(Circulation. 1999;100:736-742.)
© 1999 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Investigation and Reports |
From the Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis (A.R.F., E.S., M.L.R.); Collaborative Studies Coordinating Center, Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (W.D.R.); Division of Epidemiology and Clinical Applications, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Md (L.S.C.); Division of Hematology, University of Texas Medical School, Houston (N.A., K.K.W.); and Department of Epidemiology, School of Hygiene and Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Md (F.J.N.).
| Abstract |
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Methods and ResultsThe Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study measured several of these markers in more than 14 700 participants 45 to 64 years old who were free of cardiovascular disease and were followed up for 6 to 9 years for occurrence of ischemic stroke (n=191). There was no apparent association between ischemic stroke incidence and factor VIIc, antithrombin III, platelet count, or activated partial thromboplastin time. After adjustment for multiple cardiovascular risk factors, von Willebrand factor, factor VIIIc, fibrinogen, and white blood cell count were positively associated and protein C was negatively but nonsignificantly associated with ischemic stroke incidence in regression analyses based on either continuous variables or fourths of the variable distributions. The adjusted relative risk (and 95% CI) for ischemic stroke in those in the highest versus lowest fourth were: von Willebrand factor, 1.71 (1.1 to 2.7); factor VIIIc, 1.93 (1.2 to 3.1); white blood cell count, 1.50 (0.9 to 2.4); fibrinogen, 1.26 (0.8 to 2.0); and protein C, 0.65 (0.4 to 1.0).
ConclusionsThis study offers modest support for the hypothesis that some markers of hemostatic function and inflammation can identify groups of middle-aged adults at increased risk of stroke. These factors may play a role in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke.
Key Words: stroke ischemia hemostasis
| Introduction |
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Additional prospective studies are needed to clarify these potential new risk factors for stroke and to perhaps offer clues to stroke prevention. We therefore examined the association of plasma levels of several coagulation and anticoagulation proteins as well as the WBC count (for simplicity, referred to here collectively as "hemostatic factors") with risk of incident ischemic stroke in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.
| Methods |
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Baseline Measurements
Blood was drawn after an 8-hour fasting period with minimal
trauma from an antecubital vein. Samples were processed by a
standardized protocol and stored at 70°C until assayed at the ARIC
Hemostasis Laboratory at the University of Texas Medical School,
Houston. Detailed methods for blood processing and measurement
of hemostatic variables have been published.17 18
Fibrinogen was measured by the thrombin-time titration method; factor
VII activity (VIIc) and factor VIII activity (VIIIc) by clotting
assays; von Willebrand factor antigen and protein C antigen by
ELISA; AT-III activity by a chromogenic substrate method;
and activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) on an
automated coagulometer. Reliability coefficients obtained from repeated
testing of individuals over several weeks were 0.72 for fibrinogen,
0.78 for factor VIIc, 0.86 for factor VIIIc, 0.68 for von
Willebrand factor, 0.56 for protein C, 0.42 for AT-III, and
0.92 for aPTT.19
Plasma total cholesterol and triglycerides were
measured by an enzymatic method, and LDL cholesterol was
calculated.20 HDL cholesterol was measured
after dextran-magnesium precipitation of non-HDL lipoproteins.
Prevalent diabetes mellitus was defined as a fasting glucose level
126 mg/dL, nonfasting glucose level
200 mg/dL, and/or a history of
or treatment for diabetes. Platelet counts and WBCs were measured
by Coulter counters.
The ratio of waist (umbilical level) and hip (maximum buttocks)
circumferences was calculated as a measure of fat distribution. Three
blood pressure measurements were taken with a random-zero
sphygmomanometer; the last 2 measurements were averaged. Hypertension
was defined as systolic blood pressure
140 mm Hg,
diastolic blood pressure
90 mm Hg, or use of
antihypertensive medication. Physical activity was expressed as a sport
index ranging from 1 (low) to 5 (high).21 Left
ventricular hypertrophy was determined by
Cornell voltage criteria for the resting ECG.22
Ascertainment of Incident Ischemic Stroke
Strokes were identified and classified according to published
criteria based on the occurrence and duration of neurological signs and
symptoms, the results of neuroimaging and other diagnostic
procedures, and treatments provided.23 Strokes secondary
to trauma, neoplasm, hematological abnormality, infection, or
vasculitis were not counted, and a focal deficit lasting <24 hours was
not considered a stroke. Over the 6 to 9 years of follow-up, there were
274 definite, probable, or possible incident strokes among participants
with no history of stroke at baseline. CT or MRI was available for 83%
of them. The strokes included 221 definite or probable ischemic
strokes, which were the focus of this analysis.
Data Analysis
After those with prevalent CHD, prevalent stroke, and unknown
baseline stroke status were excluded, 14 713 of the 15 792 ARIC
participants were included in the analysis. The exclusion of
participants with prevalent CHD decreased the number of
ischemic strokes for analysis from 221 to 191.
Follow-up went from baseline to whichever of the following occurred
first: ischemic stroke, death, last contact, or December 31,
1995.
Age-, race-, sex-, and ARIC communityadjusted means and SEMs of baseline continuous hemostatic variables for incident stroke cases and noncases were computed by ANCOVA. Relative risks (RR) (95% CI) of incident stroke in relation to the baseline variables were computed by proportional hazards regression. First, continuous hemostatic variables were used to compute standardized RRs (ie, per 1 SD increment). Hemostatic variable distributions were also divided into fourths, and proportional hazards regression was used to determine RRs (hazard rate ratios) and 95% CIs for the second, third, and highest fourth, with the lowest fourth used as the reference, and the linear trend across categories was tested by inclusion of a variable with values of 1, 2, 3, or 4 to designate the successive categories. The multivariable models adjusted initially for age (continuous), sex, race (black, white), and ARIC community; then sequentially for systolic blood pressure (continuous) and antihypertensive medications (yes/no), diabetes (yes/no), smoking (former, current, never, and pack-years), HDL cholesterol and LDL cholesterol (both continuous), waist-to-hip ratio (continuous), and education (<high school, high school, >high school).
| Results |
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Over the median of 7.2 years of follow-up, there were 94 incident
ischemic strokes in men and 97 in women; there were 88 in
blacks and 103 in whites. These latter numbers correspond to rates per
1000 person-years of 3.6 in blacks and 1.5 in whites. The age-, sex-,
race-, and community-adjusted baseline mean values of fibrinogen,
factor VIIc, factor VIIIc, von Willebrand factor, and WBC count
were higher (P<0.05) for those who experienced an
ischemic stroke than for those who did not (Table 1
). The RRs of ischemic stroke
per SD increment for these variables ranged from 1.19 to 1.36.
There was little evidence of an association for protein C, AT-III,
aPTT, and platelet count, so they are not presented
further.
|
When the standardized RRs (Table 1
) were
multivariately adjusted (Table 2
), the RRs for fibrinogen, factor VIIIc,
von Willebrand factor, and WBC count decreased to 1.13 to 1.26
but were still statistically significant (P
0.05). However,
factor VIIc (RR=1.03) was no longer significant. There was no obvious
difference in the association of incident ischemic stroke with
these hemostasis variables between men and women, blacks and
whites, hypertensives and nonhypertensives (Table 2
), or current
smokers and nonsmokers (not shown) or between participants with carotid
intima-media thickness above versus below the median (not shown). In
the multivariable model, protein C proved to be weakly inversely
associated with incident ischemic stroke, with a standardized
RR of 0.89 (Table 2
).
|
Because several of these factors are known to be interrelated, another
multivariable model was run including von Willebrand
factor, factor VIIIc, fibrinogen, WBC count, and protein C adjusted for
the same covariates as in Table 2
. In this
simultaneous model, only von Willebrand factor (RR
per SD=1.22, 95% CI=1.03 to 1.44) remained statistically significantly
associated with ischemic stroke incidence.
As Table 3
shows, from the lowest to the
highest fourths, the adjusted RR of stroke rose 1.93-fold and 1.71-fold
for factor VIIIc and von Willebrand factor, respectively. It
rose 1.26-fold for fibrinogen and 1.50-fold for WBC. The RR for the
highest versus lowest fourth of protein C was 0.65. Although several of
the associations depicted in Table 3
appeared to be nonlinear,
quadratic terms in the continuous variable models proved to be not
statistically significant.
|
For comparison, in the Figure
we
present RRs for incident ischemic stroke versus incident
CHD in the ARIC cohort.5 In general, fibrinogen and WBC
were more strongly associated with CHD, whereas von Willebrand
factor, factor VIIIc, and protein C were more strongly associated with
stroke, although the confidence limits for both end points
consistently overlapped.
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| Discussion |
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The most novel findings of this study were the associations for von
Willebrand factor and factor VIII, which were somewhat stronger
for ischemic stroke than for CHD incidence in ARIC
(Figure
). ARIC participants in the upper fourth of von
Willebrand factor values had a 1.7-fold higher risk of
developing ischemic stroke than did those in the lowest fourth.
Other prospective studies have linked von Willebrand factor or
factor VIIIc with CHD incidence or
recurrence1 5 6 24 25 and with mortality after
stroke.15 However, only the Edinburgh Artery Study has
prospectively examined von Willebrand factor and stroke
incidence.11 The Edinburgh study, however, had only 45
stroke cases, and although the median von Willebrand factor
concentration was 20% higher in stroke cases than in those remaining
free of cardiovascular disease (similar to our
difference in means), the difference was not statistically significant.
Plasma von Willebrand factor, which is synthesized primarily by
vascular endothelial cells, has 3 major activities: (1)
mediating platelet adhesion to damaged arterial walls,
(2) mediating platelet aggregation at high shear stress, and (3)
binding and stabilizing factor VIIIc.26 Vascular injury or
stress increases von Willebrand factor synthesis, so an
elevated plasma von Willebrand factor level may reflect
excessive endothelial stress.27 Increased
von Willebrand factor levels therefore may augment platelet
adhesion, enhance shear stressinduced platelet aggregation, and
increase plasma factor VIIIc levels, thereby increasing risk of
cerebral thrombosis when atherosclerotic plaques rupture.
To the best of our knowledge, ARIC is the first study to report a positive association of plasma VIIIc levels with ischemic stroke incidence. Plasma factor VIIIc levels are closely related to von Willebrand factor levels (r=0.71 in ARIC), because free factor VIII is unstable, and its stability is greatly increased by binding to von Willebrand factor. It is unknown whether increased plasma VIIIc levels are simply due to high levels of von Willebrand factor or to other causes and whether an increased level of factor VIIIc enhances thrombus formation. Factor VIII serves as a cofactor for IXa. On activated platelet surfaces and in the presence of calcium, factor IXa and VIIIa catalyze the conversion of factor X to Xa, which in turn catalyzes the formation of thrombin. It is conceivable that an increased plasma VIIIc level may accelerate thrombin generation and consequently increase fibrin and platelet aggregate formation.
The positive associations of fibrinogen and WBC count with ischemic stroke were weaker than for CHD in this cohort. The fibrinogen association with ischemic stroke was also weaker than in other prospective studies of stroke.2 3 11 Fibrinogen is an acute-phase reactant, whose plasma level is increased by inflammation. Recent prospective studies have shown that the level of C-reactive protein, another major acute-phase reactant and a marker of inflammation, is a risk factor for CHD8 9 10 and stroke.8 9 Insofar as fibrinogen and WBC count reflect inflammation, our finding of a weaker association of plasma fibrinogen levels and WBC count with ischemic stroke than CHD suggests that inflammation may be less important in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke than CHD. Nevertheless, there are direct mechanisms by which elevated fibrinogen could increase stroke risk. Fibrinogen mediates platelet aggregation, is a major contributor to blood viscosity and fibrin thrombi, and may be involved in smooth muscle migration and proliferation.1
WBC count was associated with ischemic stroke in a previous prospective study of atomic bomb survivors, but potential confounding by smoking was not explored.13 In a prospective study of US adults, Gillum found WBC count to be weakly associated with stroke, but not after adjustment for smoking.14 Oxidant-generating stimuli (eg, smoking) raise the WBC count, and WBC counts contribute to blood viscosity, inflammation, and vascular injury through endothelial adhesion and by release of oxygen radicals and proteolytic enzymes.7
We found the associations of hemostatic factors with ischemic
stroke incidence to be similar in blacks and whites (Table 2
).
Yet, compared with whites, blacks in ARIC have 15% to 20% higher von
Willebrand factor and factor VIIIc levels, 3% higher
fibrinogen levels, but 10% to 15% lower WBC counts. Whether
differences in these factors could explain racial differences in stroke
is unclear. Statistical adjustment for von Willebrand factor or
factor VIIIc tended to reduce the association between race and
ischemic stroke, whereas adjustment for WBC count strengthened
it (data not shown).
The negative association of plasma protein C level with ischemic stroke, although not statistically significant with this sample size, contrasts with the lack of any association between protein C and CHD in this cohort.5 Plasma protein C exists as a zymogen, and after activation by thrombomodulin-bound thrombin, activated protein C in the presence of protein S degrades factor Va and VIIIa, thereby inhibiting the coagulation reaction. Although a reduced protein C level in hereditary protein C deficiency is an established risk factor for venous thromboembolism, low protein C level has not been reported previously to be a prospective risk factor for arterial thrombosis. The inverse association between protein C and ischemic stroke was apparent only after multivariable adjustment and therefore should be interpreted cautiously, especially in light of the protein C measurement variability.19
Although the Northwick Park Heart Study reported a strong positive association between factor VIIc and CHD mortality,1 several other studies have failed to replicate this.5 28 29 We know of no previous studies of factor VIIc and stroke incidence. Our findings do not suggest that factor VII plays a role in the pathogenesis of ischemic stroke.
Potential limitations of this study warrant consideration. ARIC made a
single assessment of hemostatic factors, which may lead to
misclassification of the habitual hemostatic factor levels of some
individuals. Correction for measurement unreliability19
strengthens the standardized RR estimates shown in Table 1
(eg,
fibrinogen to RR=1.50, von Willebrand factor to RR=1.57, and
factor VIIIc to RR=1.41). We had no baseline measure of fibrinolytic
capacity, although studies are planned on stored samples. Others have
shown that impaired fibrinolytic capacity is a strong risk factor for
stroke.11 30 The interpretation of the weaker associations
of hemostatic factors with stroke after multivariable adjustment is
complicated. The adjusting factors may be confounding variables, at
least in part, but several stroke risk factors (eg, smoking) may also
operate through hemostatic mechanisms. Thus, the true RRs probably lie
between the minimally adjusted and fully adjusted values.
Taken together with previous evidence, our study suggests that to a modest degree, these markers of hemostatic function or inflammation can identify groups of people at increased risk of ischemic stroke. These factors also may play a pathophysiological role in stroke by enhancing atherosclerosis or thrombosis of the carotid or cerebral arteries, by reducing blood flow in the cerebral microvasculature, or by enhancing tissue injury from ischemic infarction. In the ARIC Study, fibrinogen was cross-sectionally associated with carotid intima-media thickness, but von Willebrand factor, factor VIIIc, and protein C were not31 ; this suggests that increased carotid atherosclerosis is not an important mechanism by which these factors increase risk of stroke.
Interestingly, aspirin is more efficacious in preventing myocardial infarction in men with high C-reactive protein values.8 Aspirin might also prevent ischemic stroke better in the setting of increased hemostatic factors. Nevertheless, none of the RRs observed here was as large as the >2-fold elevated RRs for potentially modifiable major stroke risk factors, such as hypertension, diabetes, and cigarette smoking. Thus, the value of screening for and modifying these new risk markers as an additional means to prevent stroke clearly remains to be established.
| Acknowledgments |
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| Footnotes |
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Guest Editor for this article was Carl J. Pepine, MD, University of Florida College of Medicine, Gainesville.
Received November 17, 1998; revision received May 14, 1999; accepted May 20, 1999.
| References |
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