |
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Physical activity was inversely related to depression scores. Those with a higher body mass index had higher scores than those who had a lower body mass index. Among women, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and factor VII levels were not associated with depression scores. However, LDL cholesterol levels were negatively correlated with depression, and fibrinogen was positively correlated with depression. In men, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, triglycerides, platelet count, and factor VII levels were not significantly associated with depressive scores. Of the 4493 study participants, 188 (143 women and 45 men) were on antidepressants. No differences existed in baseline characteristics of the few men on antidepressants and the rest of the cohort. However, women on antidepressants had higher platelet counts (P=0.001) and were more likely to smoke than those not on medication (P=0.001).
Cumulative Mean Depression Scores and Events
Table 5
depicts the hazard ratios
(HRs) associated with each 5-unit increase in mean depression score
before an event. In both univariate and
multivariate analyses, every 5-unit increase in
mean score was associated with a 15% increased risk of developing CHD
(P=0.006). For mortality, 16% and 29% increased risks were
observed in univariate and adjusted models,
respectively.
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We further explored the possibility of a sex interaction for each event
of interest but found no evidence of such effect modification,
indicating that the HR estimates shown in Table 5
hold equally
for both sexes. However, some indication existed for a higher HR for
new angina among women than among men (P=0.09).
Analyses excluding those who were on antidepressants produced
no change in results. The Figure
further
illustrates the increased risk of CHD and death with increasing levels
of depressive scores. It shows a good correlation between the
depression scores and vascular risks; for example, among the
participants with some of the highest depression scores, the CHD risk
increased by 40% and that of death by 60%.
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Baseline Depression Scores and Events
Table 6
displays the HRs associated
with 5-unit increases in baseline depression scores and
cardiovascular events. Persons with higher baseline
scores had a significantly higher risk of dying (P=0.004),
although the risk for CHD was nonsignificant (P=0.162).
However, after adjusting for demographic and
cardiovascular risk factors, baseline depression was a
significant predictor of CHD (P=0.032) and death
(P=0.012).
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| Discussion |
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65 years) Americans who
were free of cardiovascular disease at baseline and who
were followed for 6 years, we found that depressive symptoms
constituted an independent risk factor for the development of CHD and
total mortality. This risk increased with higher depression scores. Our
study provides new evidence and adds to the growing body of data
indicating that depressive status is a risk factor for CVD. Our findings are consistent with those of other studies finding that depressive symptoms constitute a risk factor for CHD3 4 5 6 7 and mortality.4 5 6 7 8 However, our data differ from those in other studies because the present study focused exclusively on the elderly. It provides a large amount of prospective data on depressive symptoms as risk factors for CHD in older adults, as well as information on the vascular risk of depressive symptoms in women. We demonstrated the magnitude and incremental risks of CHD associated with increasing levels of depressive scores. These findings are particularly important for the elderly, in whom the applicability of some traditional risk factors has been challenged.23 24 25 26
Cumulative mean assessment of depression scores was more predictive of vascular events than baseline scores. The fact that baseline depression scores did not adequately predict vascular events as cumulative mean scores may be due to the following. (1) A one-time assessment of depression at study entry could not capture the chronic depressive state of an individual as adequately as a 6-year follow-up. (2) A healthy cohort like ours may have produced lower initial depression scores; therefore, a longitudinal assessment of depression that is also more stable may do a better job of predicting vascular events.
It is conceivable that depressive symptoms could have occurred as a
result of disease rather than being a precursor of CVD, because any
life-threatening illness could potentially cause a depressive state and
cloud the cause-and-effect relationship between depressive symptoms and
the occurrence of cardiovascular events. However,
because our study design excluded participants with prior cardiac
disease, the prospective data collection of antecedent depression
scores before cardiovascular events and the use of
apparently healthy, noninstitutionalized elderly subjects argues
against this notion. Second, the demonstration of an independent
relationship between higher depression scores and increasing vascular
risks in this apparently healthy elderly cohort strongly favors a
relationship between depressive symptoms and
cardiovascular events. Third, because the last clinic
visit scores were carried forward for participants who missed clinics,
our analyses would have probably underestimated the effects of
depression, because sick individuals (more depressed) tend to stay at
home. Finally, the results shown in Table 6
, which used only
baseline assessment of depression, validated the time-dependent
analysis results and lent support to the argument that it is
not changing disease assessment that is being captured in Table
>5 but depressive status.
It is also possible that our findings may have occurred by chance. However, the prospective nature of this study, the large sample size, the duration of follow-up, the blinded ascertainment of events, and our analyses, which used cumulative mean depression scores, argue against chance as a primary explanation for the result. Second, although we evaluated depressive symptoms annually in our cohort, we used cumulative mean depression scores in our model, which measures chronic or persistent depressive state rather than an acute or a brief one-time episodic depressive mood. The "halfway point" (mid-visit) depression scores that were used in these analyses better assess the day-to-day depressive state rather than the office visit scores.
Women reportedly suffer more than men from the adverse vascular effects of a depressive state.27 This may be due to the higher prevalence of depressive symptoms in women than in men. Nonetheless, we found that the HRs associated with 5-unit increases in depression scores were similar in men and women but, because women had higher scores to begin with, more vascular risks may have been expected for them.
The exact mechanism by which depressive symptoms may predispose some
individuals to increased vascular risk is unknown; however, 3 plausible
mechanisms have been proposed. (1) Depressive state is associated with
poor physical activity, less exercise, more smoking, and a high
likelihood of indulging in behavioral patterns that may increase
vascular risk. (2) Depressive state as a mental stress increases
autonomic sympathetic activation.28 29 This activation may
result in increased levels of circulating platelets (with enhanced
activation and aggregability), fibrinogen, and thromboxane
A2.30 (3) Depressive state is
related to lipid metabolism, such that the increased
production of steroid and free fatty acids and a reduced
glucose use ensues when depressed.13 31 32 33 34 This combined
sympathoadrenal activation stimulates platelets via
2-adrenoceptor activation13 33
and augments arterial thrombosis. Interestingly, we
observed higher circulating platelet counts and a correlation
between fibrinogen levels and depression scores among women on
antidepressant medications but not among those not taking
antidepressants. Thus, platelet activation and increased fibrinogen
may be the major links between depression and CHD. Also, the effects of
antidepressant medications on platelets, vascular events, and
mortality in patients in depressive states remain unclear.
The increased mortality observed in our study is similar to that reported by other investigators.4 5 6 7 8 Deaths associated with depressive state have been attributed to the imbalance between the autonomic parasympathetic and sympathetic systems, with an overriding effect of the latter.35 Animal and human studies have shown a correlation between increased sympathetic activity and induction of ventricular arrhythmias36 that can lead to sudden death. The serotonergic system, a key player in the depressive mechanism, also plays an important role in the genesis of arrhythmias.36 A depressive state is associated with social isolation, less functional capacity, and less exercise, and it may be a surrogate of other diseases. High suicide rates, violent deaths, and deaths from cancer and chronic diseases also compound the effects of depressive symptoms on excess mortality.
The first limitation of this study relates to mortality. Because the CHS was designed to assess cardiovascular risk factors, complete ascertainment of all possible risk factors for mortality is impossible; therefore, we cannot draw strong conclusions about depressive symptoms being a major risk factor for total mortality. Further, high depressive scores may be a surrogate measure for deteriorating health that could not be assessed in this study. However, we did control for known risk factors for CHD. Second, a close association exists between depressive state and chronic medical conditions. Although our cohort was free of disease at baseline, it is difficult to ascertain with certainty the presence or absence of subclinical disease in an elderly population. Third, antidepressant medications are also used for medical conditions other than clinical depression, and we could not ascertain the specific indications for their use in individual patients in our database.
Of the 31 millions Americans
65 years of age, 5 million have
depressive symptoms, with a lifetime risk of major depressive disorder
estimated at 7% to 12% for men and 20% to 25% for
women.37 Depressive disorder is second only to CVD in time
lost from work and lost productivity, and it has been estimated to
cost society $44 billion per year.38 In a recent
study,1 elderly persons with depressive symptoms accrued
50% higher healthcare costs from more frequent use of medical services
than nondepressed elderly people. Although available therapy improves
symptoms and quality of life,39 most physicians
under-recognize depressive symptoms in elderly patients and, thus, the
elderly are underdiagnosed and undertreated.39 Increased
awareness and early screening for depressive symptoms may help reduce
the associated healthcare costs and human suffering associated with
depressive symptoms.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Received February 17, 2000; revision received May 8, 2000; accepted May 11, 2000.
| References |
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