Circulation, Vol 77, 745-758, Copyright © 1988 by American Heart Association
S Kaul, DR Lilly, JA Gascho, DD Watson, RS Gibson, CA Oliner, JM Ryan and GA Beller
The goal of this study was to determine the prognostic utility of the
exercise thallium-201 stress test in ambulatory patients with chest pain
who were also referred for cardiac catheterization. Accordingly, 4 to 8
year (mean +/- 1SD, 4.6 +/- 2.6 years) follow-up data were obtained for all
but one of 383 patients who underwent both exercise thallium-201 stress
testing and cardiac catheterization from 1978 to 1981. Eighty-three
patients had a revascularization procedure performed within 3 months of
testing and were excluded from analysis. Of the remaining 299 patients, 210
had no events and 89 had events (41 deaths, nine nonfatal myocardial
infarctions, and 39 revascularization procedures greater than or equal to 3
months after testing). When all clinical, exercise, thallium-201, and
catheterization variables were analyzed by Cox regression analysis, the
number of diseased vessels (when defined as greater than or equal to 50%
luminal diameter narrowing) was the single most important predictor of
future cardiac events (chi 2 = 38.1) followed by the number of segments
demonstrating redistribution on delayed thallium-201 images (chi 2 = 16.3),
except in the case of nonfatal myocardial infarction, for which
redistribution was the most important predictor of future events. When
coronary artery disease was defined as 70% or greater luminal diameter
narrowing, the number of diseased vessels significantly (p less than .01)
lost its power to predict events (chi 2 = 14.5). Other variables found to
independently predict future events included change in heart rate from rest
to exercise (chi 2 = 13.0), ST segment depression on exercise (chi 2 =
13.0), occurrence of ventricular arrhythmias on exercise (chi 2 = 5.9), and
beta-blocker therapy (chi 2 = 4.3). The exclusion of myocardial
revascularization procedures as an event did not change the results
significantly. Although the number of diseased vessels was the single most
important determinant of future events, the exercise thallium-201 stress
test when considered as a whole (which included the number of segments
demonstrating redistribution on delayed thallium-201 images, change in
heart rate from rest to exercise, ST segment depression on the
electrocardiogram, and ventricular premature beats on exercise) was equally
powerful (chi 2 = 41.6). Combination of both catheterization and exercise
thallium-201 data was superior to either alone (chi 2 = 57.5) for
determining future events. Exercise stress test alone (without thallium-201
data) was inferior to the exercise thallium-201 stress test or cardiac
catheterization for predicting future events (chi 2 = 30.6).(ABSTRACT
TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)
ARTICLES
Prognostic utility of the exercise thallium-201 test in ambulatory patients with chest pain: comparison with cardiac catheterization
Department of Internal Medicine, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville 22908.
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