Circulation. 2008;117:589-591
doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.107.188519
(Circulation. 2008;117:589-591.)
© 2008 American Heart Association, Inc.
Clinical Summaries
An extract of the first 250 words of the full text is provided, because this article has no abstract.
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How Much of the Recent Decline in the Incidence of Myocardial Infarction in British Men Can Be Explained by Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Factors? Evidence From a Prospective Population-Based Study
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The incidence of myocardial infarction (MI) in Britain has been
falling since the 1970s. We have estimated that after adjustment
for age, the incidence of first MI declined by 62% from 1979
to 2004 in a representative cohort of middle-aged British men.
Few studies have investigated the contribution of changes in
major cardiovascular risk factors to the decline in MI. Combining
data on risk factor changes with data on MI incidence, we found
that approximately half of the decline in MI incidence in this
cohort of men could be explained by favorable population-wide
time trends in cigarette smoking, systolic blood pressure, high-density
lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and non-HDL cholesterol together.
A large fall in cigarette smoking prevalence explained the greatest
single part of the decline (23%), followed by a fall in mean
systolic blood pressure (13%), a rise in HDL cholesterol (12%),
and a fall in non-HDL cholesterol (10%); however, these contributions
may be underestimated owing to imprecision. A marked increase
in mean body mass index is likely to have limited the extent
of the decline. The results indicate that population-wide changes
in risk factors have considerable potential for reducing MI
incidence in the United Kingdom and in other locations. In the
United Kingdom, although the future impact of smoking changes
may be limited by the already low smoking prevalence, the potential
benefits of further reductions in population systolic blood
pressure and blood lipid levels, by a combination of dietary
and drug management, are still considerable. See p 598.
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Pericardial Fat, Visceral Abdominal Fat, Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors, and Vascular Calcification in a Community-Based Sample: The Framingham Heart Study
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Pericardial
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